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ATP Challenger. Hagen
ATP Challenger. Hagen
05.08.2026 10:30 UTC Match prediction

Mrva M - Den Ouden G

✓ Prematch ready Prematch data ✓Line ✓Form –H2H ✓Prediction
Tennis ATP Challenger. Hagen
ATP Challenger. Hagen clay 05.08.2026 10:30 UTC Finished
05.08.2026 10:30 UTC Finished
M
Mrva M
W
Den Ouden G
Den Ouden G
W
0:2
Odds
P1 2.60 36.4% BetBoom
P2 1.49 63.6% BetBoom
Coverage: clay
Preview Statistics Broadcast Comments

About the athletes

- Country -
- Rating -
- Age -
- Height (cm) -
- Weight (kg) -
- Hand -
- Seed -
clay Coverage clay
0 H2H 0

Mrva M meet Den Ouden G on August 5, 2026 in the ATP Challenger. Hagen.

Recent form (W-D-L): Mrva M 1-0-0, Den Ouden G 1-0-0. PrognozAI's Glicko-2 model gives the home side 37% to win. Full analysis — form, H2H, odds and the PrognozAI AI prediction — follows on this page.

🎯 PropickAI prediction
High confidence

Our model prediction (Glicko-2)

PropickAI model · comparison with the market line (no margin)

2 Den Ouden G — 63%

Pure model vs market (2 · Den Ouden G): model 57% · market 64% Δ −7 pp model estimates below the market

1 · Mrva M36.9%
market36%
2 · Den Ouden G ✓ Pick63.1%
market64%

Model estimate: win Mrva M 36.9%, win Den Ouden G 63.1%. Model favourite — Den Ouden G.

Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.

AI agent prediction

Independent AI-agent assessment from our data (model, market line, form, H2H)

2Den Ouden G (odds1.79) Score 1:2 confidence 53% ✓ outcome correct
  • • Mrva M
  • • 🇨🇿 — Den Ouden G
  • • 🇳🇱 (tennis)
  • • Mrva M
  • • 🇨🇿: forma VVPPV (3-2)
  • • Den Ouden G
  • • 🇳🇱: forma VPVVV (4-1)
  • • Model backs Den Ouden G
  • • 🇳🇱: probability 53% vs 56% on the line (odds 1.79)
  • • no edge over the line (-3 pp) — informational only.

Analytical AI-agent assessment, not a betting recommendation.

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Mrva M - Den Ouden G August 5, 2026

Tennis math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Den Ouden G.

Line favourite market consensus: Den Ouden G. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • Win odds (market consensus): 1 2.60 / 2 1.49
  • Glicko: Mrva M 36.9% / Den Ouden G 63.1%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
Winner bookmaker margin 8.2% 3 books · best price +2.8%
1 36.3%
2 ✓ Pick 63.8%

Odds source: consensus of 3 books (Baltbet, Betcity, Leon). This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

Head-to-head and form stats

Head-to-head and form

Team form

Mrva M
5-5LLWLWWLWWL
scored 1.2conceded 1.2
Den Ouden G
4-6LLWLWLLWWL
scored 1.2conceded 1.4

Head-to-head and recent form per sports statistics — for reference.

Match center
Start 05.08.2026 10:30 UTC
Market 1 36.4% @ 2.60 / 2 63.6% @ 1.49
Coverage clay
Form 6 matches
Match center

Mrva M - Den Ouden G

V baze uchteny nedavnie matchi oboikh uchastnikov.

Form 1/1 recent games
H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 2 model / bookmakers
Flashscore match data source checked
Odds match data source checked
Line depth match data source checked
Present in data
Market Form Match Participants Line Overview
More needed
H2H Championat, Flashscore
Tournament Championat, Flashscore
Movement Line history
Post-match / PropickAI database
Score 0:2
Events 0
Statistics 20
Metric Mrva M Den Ouden G SStats
Breyk-poynty realizovany 0/0 0/0 final
Points na prieme 100% (1/1) 0% (0/0) final
Eysy 0 0 final
Breyk-poynty otygrany 0/0 0/0 final
Dvoynye oshibki 0 0 final
Pervaya podacha, % 0% 100% final
Points na pervoy podache 0% (0/0) 0% (0/1) final
Points na vtoroy podache 0% (0/0) 0% (0/0) final
Market and Glicko

Tennis math model. Tennis without draws: the base signal comes from player rating, surface, form, serve/return and tournament fatigue. For live logic the set state and who is serving matter more than the overall points score.

Outcome Line Glicko Signal
Mrva M 36.3% 36.9%
Den Ouden G 63.8% 63.1% market and model agree
1X2: 3 Bookies

Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.

Tennis math model
P1 / P2 36.9% / 63.1% probabilities
Rating 1,519 / 1,799 Mrva M / Den Ouden G
RD 130 / 123 rating uncertainty
r +/- 2RD 1,259-1,778 / 1,553-2,044 strength interval
HFA: 0 HFA mu: 0.000 MoV: on N: N=1 P: two_way_glicko2_expected_score

Best value: no value found

Tennis without draws: the base signal comes from player rating, surface, form, serve/return and tournament fatigue. For live logic the set state and who is serving matter more than the overall points score.

Betting snapshot
1X2
2 1.46 market consensus · no value · model 63.1%
1 2.54 market consensus · no value · model 36.9%
Total
Over 21.5 1.84 market consensus · line only
Over 22.5 1.96 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Handicap

Outcome Baltbet Betcity Leon
1.86 53.8% 1.85 54.1% —
1.79 55.9% 1.76 56.8% 1.83 54.6%
1.86 53.8% 1.85 54.1% —
1.94 51.6% 1.95 51.3% 1.91 52.4%

Total

Outcome Baltbet Betcity Leon
Over 21.5 1.83 54.6% 1.82 55.0% 1.87 53.5%
Over 22.5 — 1.96 51.0% —
Under 21.5 1.89 52.9% 1.88 53.2% 1.87 53.5%
Under 22.5 — 1.75 57.1% —

Outcome (1X2)

Outcome Baltbet Betcity Leon
2.47 40.5% 2.60 38.5% 2.55 39.2%
1.49 67.1% 1.43 69.9% 1.45 69.0%
Match center
Mrva M
W
04.08 10:05 UTC Challenger Men - Singles: Hagen (Germany), clay
Mrva M 2:0 Melleker R. 🇩🇪
1 Wins
0 Losses
2.0 Sets won
0.0 Sets lost
100% Win percentage
Den Ouden G
W
02.08 15:00 UTC Challenger Men - Singles: Hagen (Germany), clay
Den Ouden G 2:0 Myuller A. 🇫🇷Myuller A. 🇫🇷
1 Wins
0 Losses
2.0 Sets won
0.0 Sets lost
100% Win percentage
Match center

Full head-to-head historyMrva M - Den Ouden G

Mrva M
0 matches total
Den Ouden G
Biggest win — largest score margin
Highest-scoring match — most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw — draw with the most goals

Match history