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ATP Challenger. Hagen
ATP Challenger. Hagen
04.08.2026 14:00 UTC Match prediction

Travaglia S - Dodig M

✓ Prematch ready Prematch data ✓Line ✓Form –H2H ✓Prediction
Tennis ATP Challenger. Hagen
ATP Challenger. Hagen clay 04.08.2026 14:00 UTC Finished
04.08.2026 14:00 UTC Finished
Travaglia S
Travaglia S
L L W W L
Dodig M
Dodig M
W W L L W
0:2 5:7 3:6
1 2 GP
Travaglia S 5 3 0
Dodig M 7 6 2
1 2
Odds
P1 1.82 51.5% BetBoom
P2 1.93 48.5% BetBoom
Coverage: clay
Preview Statistics Broadcast Comments

About the athletes

- Country -
- Rating -
- Age -
- Height (cm) -
- Weight (kg) -
- Hand -
- Seed -
clay Coverage clay
0 H2H 0

Travaglia S go head-to-head with Dodig M on August 4, 2026 in the ATP Challenger. Hagen.

Recent form (W-D-L): Travaglia S 2-0-3, Dodig M 3-0-2. PrognozAI's Glicko-2 model gives the home side 51% to win. Scroll down for team stats, head-to-head record, odds and the PrognozAI AI pick.

🎯 PropickAI prediction

Our model prediction (Glicko-2)

1 Travaglia S — 51%

Pure model vs market (1 · Travaglia S): model 46% · market 51% Δ −5 pp model estimates below the market

1 · Travaglia S50.7%
2 · Dodig M49.3%

Model estimate: win Travaglia S 50.7%, win Dodig M 49.3%. Model favourite — Travaglia S.

Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.

AI agent prediction

Independent AI-agent assessment from our data (model, market line, form, H2H)

1Travaglia S (odds1.78) Score 2:1 confidence 52% ✗ outcome missed
  • • Travalya S
  • • 🇮🇹 — Dodig M
  • • 🇭🇷 (tennis)
  • • Travalya S
  • • 🇮🇹: forma PPVVP (2-3)
  • • Dodig M
  • • 🇭🇷: forma VPPVV (3-2)
  • • liniya na pik P1 1.75→1.77 (udlinilas — rynok dreyfuet vs)
  • • Model backs Travalya S
  • • 🇮🇹: probability 52% vs 56% on the line (odds 1.78)
  • • no edge over the line (-4 pp) — informational only.

Analytical AI-agent assessment, not a betting recommendation.

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Travaglia S - Dodig M August 4, 2026

Tennis math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Travaglia S.

Line favourite Fonbet: Travaglia S. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • Win odds (Fonbet): 1 1.85 / 2 1.90
  • Glicko: Travaglia S 50.7% / Dodig M 49.3%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
Winner bookmaker margin 7.3% 2 books
1 50.8%
2 49.2%

Odds source: consensus of 2 books (Fonbet, Leon). This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

For reference

Line movement

How the odds changed from opening to the current line — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
Winner 1 1.75 ↑ 1.82
Winner 2 2.00 ↓ 1.93

↓ odds shortened (money on this outcome), ↑ drifted (line weakened). For reference, not a betting recommendation.

Match center
Start 04.08.2026 14:00 UTC
Market 1 50.7% @ 1.85 / 2 49.3% @ 1.90
Coverage clay
Form 6 matches
Match center

Travaglia S - Dodig M

V baze uchteny nedavnie matchi oboikh uchastnikov.

Form 5/5 recent games
H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 2 model / bookmakers
Flashscore match data source checked
Odds match data source checked
Bookiesapi match data source checked
Line depth match data source checked
Present in data
Market Form Match Participants Line Movement Overview
More needed
H2H Championat, Flashscore
Tournament Championat, Flashscore
Post-match / PropickAI database
Score 0:2
Events 0
Statistics 0
Set Travaglia S Dodig M Result
Set 1 5 7 5:7
Set 2 3 6 3:6
PropickAI check: math model and Glicko-2

We mark in green only strong signals where the model passed our publication filter. The other rows are for audit and training.

