TennisChallenger Men - Singles: Istanbul 2 (Turkey), hard
Challenger Men - Singles: Istanbul 2 (Turkey), hardhard04.08.2026 11:30 UTCFinished
04.08.2026 11:30 UTCFinished
B
Bittoun Kouzmine C
LWWWW
Ostapenkov D
LWLLW
1:2
Odds
P112.50
10.9% BetBoom
P21.53
89.1% BetBoom
Coverage: hard
PreviewStatisticsBroadcastComments
About the athletes
-Country-
-Rating-
-Age-
-Height (cm)-
-Weight (kg)-
-Hand-
-Seed-
hardCoveragehard
0H2H0
Bittoun Kouzmine C meet Ostapenkov D on August 4, 2026 in the Challenger Men - Singles: Istanbul 2 (Turkey), hard.
Recent form (W-D-L): Bittoun Kouzmine C 4-0-1, Ostapenkov D 2-0-3. PrognozAI's Glicko-2 model gives the home side 41% to win. Below: team form, head-to-head history, bookmaker odds and the full PrognozAI AI breakdown.
🎯 PropickAI prediction
Low confidence
Our model prediction (Glicko-2)
PropickAI model · comparison with the market line (no margin)
2Ostapenkov D — 59%
Pure model vs market (2 · Ostapenkov D): model 38% · market 61%Δ −23 ppmodel estimates below the market
59%2
1 · Bittoun Kouzmine C41.1%
market39%
2 · Ostapenkov D58.9%
market61%
Model estimate: win Bittoun Kouzmine C 41.1%, win Ostapenkov D 58.9%. Model favourite — Ostapenkov D.
Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.
🤖AI agent prediction
Independent AI-agent assessment from our data (model, market line, form, H2H)
2Ostapenkov D (odds1.52)Score 1:2confidence 59%✓ outcome correct · exact score
•Bittun-Kuzmin K
•🇫🇷 — Ostapenkov D
•(World) (tennis)
•Bittun-Kuzmin K
•🇫🇷: forma PVVVV (4-1)
•Ostapenkov D
•(World): forma PVPVV (3-2)
•liniya na pik P2 1.88→1.52 (ukorotilas — dengi na pik)
•Model backs Ostapenkov D
•(World): probability 59% vs 66% on the line (odds 1.52)
•no edge over the line (-7 pp) — informational only.
Analytical AI-agent assessment, not a betting recommendation.
*
Math-model prediction
AI match prediction Bittoun Kouzmine C - Ostapenkov D August 4, 2026
Tennis math model
Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Ostapenkov D.
Line favourite Fonbet: Ostapenkov D. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
Win odds (Fonbet): 1 12.50 / 2 1.01
Glicko: Bittoun Kouzmine C 41.1% / Ostapenkov D 58.9%
%
For reference
Fair probability (no margin)
Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
Winner
bookmaker margin 7.7%
4 books · best price +1.3%
138.7%
261.3%
Odds source: consensus of 4 books (Baltbet, Betcity, Fonbet, Leon). This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.
⇅
For reference
Line movement
How the odds changed from opening to the current line — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
Winner 11.88↑ 12.50
Winner 21.88↓ 1.01
↓ odds shortened (money on this outcome), ↑ drifted (line weakened). For reference, not a betting recommendation.
AI
Model consensus
AI outcome leader: 1
Main outcome
Agreement1/1
Confidence62.0%
Modeli dayut edinyy signal. Takie matchi my pomechaem kak bolee silnye.
*
AI overview
AI predictions
AI analysis:2/7 ready· Still preparing:DeepSeek, ChatGPT, Qwen, Kimi, GLM 5.2
Google AIupdated04.08.2026 11:13 UTC
138%
262%✓ favourite
Score0:2Total games: Under 22.5Bet:2
Per AI dataH2H: 0:0
Claudeupdated04.08.2026 11:17 UTC
144%
256%✓ favourite
Score1:2Total games: Over 22.5Bet:Over 22.5 games
AI consensus:2
AI
1
2
Score
Total games
Bet
Google AI
38%
62%
0:2
Under 22.5
Claude
44%
56%
1:2
Over 22.5
Over 22.5 games
Match center
Start04.08.2026 11:30 UTC
Market1 7.5% @ 12.50 / 2 92.5% @ 1.01
Coveragehard
Form6 matches
🥊 Humans vs Machines
🤖 7 AI modelsOstapenkov D 59%
📐 Math modelOstapenkov D 59%
Every pick locked before kickoff · public log
Match center
Bittoun Kouzmine C - Ostapenkov D
V baze uchteny nedavnie matchi oboikh uchastnikov.
Form5/5
recent games
H2H0
head-to-head matches
Market2
model / bookmakers
Flashscorematch data
source checked
Oddsmatch data
source checked
Bookiesapimatch data
source checked
Line depthmatch data
source checked
Present in data
MarketFormMatchParticipantsLineMovementOverview
More needed
H2HChampionat, Flashscore
TournamentChampionat, Flashscore
Post-match / PropickAI database
Score1:2
Events0
Statistics0
PropickAI check: math model and Glicko-2
We mark in green only strong signals where the model passed our publication filter. The other rows are for audit and training.
OptionSignalPrediction / actualRating
Glicko-2: base favouriteAudit
tennis is audit-only for now: surface, serve/return and market are needed
Data: line, form, coverage
away - 58.9% fact: away
hit / ROI 53.0% / Brier 0.337 / LogLoss 0.529
Glicko-2: calibrated favouriteAudit
tennis is audit-only for now: surface, serve/return and market are needed
Data: line, form, coverage
away - 51.1% fact: away
hit / ROI 53.0% / Brier 0.479 / LogLoss 0.672
Market and Glicko
Tennis math model.
Tennis without draws: the base signal comes from player rating, surface, form, serve/return and tournament fatigue. For live logic the set state and who is serving matter more than the overall points score.
OutcomeLineGlickoSignal
Bittoun Kouzmine C38.7%41.1%
Ostapenkov D61.3%58.9%market and model agree
1X2: 4 Bookies
Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.
Tennis math model
P1 / P241.1% / 58.9%
probabilities
Rating1,847 / 1,525
Bittoun Kouzmine C / Ostapenkov D
RD116 / 196
rating uncertainty
r +/- 2RD1,614-2,079 / 1,132-1,918
strength interval
Tennis without draws: the base signal comes from player rating, surface, form, serve/return and tournament fatigue. For live logic the set state and who is serving matter more than the overall points score.
Betting snapshot
1X2
21.01
Fonbet · no value · model 58.9%
12.39
market consensus · no value · model 41.1%
Handicap
2 -0.51.06
Fonbet · line only
2 +0.51.82
Fonbet · line only
1 -0.56.50
Fonbet · line only
1 +0.51.88
Fonbet · line only
Total
Over 20.51.65
Fonbet · line only
Over 21.51.67
Fonbet · line only
Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.
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