TennisChallenger Men - Singles: Istanbul 2 (Turkey), hard
Challenger Men - Singles: Istanbul 2 (Turkey), hardhard05.08.2026 10:00 UTCFinished
05.08.2026 10:00 UTCFinished
Santillan A
W
G
Ghibaudo A
W
0:2
Odds
P12.10
46.7% BetBoom
P21.84
53.3% BetBoom
Coverage: hard
PreviewStatisticsBroadcastComments
About the athletes
-Country-
-Rating-
-Age-
-Height (cm)-
-Weight (kg)-
-Hand-
-Seed-
hardCoveragehard
0H2H0
Santillan A go head-to-head with Ghibaudo A on August 5, 2026 in the Challenger Men - Singles: Istanbul 2 (Turkey), hard.
Recent form (W-D-L): Santillan A 1-0-0, Ghibaudo A 1-0-0. PrognozAI's Glicko-2 model gives the home side 45% to win. Read on for detailed stats, previous meetings, the bookmaker line and the PrognozAI neural-network verdict.
🎯 PropickAI prediction
Our model prediction (Glicko-2)
2Ghibaudo A — 55%
Pure model vs market (2 · Ghibaudo A): model 48% · market 56%Δ −8 ppmodel estimates below the market
55%2
1 · Santillan A45.1%
2 · Ghibaudo A54.9%
Model estimate: win Santillan A 45.1%, win Ghibaudo A 54.9%. Model favourite — Ghibaudo A.
Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.
🤖AI agent prediction
Independent AI-agent assessment from our data (model, market line, form, H2H)
1Santillan A (odds1.96)Score 2:1confidence 52%✗ outcome missed
•Santilyan A
•🇯🇵 — Gibodo A
•🇫🇷 (tennis)
•Santilyan A
•🇯🇵: forma VPVPV (3-2)
•Gibodo A
•🇫🇷: forma VPPVP (2-3)
•Model backs Santilyan A
•🇯🇵: probability 52% vs 51% on the line (odds 1.96)
•legkiy pereves +1 pp nad liniey.
Analytical AI-agent assessment, not a betting recommendation.
*
Math-model prediction
AI match prediction Santillan A - Ghibaudo A August 5, 2026
Tennis math model
Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Ghibaudo A.
Line favourite market consensus: Ghibaudo A. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
Win odds (market consensus): 1 2.10 / 2 1.84
Glicko: Santillan A 45.1% / Ghibaudo A 54.9%
%
For reference
Fair probability (no margin)
Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
Winner
bookmaker margin 7.9%
3 books · best price +10.8%
144.3%
255.7%
Odds source: consensus of 3 books (Baltbet, Betcity, Leon). This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.
⚔
Head-to-head and form stats
Head-to-head and form
Team form
Santillan A
3-7LLLWWLLLWL
scored 0.8conceded 1.5
Ghibaudo A
no data
Head-to-head and recent form per sports statistics — for reference.
Match center
Start05.08.2026 10:00 UTC
Market1 46.7% @ 2.10 / 2 53.3% @ 1.84
Coveragehard
Form6 matches
Match center
Santillan A - Ghibaudo A
V baze uchteny nedavnie matchi oboikh uchastnikov.
Form1/1
recent games
H2H0
head-to-head matches
Market2
model / bookmakers
Flashscorematch data
source checked
Oddsmatch data
source checked
Line depthmatch data
source checked
Present in data
MarketFormMatchParticipantsLineOverview
More needed
H2HChampionat, Flashscore
TournamentChampionat, Flashscore
MovementLine history
Post-match / PropickAI database
Score0:2
Events0
Statistics0
PropickAI check: math model and Glicko-2
We mark in green only strong signals where the model passed our publication filter. The other rows are for audit and training.
OptionSignalPrediction / actualRating
Glicko-2: base favouriteAudit
tennis is audit-only for now: surface, serve/return and market are needed
Data: line, form, coverage
away - 54.9% fact: away
hit / ROI 84.0% / Brier 0.406 / LogLoss 0.599
Glicko-2: calibrated favouriteAudit
tennis is audit-only for now: surface, serve/return and market are needed
Data: line, form, coverage
away - 50.6% fact: away
hit / ROI 84.0% / Brier 0.488 / LogLoss 0.681
Market and Glicko
Tennis math model.
Tennis without draws: the base signal comes from player rating, surface, form, serve/return and tournament fatigue. For live logic the set state and who is serving matter more than the overall points score.
OutcomeLineGlickoSignal
Santillan A44.3%45.1%
Ghibaudo A55.7%54.9%market and model agree
1X2: 3 Bookies
Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.
Tennis math model
P1 / P245.1% / 54.9%
probabilities
Rating1,478 / 1,483
Santillan A / Ghibaudo A
RD170 / 203
rating uncertainty
r +/- 2RD1,138-1,818 / 1,077-1,890
strength interval
Tennis without draws: the base signal comes from player rating, surface, form, serve/return and tournament fatigue. For live logic the set state and who is serving matter more than the overall points score.
Betting snapshot
1X2
21.72
market consensus · no value · model 54.9%
12.02
market consensus · no value · model 45.1%
Handicap
2 -0.51.88
market consensus · line only
1 +0.51.85
market consensus · line only
Total
Over 22.51.95
market consensus · line only
Under 22.51.78
market consensus · line only
Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.
Bookmaker line
Match markets
bookmaker line and markets
Handicap
Outcome
Baltbet
Betcity
Leon
1.8354.6%
—
1.8753.5%
—
1.8753.5%
1.9152.4%
—
1.7756.5%
—
1.8952.9%
—
1.8753.5%
—
1.8354.6%
1.8354.6%
—
1.9351.8%
—
Total
Outcome
Baltbet
Betcity
Leon
Over 22.5
1.9152.4%
1.9451.6%
2.0050.0%
Under 22.5
1.8155.3%
1.7656.8%
1.7656.8%
Outcome (1X2)
Outcome
Baltbet
Betcity
Leon
1.8853.2%
2.1047.6%
2.0947.9%
1.8454.4%
1.6660.2%
1.6660.2%
Match center
Santillan A
W
04.08 11:30 UTCChallenger Men - Singles: Istanbul 2 (Turkey), hard
Santillan A2:1Singkh D. 🇮🇳
1Wins
0Losses
2.0Sets won
1.0Sets lost
100%Win percentage
Ghibaudo A
W
02.08 16:00 UTCChallenger Men - Singles: Istanbul 2 (Turkey), hard
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Singkh D. 🇮🇳