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ATP Challenger. Hagen
ATP Challenger. Hagen
04.08.2026 16:35 UTC Match prediction

Schoenhaus M - Topo M

✓ Prematch ready Prematch data ✓Line ✓Form –H2H ✓Prediction
Tennis ATP Challenger. Hagen
ATP Challenger. Hagen clay 04.08.2026 16:35 UTC Finished
04.08.2026 16:35 UTC Finished
Schoenhaus M
Schoenhaus M
L L W L W
Topo M
Topo M
L W L W W
1:2 7:5 3:6 6:7
1 2 3 GP
Schoenhaus M 7 3 6 1
Topo M 5 6 7 2
1 2 3
Odds
P1 1.65 57.6% BetBoom
P2 2.24 42.4% BetBoom
Coverage: clay
Preview Statistics Broadcast Comments

About the athletes

- Country -
- Rating -
- Age -
- Height (cm) -
- Weight (kg) -
- Hand -
- Seed -
clay Coverage clay
0 H2H 0

Schoenhaus M go head-to-head with Topo M on August 4, 2026 in the ATP Challenger. Hagen.

Recent form (W-D-L): Schoenhaus M 2-0-3, Topo M 3-0-2. PrognozAI's Glicko-2 model gives the home side 58% to win. Scroll down for team stats, head-to-head record, odds and the PrognozAI AI pick.

🎯 PropickAI prediction
Medium confidence

Our model prediction (Glicko-2)

1 Schoenhaus M — 58%

Pure model vs market (1 · Schoenhaus M): model 60% · market 57% Δ +3 pp model estimates above the market

1 · Schoenhaus M ✓ Pick57.5%
2 · Topo M42.5%

Model estimate: win Schoenhaus M 57.5%, win Topo M 42.5%. Model favourite — Schoenhaus M.

Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.

AI agent prediction

Independent AI-agent assessment from our data (model, market line, form, H2H)

1Schoenhaus M (odds1.54) Score 2:1 confidence 60% ✗ outcome missed
  • • Schoenhaus M
  • • 🇩🇪 — Topo M
  • • 🇩🇪 (tennis)
  • • Schoenhaus M
  • • 🇩🇪: forma PPVPV (2-3)
  • • Topo M
  • • 🇩🇪: forma PPVPP (1-4)
  • • liniya na pik P1 1.40→1.55 (udlinilas — rynok dreyfuet vs)
  • • Model backs Schoenhaus M
  • • 🇩🇪: probability 60% vs 65% on the line (odds 1.54)
  • • no edge over the line (-5 pp) — informational only.

Analytical AI-agent assessment, not a betting recommendation.

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Schoenhaus M - Topo M August 4, 2026

Tennis math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Schoenhaus M.

Line favourite Fonbet: Schoenhaus M. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • Win odds (Fonbet): 1 1.65 / 2 2.10
  • Glicko: Schoenhaus M 57.5% / Topo M 42.5%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
Winner bookmaker margin 8.1% 2 books · best price +2.2%
1 ✓ Pick 57.3%
2 42.7%

Odds source: consensus of 2 books (Fonbet, Leon). This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

For reference

Line movement

How the odds changed from opening to the current line — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
Winner 1 1.40 ↑ 1.65
Winner 2 2.70 ↓ 2.10

↓ odds shortened (money on this outcome), ↑ drifted (line weakened). For reference, not a betting recommendation.

Head-to-head and form stats

Head-to-head and form

Team form

Schoenhaus M
5-5LLWWLWWLWL
scored 1.4conceded 1.1
Topo M
1-9LLLLLLLWLL
scored 0.5conceded 1.9

Head-to-head and recent form per sports statistics — for reference.

Match center
Start 04.08.2026 16:35 UTC
Market 1 56.0% @ 1.65 / 2 44.0% @ 2.10
Coverage clay
Form 6 matches
Match center

Schoenhaus M - Topo M

V baze uchteny nedavnie matchi oboikh uchastnikov.

Form 5/5 recent games
H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 2 model / bookmakers
Flashscore match data source checked
Odds match data source checked
Bookiesapi match data source checked
Line depth match data source checked
Present in data
Market Form Match Participants Line Movement Overview
More needed
H2H Championat, Flashscore
Tournament Championat, Flashscore
Post-match / PropickAI database
Score 1:2
Events 0
Statistics 0
Set Schoenhaus M Topo M Result
Set 1 7 5 7:5
Set 2 3 6 3:6
Set 3 6 7 6:7
Market and Glicko

Tennis math model. Tennis without draws: the base signal comes from player rating, surface, form, serve/return and tournament fatigue. For live logic the set state and who is serving matter more than the overall points score.

