TennisChallenger Men - Singles: Istanbul 2 (Turkey), hard
Challenger Men - Singles: Istanbul 2 (Turkey), hardhard04.08.2026 10:00 UTCFinished
04.08.2026 10:00 UTCFinished
Bar Biryukov P
LLLLL
I
Inchauspe P
LWWWL
0:2
Odds
P12.90
33.5% BetBoom
P21.46
66.5% BetBoom
Coverage: hard
PreviewStatisticsBroadcastComments
About the athletes
-Country-
-Rating-
-Age-
-Height (cm)-
-Weight (kg)-
-Hand-
-Seed-
hardCoveragehard
0H2H0
Bar Biryukov P take on Inchauspe P on August 4, 2026 in the Challenger Men - Singles: Istanbul 2 (Turkey), hard.
Recent form (W-D-L): Bar Biryukov P 0-0-5, Inchauspe P 3-0-2. PrognozAI's Glicko-2 model gives the home side 39% to win. Read on for detailed stats, previous meetings, the bookmaker line and the PrognozAI neural-network verdict.
🎯 PropickAI prediction
Medium confidence
Our model prediction (Glicko-2)
PropickAI model · comparison with the market line (no margin)
2Inchauspe P — 61%
Pure model vs market (2 · Inchauspe P): model 38% · market 64%Δ −26 ppmodel estimates below the market
61%2
1 · Bar Biryukov P38.9%
market36%
2 · Inchauspe P ✓ Pick61.1%
market64%
Model estimate: win Bar Biryukov P 38.9%, win Inchauspe P 61.1%. Model favourite — Inchauspe P.
Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.
🤖AI agent prediction
Independent AI-agent assessment from our data (model, market line, form, H2H)
2Inchauspe P (odds1.37)Score 1:2confidence 65%✓ outcome correct
•Bar-Biryukov P
•(World) — Inshosp P
•🇫🇷 (tennis)
•Bar-Biryukov P
•(World): forma VVVVV (5-0)
•Inshosp P
•🇫🇷: forma PVVVP (3-2)
•Model backs Inshosp P
•🇫🇷: probability 65% vs 73% on the line (odds 1.37)
•no edge over the line (-8 pp) — informational only.
Analytical AI-agent assessment, not a betting recommendation.
*
Math-model prediction
AI match prediction Bar Biryukov P - Inchauspe P August 4, 2026
Tennis math model
Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Inchauspe P.
Line favourite Fonbet: Inchauspe P. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
Win odds (Fonbet): 1 2.90 / 2 1.35
Glicko: Bar Biryukov P 38.9% / Inchauspe P 61.1%
%
For reference
Fair probability (no margin)
Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
Winner
bookmaker margin 8.0%
4 books
136.3%
2 ✓ Pick63.7%
Odds source: consensus of 4 books (Baltbet, Betcity, Fonbet, Leon). This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.
⇅
For reference
Line movement
How the odds changed from opening to the current line — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
Winner 12.90→ 2.90
Winner 21.35→ 1.35
↓ odds shortened (money on this outcome), ↑ drifted (line weakened). For reference, not a betting recommendation.
AI
Model consensus
AI outcome leader: 1
Main outcome
Agreement1/1
Confidence62.0%
Modeli dayut edinyy signal. Takie matchi my pomechaem kak bolee silnye.
*
AI overview
AI predictions
AI analysis:2/7 ready· Still preparing:DeepSeek, ChatGPT, Qwen, Kimi, GLM 5.2
Google AIupdated04.08.2026 09:10 UTC
139%
261%✓ favourite
Score1:2Total games: Over 22.5Bet:2
Per AI dataH2H: 0-0
Claudeupdated04.08.2026 09:15 UTC
162%✓ favourite
238%
Score2:0Total games: Over 22.5Bet:1 — win Bar-Biryukova (tsennost do koeffitsienta 1.75)
AI consensus:1
AI
1
2
Score
Total games
Bet
Google AI
39%
61%
1:2
Over 22.5
Claude
62%
38%
2:0
Over 22.5
Match center
Start04.08.2026 10:00 UTC
Market1 31.8% @ 2.90 / 2 68.2% @ 1.35
Coveragehard
Form6 matches
🥊 Humans vs Machines
🤖 7 AI modelsBar Biryukov P 51%
📐 Math modelInchauspe P 61%
Every pick locked before kickoff · public log
Match center
Bar Biryukov P - Inchauspe P
V baze uchteny nedavnie matchi oboikh uchastnikov.
Form5/5
recent games
H2H0
head-to-head matches
Market2
model / bookmakers
Flashscorematch data
source checked
Oddsmatch data
source checked
Bookiesapimatch data
source checked
Line depthmatch data
source checked
Present in data
MarketFormMatchParticipantsLineMovementOverview
More needed
H2HChampionat, Flashscore
TournamentChampionat, Flashscore
Post-match / PropickAI database
Score0:2
Events0
Statistics0
PropickAI check: math model and Glicko-2
We mark in green only strong signals where the model passed our publication filter. The other rows are for audit and training.
OptionSignalPrediction / actualRating
Glicko-2: base favouriteAudit
tennis is audit-only for now: surface, serve/return and market are needed
Data: line, form, coverage
away - 61.1% fact: away
hit / ROI 46.0% / Brier 0.302 / LogLoss 0.492
Glicko-2: calibrated favouriteAudit
tennis is audit-only for now: surface, serve/return and market are needed
Data: line, form, coverage
away - 51.3% fact: away
hit / ROI 46.0% / Brier 0.474 / LogLoss 0.667
Market and Glicko
Tennis math model.
Tennis without draws: the base signal comes from player rating, surface, form, serve/return and tournament fatigue. For live logic the set state and who is serving matter more than the overall points score.
OutcomeLineGlickoSignal
Bar Biryukov P36.3%38.9%
Inchauspe P63.7%61.1%market and model agree
1X2: 4 Bookies
Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.
Tennis math model
P1 / P238.9% / 61.1%
probabilities
Rating2,004 / 1,725
Bar Biryukov P / Inchauspe P
RD156 / 139
rating uncertainty
r +/- 2RD1,692-2,317 / 1,447-2,003
strength interval
Tennis without draws: the base signal comes from player rating, surface, form, serve/return and tournament fatigue. For live logic the set state and who is serving matter more than the overall points score.
Betting snapshot
1X2
21.35
Fonbet · no value · model 61.1%
12.90
Fonbet · no value · model 38.9%
Total
Over 22.51.85
Fonbet · line only
Over 23.52.10
Fonbet · line only
Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.
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