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Challenger Men - Singles: Leksington πŸ‡ΊπŸ‡Έ, hard
Challenger Men - Singles: Leksington πŸ‡ΊπŸ‡Έ, hard
04.08.2026 18:00 UTC

Hara Friend J D - Smith Colton

✓ Prematch ready Prematch data ✓Line ✓Form –H2H ✓Prediction

Hara Friend J D take on Smith Colton on August 4, 2026 in the Challenger Men - Singles: Leksington πŸ‡ΊπŸ‡Έ, hard.

Recent form (W-D-L): Hara Friend J D 4-0-1, Smith Colton 2-0-3. Read on for detailed stats, previous meetings, the bookmaker line and the PrognozAI neural-network verdict.

🎯 PropickAI prediction
Low confidence

Our model prediction (Glicko-2)

PropickAI model Β· comparison with the market line (no margin)

2 Smith Colton β€” 58%

Pure model vs market (2 Β· Smith Colton): model 48% Β· market 59% Ξ” βˆ’11 pp model estimates below the market

1 Β· Hara Friend J D41.9%
market41%
2 Β· Smith Colton58.1%
market59%

Model estimate: win Hara Friend J D 41.9%, win Smith Colton 58.1%. Model favourite β€” Smith Colton.

Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.

AI agent prediction

Independent AI-agent assessment from our data (model, market line, form, H2H)

1Hara Friend J D (odds2.20) Score 2:1 confidence 52%
  • • Hara Friend J
  • • D
  • • πŸ‡―πŸ‡΅ β€” Smit K
  • • πŸ‡ΊπŸ‡Έ (tennis)
  • • Hara Friend J
  • • D
  • • πŸ‡―πŸ‡΅: forma PVVVP (3-2)
  • • Smit K
  • • πŸ‡ΊπŸ‡Έ: forma PPVVP (2-3)
  • • Model backs Hara Friend J
  • • D
  • • πŸ‡―πŸ‡΅: probability 52% vs 45% on the line (odds 2.20)
  • • edge over the line +7 pp β€” value pick.

Analytical AI-agent assessment, not a betting recommendation.

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Hara Friend J D - Smith Colton August 4, 2026

Tennis math model

The summary is built from our prematch context: line, form, lineups and Glicko.

Line favourite Fonbet: Smith Colton. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • Win odds (Fonbet): 1 2.25 / 2 1.55

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin β€” for reference, not a betting recommendation.
Winner bookmaker margin 8.2% 4 books Β· best price +1.9%
1 40.7%
2 59.3%

Odds source: consensus of 4 books (Baltbet, Betcity, Fonbet, Leon). This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds β€” reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

For reference

Line movement

How the odds changed from opening to the current line β€” for reference, not a betting recommendation.
Winner P1 2.25 β†’ 2.25
Winner P2 1.58 ↓ 1.55

↓ odds shortened (money on this outcome), ↑ drifted (line weakened). For reference, not a betting recommendation.

AI

Model consensus

AI outcome leader: 1

Main outcome
Agreement 1/1
Confidence 62.0%

Modeli dayut edinyy signal. Takie matchi my pomechaem kak bolee silnye.

Head-to-head and form stats

Head-to-head and form

Team form

Hara Friend J D
7-3WLWWLLWWWW
scored 1.6conceded 0.8
Smith Colton
7-3WWLLWLWWWW
scored 1.7conceded 0.8

Head-to-head and recent form per sports statistics β€” for reference.

AI overview

AI predictions

AI analysis:2/7 ready Β· Still preparing:DeepSeek, ChatGPT, Qwen, Kimi, GLM 5.2

Google AI updated03.08.2026 17:02 UTC
1 40%
2 60% ✓ favourite
Score1:2 Total games: Over 22.5 Bet:2
Per AI data Form:LWWWL / LLWWL H2H: 0-0 Injuries:no
Claude updated03.08.2026 15:11 UTC
1 44%
2 56% ✓ favourite
Score2:1 Total games: Over 22.5 Bet:Over 22.5 games

AI consensus:2

AI 1 2 Score Total games Bet
Google AI 40% 60% 1:2 Over 22.5
Claude 44% 56% 2:1 Over 22.5 Over 22.5 games
Tennis Challenger Men - Singles: Leksington πŸ‡ΊπŸ‡Έ, hard
Challenger Men - Singles: Leksington πŸ‡ΊπŸ‡Έ, hard hard 04.08.2026 18:00 UTC Not started
04.08.2026 18:00 UTC Not started
H
Hara Friend J D
L W W W W
Smith Colton
Smith Colton
L L L W W
-:-
Odds
P1 2.30 40.9% BetBoom
P2 1.59 59.1% BetBoom
Coverage: hard
Preview Statistics Broadcast Comments

About the athletes

- Country -
- Rating -
- Age -
- Height (cm) -
- Weight (kg) -
- Hand -
- Seed -
hard Coverage hard
0 H2H 0
Match center
Start 04.08.2026 18:00 UTC
Market 1 40.8% @ 2.25 / 2 59.2% @ 1.55
Coverage hard
Form 6 matches
πŸ₯Š Humans vs Machines
πŸ€– 7 AI models Smith Colton 58%
πŸ“ Math model Smith Colton 58%
Every pick locked before kickoff Β· public log
Match center

Hara Friend J D - Smith Colton

V baze uchteny nedavnie matchi oboikh uchastnikov.

