ATP Challenger. Hagenclay04.08.2026 09:30 UTCFinished
04.08.2026 09:30 UTCFinished
M
Monteiro T
Gentzsch T
1:2
Odds
P11.83
50.7% BetBoom
P21.88
49.3% BetBoom
Coverage: clay
PreviewStatisticsBroadcastComments
About the athletes
-Country-
-Rating-
-Age-
-Height (cm)-
-Weight (kg)-
-Hand-
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clayCoverageclay
0H2H0
Monteiro T face Gentzsch T on August 4, 2026 in the ATP Challenger. Hagen.
PrognozAI's Glicko-2 model gives the home side 51% to win. Scroll down for team stats, head-to-head record, odds and the PrognozAI AI pick.
🎯 PropickAI prediction
Our model prediction (Glicko-2)
1Monteiro T — 51%
51%1
1 · Monteiro T51.1%
2 · Gentzsch T48.9%
Model estimate: win Monteiro T 51.1%, win Gentzsch T 48.9%. Model favourite — Monteiro T.
Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.
🤖AI agent prediction
Independent AI-agent assessment from our data (model, market line, form, H2H)
1Monteiro T (odds1.97)Score 2:1confidence 50%✗ outcome missed
•Monteyro T
•🇧🇷 — Gentzsch T
•🇩🇪 (tennis)
•Monteyro T
•🇧🇷: forma VPVVV (4-1)
•Gentzsch T
•🇩🇪: forma PVPVV (3-2)
•Model backs Monteyro T
•🇧🇷: probability 50% vs 51% on the line (odds 1.97)
•no edge over the line (-1 pp) — informational only.
Analytical AI-agent assessment, not a betting recommendation.
*
Math-model prediction
AI match prediction Monteiro T - Gentzsch T August 4, 2026
Tennis math model
Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Monteiro T.
Line favourite market consensus: Monteiro T. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
Win odds (market consensus): 1 1.83 / 2 1.88
Glicko: Monteiro T 51.1% / Gentzsch T 48.9%
%
For reference
Fair probability (no margin)
Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
Winner
bookmaker margin 7.8%
150.7%
249.3%
Odds source: Leon line. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.
AI
Model consensus
AI outcome leader: 1
Main outcome
Agreement1/1
Confidence62.0%
Modeli dayut edinyy signal. Takie matchi my pomechaem kak bolee silnye.
⚔
Head-to-head and form stats
Head-to-head and form
Team form
Monteiro T
no data
Gentzsch T
6-4WWWLWWLLLW
scored 1.5conceded 1.0
Head-to-head and recent form per sports statistics — for reference.
*
AI overview
AI predictions
AI analysis:2/7 ready· Still preparing:DeepSeek, ChatGPT, Qwen, Kimi, GLM 5.2
Google AIupdated04.08.2026 08:18 UTC
151%✓ favourite
249%
Score2:1Total games: Over 22.5Bet:Total games Over 22.5
Per AI dataH2H: 0-0
Claudeupdated04.08.2026 08:21 UTC
145%
255%✓ favourite
Score2:1 v polzu GenttsshaTotal games: Over 22.5Bet:2 Genttssh pri koeffitsiente ot 1.85; pri bolee korotkom kefe — Over 22.5 games
AI consensus:2
AI
1
2
Score
Total games
Bet
Google AI
51%
49%
2:1
Over 22.5
Total games Over 22.5
Claude
45%
55%
2:1 v polzu Genttssha
Over 22.5
Match center
Start04.08.2026 09:30 UTC
Market1 50.7% @ 1.83 / 2 49.3% @ 1.88
Coverageclay
Form6 matches
🥊 Humans vs Machines
🤖 7 AI modelsGentzsch T 52%
📐 Math modelMonteiro T 51%
Every pick locked before kickoff · public log
Match center
Monteiro T - Gentzsch T
V baze uchteny nedavnie matchi oboikh uchastnikov.
Form5/5
recent games
H2H0
head-to-head matches
Market2
model / bookmakers
Flashscorematch data
source checked
Oddsmatch data
source checked
Line depthmatch data
source checked
Present in data
MarketFormMatchParticipantsLineOverview
More needed
H2HChampionat, Flashscore
TournamentChampionat, Flashscore
MovementLine history
Post-match / PropickAI database
Score1:2
Events0
Statistics0
PropickAI check: math model and Glicko-2
We mark in green only strong signals where the model passed our publication filter. The other rows are for audit and training.
OptionSignalPrediction / actualRating
Glicko-2: base favouriteAudit
tennis is audit-only for now: surface, serve/return and market are needed
Data: line, form, coverage
home - 51.1% fact: away
missed / ROI -100.0% / Brier 0.523 / LogLoss 0.716
Glicko-2: calibrated favouriteAudit
tennis is audit-only for now: surface, serve/return and market are needed
Data: line, form, coverage
home - 50.1% fact: away
missed / ROI -100.0% / Brier 0.503 / LogLoss 0.696
Market and Glicko
Tennis math model.
Tennis without draws: the base signal comes from player rating, surface, form, serve/return and tournament fatigue. For live logic the set state and who is serving matter more than the overall points score.
OutcomeLineGlickoSignal
Monteiro T50.7%51.1%market and model agree
Gentzsch T49.3%48.9%
1X2: 1 Bookies
Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.
Tennis math model
P1 / P251.1% / 48.9%
probabilities
Rating1,760 / 1,791
Monteiro T / Gentzsch T
RD135 / 119
rating uncertainty
r +/- 2RD1,490-2,031 / 1,553-2,029
strength interval
Tennis without draws: the base signal comes from player rating, surface, form, serve/return and tournament fatigue. For live logic the set state and who is serving matter more than the overall points score.
Betting snapshot
1X2
21.88
market consensus · no value · model 48.9%
11.83
market consensus · no value · model 51.1%
Handicap
2 -0.51.93
market consensus · line only
2 +0.51.83
market consensus · line only
1 -0.51.91
market consensus · line only
1 +0.51.81
market consensus · line only
Total
Over 22.51.79
market consensus · line only
Under 22.51.95
market consensus · line only
Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.
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