Outcome Line Glicko Signal
Schoenhaus M 57.3% 57.5% market and model agree
Topo M 42.7% 42.5%
1X2: 2 Bookies

Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.

Tennis math model
P1 / P2 57.5% / 42.5% probabilities
Rating 1,524 / 1,322 Schoenhaus M / Topo M
RD 169 / 152 rating uncertainty
r +/- 2RD 1,186-1,861 / 1,018-1,625 strength interval
HFA: 0 HFA mu: 0.000 MoV: on N: N=1 P: two_way_glicko2_expected_score

Best value: no value found

Tennis without draws: the base signal comes from player rating, surface, form, serve/return and tournament fatigue. For live logic the set state and who is serving matter more than the overall points score.

Betting snapshot
1X2
2 2.10 Fonbet · no value · model 42.5%
1 1.65 Fonbet · no value · model 57.5%
Handicap
2 -0.5 2.02 Fonbet · line only
2 +0.5 2.20 Fonbet · line only
1 -0.5 1.70 Fonbet · line only
1 +0.5 1.60 Fonbet · line only
Total
Over 20.5 1.65 Fonbet · line only
Over 21.5 1.62 Fonbet · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

Open on Fonbet →
bookmaker line and markets

Handicap

Outcome Fonbet Leon
1.60 62.5% —
1.70 58.8% —
1.82 55.0% —
2.02 49.5% 1.85 54.1%
2.30 43.5% —
2.30 43.5% —
2.20 45.5% —
— 1.89 52.9%
2.02 49.5% —
1.88 53.2% —
1.70 58.8% —
1.55 64.5% —
1.55 64.5% —

Total

Outcome Fonbet Leon
Over 20.5 1.65 60.6% —
Over 21.5 1.62 61.7% 1.77 56.5%
Over 22.5 1.85 54.1% 1.94 51.6%
Over 23.5 2.07 48.3% —
Over 24.5 2.15 46.5% —
Over 25.5 2.35 42.6% —
Under 20.5 2.10 47.6% —
Under 21.5 2.15 46.5% 1.98 50.5%
Under 22.5 1.85 54.1% 1.80 55.6%
Under 23.5 1.67 59.9% —
Under 24.5 1.63 61.4% —
Under 25.5 1.53 65.4% —

Outcome (1X2)

Outcome Fonbet Leon
1.65 60.6% 1.58 63.3%
2.10 47.6% 2.24 44.6%
Match center
Schoenhaus M
L L W L W
2026-07-28 2026 Bonn, Germany
Schoenhaus M Schoenhaus M 0:2 Gomez F A
2026-07-15 2026 Bunschoten, Netherlands
Schoenhaus M Schoenhaus M 0:2 Houkes M
2026-07-13 2026 Bunschoten, Netherlands
Schoenhaus M Santamarta Roig A 0:2 Schoenhaus M
2026-07-08 2026 Braunschweig, Germany
Schoenhaus M Schoenhaus M 0:2 Djere L
2026-07-07 2026 Braunschweig, Germany
Schoenhaus M Burruchaga R A 0:2 Schoenhaus M
2 Wins
3 Losses
0.8 Sets won
1.2 Sets lost
40% Win percentage
Topo M
L W L W W
2026-08-03 2026 Hagen, Germany, Qualifying
Resek D 2:0 Topo M Topo M
2026-08-02 2026 Hagen, Germany, Qualifying
Gutierrez O J 0:2 Topo M Topo M
2026-07-28 2026 Bonn, Germany
Moller E 2:0 Topo M Topo M
2026-07-27 2026 Bonn, Germany, Qualifying
Topo M 2:0 Aboian V Topo M
2026-07-26 2026 Bonn, Germany, Qualifying
Topo M 2:0 Rossi L Topo M
3 Wins
2 Losses
1.2 Sets won
0.8 Sets lost
60% Win percentage
Match center

Full head-to-head historySchoenhaus M - Topo M

Schoenhaus M
0 matches total
Topo M
Biggest win — largest score margin
Highest-scoring match — most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw — draw with the most goals

Match history