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ATP Challenger. Hagen
ATP Challenger. Hagen
05.08.2026 09:00 UTC Match prediction

Piros Z - Dedura-Palomero D

✓ Prematch ready Prematch data ✓Line ✓Form –H2H ✓Prediction
Tennis ATP Challenger. Hagen
ATP Challenger. Hagen clay 05.08.2026 09:00 UTC Finished
05.08.2026 09:00 UTC Finished
P
Piros Z
W L W W W
Dedura-Palomero D
Dedura-Palomero D
W W W W W
2:0 6:3 6:2
1 2 GP
Piros Z 6 6 2
Dedura-Palomero D 3 2 0
1 2
Odds
P1 1.65 57.7% BetBoom
P2 2.25 42.3% BetBoom
Coverage: clay
Preview Statistics Broadcast Comments

About the athletes

- Country -
- Rating -
- Age -
- Height (cm) -
- Weight (kg) -
- Hand -
- Seed -
clay Coverage clay
0 H2H 0

Piros Z go head-to-head with Dedura-Palomero D on August 5, 2026 in the ATP Challenger. Hagen.

Recent form (W-D-L): Piros Z 4-0-1, Dedura-Palomero D 5-0-0. PrognozAI's Glicko-2 model gives the home side 58% to win. Scroll down for team stats, head-to-head record, odds and the PrognozAI AI pick.

🎯 PropickAI prediction
Medium confidence

Our model prediction (Glicko-2)

PropickAI model · comparison with the market line (no margin)

1 Piros Z — 58%

Pure model vs market (1 · Piros Z): model 56% · market 58% Δ −2 pp model estimate matches the market

1 · Piros Z ✓ Pick58.2%
market58%
2 · Dedura-Palomero D41.8%
market42%

Model estimate: win Piros Z 58.2%, win Dedura-Palomero D 41.8%. Model favourite — Piros Z.

Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.

AI agent prediction

Independent AI-agent assessment from our data (model, market line, form, H2H)

1Piros Z (odds1.63) Score 2:1 confidence 57% ✓ outcome correct
  • • Pirosh Zh
  • • 🇭🇺 — Dedura D
  • • 🇩🇪 (tennis)
  • • Pirosh Zh
  • • 🇭🇺: forma VPVVV (4-1)
  • • Dedura D
  • • 🇩🇪: forma VVVVV (5-0)
  • • liniya na pik P1 1.60→1.63 (udlinilas — rynok dreyfuet vs)
  • • Model backs Pirosh Zh
  • • 🇭🇺: probability 57% vs 61% on the line (odds 1.63)
  • • no edge over the line (-4 pp) — informational only.

Analytical AI-agent assessment, not a betting recommendation.

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Piros Z - Dedura-Palomero D August 5, 2026

Tennis math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Piros Z.

Line favourite Fonbet: Piros Z. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • Win odds (Fonbet): 1 1.55 / 2 2.30
  • Glicko: Piros Z 58.2% / Dedura-Palomero D 41.8%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
Winner bookmaker margin 8.0% 4 books · best price +4.1%
1 ✓ Pick 58.4%
2 41.6%

Odds source: consensus of 4 books (Baltbet, Betcity, Fonbet, Leon). This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

For reference

Line movement

How the odds changed from opening to the current line — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
Winner 1 1.60 ↓ 1.58
Winner 2 2.20 ↑ 2.25

↓ odds shortened (money on this outcome), ↑ drifted (line weakened). For reference, not a betting recommendation.

Head-to-head and form stats

Head-to-head and form

Team form

Piros Z
7-3WWLLWLWWWW
scored 1.5conceded 0.8
Dedura-Palomero D
5-5LLWWLWWWLL
scored 1.0conceded 1.1

Head-to-head and recent form per sports statistics — for reference.

Match center
Start 05.08.2026 09:00 UTC
Market 1 59.7% @ 1.55 / 2 40.3% @ 2.30
Coverage clay
Form 6 matches
Match center

Piros Z - Dedura-Palomero D

V baze uchteny nedavnie matchi oboikh uchastnikov.

Form 5/5 recent games
H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 2 model / bookmakers
Flashscore match data source checked
Odds match data source checked
Bookiesapi match data source checked
Line depth match data source checked
Present in data
Market Form Match Participants Line Movement Overview
More needed
H2H Championat, Flashscore
Tournament Championat, Flashscore
Post-match / PropickAI database
Score 2:0
Events 0
Statistics 0
Set Piros Z Dedura-Palomero D Result
Set 1 6 3 6:3
Set 2 6 2 6:2
PropickAI check: math model and Glicko-2

We mark in green only strong signals where the model passed our publication filter. The other rows are for audit and training.