Form 5/5 recent games
H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 2 model / bookmakers
Flashscore match data source checked
Odds match data source checked
Bookiesapi match data source checked
Line depth match data source checked
Present in data
Market Form Match Participants Line Movement Overview
More needed
H2H Championat, Flashscore
Tournament Championat, Flashscore
Market and Glicko

Tennis math model. Tennis without draws: the base signal comes from player rating, surface, form, serve/return and tournament fatigue. For live logic the set state and who is serving matter more than the overall points score.

Outcome Line Glicko Signal
Hara Friend J D 40.7% 41.9%
Smith Colton 59.3% 58.1% market and model agree

Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.

Tennis math model
P1 / P2 41.9% / 58.1% probabilities
Rating 1,630 / 1,630 Hara Friend J. D. πŸ‡―πŸ‡΅ / Smit K. πŸ‡ΊπŸ‡Έ
RD 146 / 127 rating uncertainty
r +/- 2RD 1,339-1,922 / 1,377-1,883 strength interval
HFA: 0 HFA mu: 0.000 MoV: on N: N=1 P: two_way_glicko2_expected_score

Best value: no value found

Tennis without draws: the base signal comes from player rating, surface, form, serve/return and tournament fatigue. For live logic the set state and who is serving matter more than the overall points score.

Betting snapshot
1X2
2 1.55 Fonbet Β· no value Β· model 58.1%
1 2.25 Fonbet Β· no value Β· model 41.9%
Handicap
2 +0.5 1.60 Fonbet Β· line only
1 +0.5 2.20 Fonbet Β· line only
Total
Over 21.5 1.65 Fonbet Β· line only
Over 22.5 1.90 Fonbet Β· line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

Open on Fonbet →
bookmaker line and markets

Handicap

Outcome Baltbet Betcity Fonbet
— — 2.20 45.5%
— — 2.02 49.5%
1.83 54.6% 1.80 55.6% 1.82 55.0%
— — 1.60 62.5%
— — 1.70 58.8%
— — 1.88 53.2%
1.89 52.9% 1.90 52.6% —

Total

Outcome Baltbet Betcity Fonbet
Over 21.5 — — 1.65 60.6%
Over 22.5 1.91 52.4% 1.88 53.2% 1.90 52.6%
Over 23.5 — — 2.10 47.6%
Over 24.5 — — 2.15 46.5%
Under 21.5 — — 2.10 47.6%
Under 22.5 1.81 55.3% 1.82 55.0% 1.80 55.6%
Under 23.5 — — 1.65 60.6%
Under 24.5 — — 1.63 61.4%

Outcome (1X2)

Outcome Baltbet Betcity Fonbet Leon
2.30 43.5% 2.30 43.5% 2.25 44.4% 2.22 45.1%
1.57 63.7% 1.54 64.9% 1.55 64.5% 1.59 62.9%
Match center
Hara Friend J D
L W W W W
2026-07-31 2026 Vancouver, Canada
Hara Friend J D Hara Friend J D 0:2 Wolf J J
2026-07-30 2026 Vancouver, Canada
Hara Friend J D Bonzi B 1:2 Hara Friend J D
2026-07-29 2026 Vancouver, Canada
Hara Friend J D Hara Friend J D 2:0 Samuel T
2026-07-29 2026 Vancouver, Canada
Hara Friend J D Broady L 1:2 Hara Friend J D
2026-07-28 2026 Vancouver, Canada, Qualifying
Hara Friend J D Hara Friend J D 2:0 Church C
4 Wins
1 Losses
1.6 Sets won
0.8 Sets lost
80% Win percentage
Smith Colton
L L L W W
2026-07-26 2026 Los Cabos, Mexico, Qualifying
Pascual Ferra R 2:1 Smith Colton Smith Colton
2026-07-21 2026 Bloomfield Hills, USA
Smith Colton 0:2 Wolf J J Smith Colton
2026-07-17 2026 Lincoln, USA
Smith Colton 1:2 Bu Yunchaokete Smith Colton
2026-07-16 2026 Lincoln, USA
Smith Colton 2:0 Matsuoka H Smith Colton
2026-07-14 2026 Lincoln, USA
Smith Colton 2:1 Ilagan A Smith Colton
2 Wins
3 Losses
1.2 Sets won
1.4 Sets lost
40% Win percentage