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Challenger Men - Singles: Leksington 🇺🇸, hard
Challenger Men - Singles: Leksington 🇺🇸, hard
06.08.2026 14:00 UTC

Dzhonson S. 🇺🇸 - Hara Friend J. D. 🇯🇵

✓ Prematch ready Prematch data ✓Line ✓Form –H2H ✓Prediction

Dzhonson S. 🇺🇸 take on Hara Friend J. D. 🇯🇵 on August 6, 2026 in the Challenger Men - Singles: Leksington 🇺🇸, hard.

Recent form (W-D-L): Dzhonson S. 🇺🇸 1-0-0, Hara Friend J. D. 🇯🇵 1-0-0. Below: team form, head-to-head history, bookmaker odds and the full PrognozAI AI breakdown.

🎯 PropickAI prediction
High confidence

Our model prediction (Glicko-2)

PropickAI model · comparison with the market line (no margin)

1 Dzhonson S. 🇺🇸 — 60%

1 · Dzhonson S. 🇺🇸 ✓ Pick60.0%
market47%
2 · Hara Friend J. D. 🇯🇵40.0%
market53%

Model estimate: win Dzhonson S. 🇺🇸 60.0%, win Hara Friend J. D. 🇯🇵 40.0%. Model favourite — Dzhonson S. 🇺🇸.

Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.

AI agent prediction

Independent AI-agent assessment from our data (model, market line, form, H2H)

1Dzhonson S. 🇺🇸 (odds2.11) Score 2:1 confidence 60%
  • • Dzhonson S
  • • 🇺🇸 — Hara Friend J
  • • D
  • • 🇯🇵 (tennis)
  • • Dzhonson S
  • • 🇺🇸: forma VVPPV (3-2)
  • • Hara Friend J
  • • D
  • • 🇯🇵: forma VPVVV (4-1)
  • • Model backs Dzhonson S
  • • 🇺🇸: probability 60% vs 47% on the line (odds 2.11)
  • • edge over the line +13 pp — value pick.

Analytical AI-agent assessment, not a betting recommendation.

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Dzhonson S. 🇺🇸 - Hara Friend J. D. 🇯🇵 August 6, 2026

Tennis math model

The summary is built from our prematch context: line, form, lineups and Glicko.

Line favourite market consensus: Hara Friend J. D. 🇯🇵. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • Win odds (market consensus): 1 2.00 / 2 1.75

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
Winner bookmaker margin 7.9% 3 books
1 ✓ Pick 46.5%
2 53.5%

Odds source: consensus of 3 books (Baltbet, Betcity, Leon). This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

Head-to-head and form stats

Head-to-head and form

Team form

Dzhonson S. 🇺🇸

no data

Hara Friend J. D. 🇯🇵
7-3WLWWLLWWWW
scored 1.6conceded 0.8

Head-to-head and recent form per sports statistics — for reference.

Tennis Challenger Men - Singles: Leksington 🇺🇸, hard
Challenger Men - Singles: Leksington 🇺🇸, hard hard 06.08.2026 14:00 UTC Not started
06.08.2026 14:00 UTC Not started
Dzhonson S. 🇺🇸
Dzhonson S. 🇺🇸
W
H
Hara Friend J. D. 🇯🇵
W
-:-
Odds
P1 2.11 43.9% BetBoom
P2 1.65 56.1% BetBoom
Coverage: hard
Preview Statistics Broadcast Comments

About the athletes

- Country -
- Rating -
- Age -
- Height (cm) -
- Weight (kg) -
- Hand -
- Seed -
hard Coverage hard
0 H2H 0
Match center
Start 06.08.2026 14:00 UTC
Market 1 46.7% @ 2.00 / 2 53.3% @ 1.75
Coverage hard
Form 6 matches
Match center

Dzhonson S. 🇺🇸 - Hara Friend J. D. 🇯🇵

V baze uchteny nedavnie matchi oboikh uchastnikov.

Form 1/1 recent games
H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 2 model / bookmakers
Flashscore match data source checked
Odds match data source checked
Line depth match data source checked
Present in data
Market Form Match Participants Line Overview
More needed
H2H Championat, Flashscore
Tournament Championat, Flashscore
Movement Line history
Market and Glicko

Tennis math model. Tennis without draws: the base signal comes from player rating, surface, form, serve/return and tournament fatigue. For live logic the set state and who is serving matter more than the overall points score.

Outcome Line Glicko Signal
Dzhonson S. 🇺🇸 43.9% 60.0% Glicko contrarian
Hara Friend J. D. 🇯🇵 56.1% 40.0% market favourite

Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.

Tennis math model
P1 / P2 60.0% / 40.0% probabilities
Rating 1,863 / 1,649 Dzhonson S. 🇺🇸 / Hara Friend J. D. 🇯🇵
RD 147 / 136 rating uncertainty
r +/- 2RD 1,570-2,156 / 1,377-1,921 strength interval
HFA: 0 HFA mu: 0.000 MoV: on N: N=1 P: two_way_glicko2_expected_score

Best value: no value found

Tennis without draws: the base signal comes from player rating, surface, form, serve/return and tournament fatigue. For live logic the set state and who is serving matter more than the overall points score.

Betting snapshot
1X2
2 1.74 market consensus · no value · model 40.0%
1 1.99 market consensus · value +19.5% · model 60.0%
Handicap
2 -0.5 1.81 market consensus · line only
1 +0.5 1.91 market consensus · line only
Total
Over 22.5 1.86 market consensus · line only
Under 22.5 1.86 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Handicap

Outcome Baltbet Betcity
1.91 52.4% —
1.84 54.4% 1.75 57.1%
1.83 54.6% 1.83 54.6%
1.81 55.3% —
1.88 53.2% 1.96 51.0%
1.89 52.9% 1.87 53.5%

Total

Outcome Baltbet Betcity
Over 22.5 1.86 53.8% 1.85 54.1%
Under 22.5 1.86 53.8% 1.85 54.1%

Outcome (1X2)

Outcome Baltbet Betcity Leon
2.00 50.0% 2.00 50.0% 1.97 50.8%
1.74 57.5% 1.72 58.1% 1.75 57.1%
Match center
Dzhonson S. 🇺🇸
W
04.08 19:15 UTC Challenger Men - Singles: Leksington 🇺🇸, hard
Dzhonson S. 🇺🇸 2:0 Echargi M. (Tun)
1 Wins
0 Losses
2.0 Sets won
0.0 Sets lost
100% Win percentage
Hara Friend J. D. 🇯🇵
W
04.08 19:00 UTC Challenger Men - Singles: Leksington 🇺🇸, hard
Hara Friend J. D. 🇯🇵 2:1 Smit K. 🇺🇸Smit K. 🇺🇸
1 Wins
0 Losses
2.0 Sets won
1.0 Sets lost
100% Win percentage