Option Signal Prediction / actual Rating
Glicko-2: base favourite Audit tennis is audit-only for now: surface, serve/return and market are needed Data: line, form, coverage home - 58.2% fact: home hit / ROI 65.0% / Brier 0.350 / LogLoss 0.542
Glicko-2: calibrated favourite Audit tennis is audit-only for now: surface, serve/return and market are needed Data: line, form, coverage home - 51.0% fact: home hit / ROI 65.0% / Brier 0.481 / LogLoss 0.674
Market and Glicko

Tennis math model. Tennis without draws: the base signal comes from player rating, surface, form, serve/return and tournament fatigue. For live logic the set state and who is serving matter more than the overall points score.

Outcome Line Glicko Signal
Piros Z 58.4% 58.2% market and model agree
Dedura-Palomero D 41.6% 41.8%
1X2: 4 Bookies

Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.

Tennis math model
P1 / P2 58.2% / 41.8% probabilities
Rating 1,928 / 1,838 Piros Z / Dedura-Palomero D
RD 124 / 121 rating uncertainty
r +/- 2RD 1,680-2,176 / 1,596-2,080 strength interval
HFA: 0 HFA mu: 0.000 MoV: on N: N=1 P: two_way_glicko2_expected_score

Best value: no value found

Tennis without draws: the base signal comes from player rating, surface, form, serve/return and tournament fatigue. For live logic the set state and who is serving matter more than the overall points score.

Betting snapshot
1X2
2 2.30 Fonbet · no value · model 41.8%
1 1.55 Fonbet · no value · model 58.2%
Handicap
2 -0.5 2.20 Fonbet · line only
1 -0.5 1.60 Fonbet · line only
Total
Over 20.5 1.55 Fonbet · line only
Over 21.5 1.70 Fonbet · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

Open on Fonbet →
bookmaker line and markets

Handicap

Outcome Baltbet Betcity Fonbet Leon
— — 1.60 62.5% —
1.78 56.2% 1.83 54.6% 1.70 58.8% 1.81 55.3%
1.89 52.9% 1.92 52.1% 1.85 54.1% —
— — 2.15 46.5% —
1.95 51.3% 1.87 53.5% — 1.93 51.8%
1.83 54.6% 1.79 55.9% — —
— — 2.20 45.5% —
— — 2.02 49.5% —
— — 1.85 54.1% —
— — 1.63 61.4% —

Total

Outcome Baltbet Betcity Fonbet
Over 20.5 — — 1.55 64.5%
Over 21.5 1.78 56.2% 1.77 56.5% 1.70 58.8%
Over 22.5 1.97 50.8% 1.96 51.0% 1.95 51.3%
Over 23.5 — — 2.15 46.5%
Over 24.5 — — 2.25 44.4%
Under 20.5 — — 2.30 43.5%
Under 21.5 1.95 51.3% 1.94 51.6% 2.02 49.5%
Under 22.5 1.76 56.8% 1.75 57.1% 1.75 57.1%
Under 23.5 — — 1.62 61.7%
Under 24.5 — — 1.57 63.7%

Outcome (1X2)

Outcome Baltbet Betcity Fonbet Leon
1.58 63.3% 1.59 62.9% 1.55 64.5% 1.65 60.6%
2.25 44.4% 2.20 45.5% 2.30 43.5% 2.11 47.4%
Match center
Piros Z
W L W W W
2026-08-04 2026 Hagen, Germany
Piros Z Piros Z 2:0 Rincon D
2026-07-22 2026 Zug, Switzerland
Piros Z Piros Z 0:2 Rehberg M H
2026-07-20 2026 Zug, Switzerland
Piros Z Piros Z 1:0 Napolitano S
2026-07-12 2026 Iasi, Romania
Piros Z Droguet T 0:2 Piros Z
2026-07-11 2026 Iasi, Romania
Piros Z Piros Z 2:0 Kym J
4 Wins
1 Losses
1.4 Sets won
0.4 Sets lost
80% Win percentage
Dedura-Palomero D
W W W W W
2026-08-04 2026 Hagen, Germany
Resek D 0:2 Dedura-Palomero D Dedura-Palomero D
2026-07-26 2026 Tampere, Finland
Dedura-Palomero D 2:1 Virtanen O Dedura-Palomero D
2026-07-25 2026 Tampere, Finland
Dedura-Palomero D 2:1 Onclin G Dedura-Palomero D
2026-07-24 2026 Tampere, Finland
Marcondes I 0:2 Dedura-Palomero D Dedura-Palomero D
2026-07-23 2026 Tampere, Finland
Dedura-Palomero D 2:0 Justo G I Dedura-Palomero D
5 Wins
0 Losses
2.0 Sets won
0.4 Sets lost
100% Win percentage