Option Signal Prediction / actual Rating
Glicko-2: base favourite Audit tennis is audit-only for now: surface, serve/return and market are needed Data: line, form, coverage home - 50.7% fact: away missed / ROI -100.0% / Brier 0.514 / LogLoss 0.707
Glicko-2: calibrated favourite Audit tennis is audit-only for now: surface, serve/return and market are needed Data: line, form, coverage home - 50.1% fact: away missed / ROI -100.0% / Brier 0.502 / LogLoss 0.695
Market and Glicko

Tennis math model. Tennis without draws: the base signal comes from player rating, surface, form, serve/return and tournament fatigue. For live logic the set state and who is serving matter more than the overall points score.

Outcome Line Glicko Signal
Travaglia S 51.2% 50.7% market and model agree
Dodig M 48.8% 49.3%
1X2: 2 Bookies

Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.

Tennis math model
P1 / P2 50.7% / 49.3% probabilities
Rating 1,614 / 1,795 Travaglia S / Dodig M
RD 143 / 169 rating uncertainty
r +/- 2RD 1,328-1,899 / 1,457-2,133 strength interval
HFA: 0 HFA mu: 0.000 MoV: on N: N=1 P: two_way_glicko2_expected_score

Best value: no value found

Tennis without draws: the base signal comes from player rating, surface, form, serve/return and tournament fatigue. For live logic the set state and who is serving matter more than the overall points score.

Betting snapshot
1X2
2 1.90 Fonbet · no value · model 49.3%
1 1.85 Fonbet · no value · model 50.7%
Handicap
2 -0.5 1.82 Fonbet · line only
2 +0.5 1.95 Fonbet · line only
1 -0.5 1.88 Fonbet · line only
1 +0.5 1.75 Fonbet · line only
Total
Over 21.5 1.60 Fonbet · line only
Over 22.5 1.82 Fonbet · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

Open on Fonbet →
bookmaker line and markets

Handicap

Outcome Fonbet Leon
1.75 57.1% —
1.65 60.6% —
1.88 53.2% 1.89 52.9%
2.02 49.5% —
2.10 47.6% —
1.95 51.3% 1.85 54.1%
2.10 47.6% —
1.82 55.0% —
1.70 58.8% —
1.65 60.6% —

Total

Outcome Fonbet Leon
Over 21.5 1.60 62.5% —
Over 22.5 1.82 55.0% 1.91 52.4%
Over 23.5 2.02 49.5% —
Over 24.5 2.10 47.6% —
Over 25.5 2.30 43.5% —
Under 21.5 2.20 45.5% —
Under 22.5 1.88 53.2% 1.83 54.6%
Under 23.5 1.70 58.8% —
Under 24.5 1.65 60.6% —
Under 25.5 1.55 64.5% —

Outcome (1X2)

Outcome Fonbet Leon
1.85 54.1% 1.82 55.0%
1.90 52.6% 1.89 52.9%
Match center
Travaglia S
L L W W L
2026-07-28 2026 Bonn, Germany
Travaglia S Rehberg M H 2:0 Travaglia S
2026-07-17 2026 Bastad, Sweden
Travaglia S Vallejo A D 2:0 Travaglia S
2026-07-15 2026 Bastad, Sweden
Travaglia S Travaglia S 2:0 Navone M
2026-07-14 2026 Bastad, Sweden
Travaglia S Travaglia S 2:0 Krumich M
2026-06-30 2026 Milan, Italy
Travaglia S Dalla Valle E 2:0 Travaglia S
2 Wins
3 Losses
0.8 Sets won
1.2 Sets lost
40% Win percentage
Dodig M
W W L L W
2026-08-03 2026 Hagen, Germany, Qualifying
Dodig M 2:0 Krutykh O Dodig M
2026-08-02 2026 Hagen, Germany, Qualifying
Dodig M 2:0 Opitz J Dodig M
2026-07-14 2026 Umag, Croatia
Dodig M 0:2 Carreno Busta P Dodig M
2026-07-12 2026 Trieste, Italy
Dodig M 1:2 Dellien H Dodig M
2026-07-11 2026 Trieste, Italy
Dodig M 2:1 Squire H Dodig M
3 Wins
2 Losses
1.4 Sets won
1.0 Sets lost
60% Win percentage
Match center

Full head-to-head historyTravaglia S - Dodig M

Travaglia S
0 matches total
Dodig M
Biggest win — largest score margin
Highest-scoring match — most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw — draw with the most goals

Match history