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Challenger Men - Singles: Leksington 🇺🇸, hard
Challenger Men - Singles: Leksington 🇺🇸, hard
03.08.2026 14:00 UTC

Hara Friend J D - Smith Colton

Hara Friend J D face Smith Colton on August 3, 2026 in the Challenger Men - Singles: Leksington 🇺🇸, hard.

Read on for detailed stats, previous meetings, the bookmaker line and the PrognozAI neural-network verdict.

🎯 PropickAI prediction

Our model prediction (Glicko-2)

1 Hara Friend J D — 52%

1 · Hara Friend J D52.3%
2 · Smith Colton47.7%

Model estimate: win Hara Friend J D 52.3%, win Smith Colton 47.7%. Model favourite — Hara Friend J D.

Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.

AI agent prediction

Independent AI-agent assessment from our data (model, market line, form, H2H)

1Hara Friend J D (odds2.20) Score 2:1 confidence 52%
  • • Hara Friend J
  • • D
  • • 🇯🇵 — Smit K
  • • 🇺🇸 (tennis)
  • • Hara Friend J
  • • D
  • • 🇯🇵: forma PVVVP (3-2)
  • • Smit K
  • • 🇺🇸: forma PPVVP (2-3)
  • • Model backs Hara Friend J
  • • D
  • • 🇯🇵: probability 52% vs 45% on the line (odds 2.20)
  • • edge over the line +7 pp — value pick.

Analytical AI-agent assessment, not a betting recommendation.

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Hara Friend J D - Smith Colton August 3, 2026

Tennis math model

The summary is built from our prematch context: line, form, lineups and Glicko.

Line favourite market consensus: Smith Colton. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • Win odds (market consensus): 1 2.17 / 2 1.62

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
Winner bookmaker margin 7.8%
1 42.7%
2 57.3%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

Head-to-head and form stats

Head-to-head and form

Team form

Hara Friend J D
7-3WLWWLLWWWW
scored 1.6conceded 0.8
Smith Colton
7-3WWLLWLWWWW
scored 1.7conceded 0.8

Head-to-head and recent form per sports statistics — for reference.

Tennis Challenger Men - Singles: Leksington 🇺🇸, hard
Challenger Men - Singles: Leksington 🇺🇸, hard hard 03.08.2026 14:00 UTC Not started
03.08.2026 14:00 UTC Not started
H
Hara Friend J D
Smith Colton
Smith Colton
-:-
Odds
P1 2.17 42.7% BetBoom
P2 1.62 57.3% BetBoom
Coverage: hard
Preview Statistics Broadcast Comments

About the athletes

- Country -
- Rating -
- Age -
- Height (cm) -
- Weight (kg) -
- Hand -
- Seed -
hard Coverage hard
0 H2H 0
Match center
Start 03.08.2026 14:00 UTC
Market 1 42.7% @ 2.17 / 2 57.3% @ 1.62
Coverage hard
Form 6 matches
Match center

Hara Friend J D - Smith Colton

V baze uchteny nedavnie matchi oboikh uchastnikov.

Form 5/5 recent games
H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 2 model / bookmakers
Flashscore match data source checked
Odds match data source checked
Line depth match data source checked
Present in data
Market Form Match Participants Line Overview
More needed
H2H Championat, Flashscore
Tournament Championat, Flashscore
Movement Line history
Market and Glicko

Tennis math model. Tennis without draws: the base signal comes from player rating, surface, form, serve/return and tournament fatigue. For live logic the set state and who is serving matter more than the overall points score.

Outcome Line Glicko Signal
Hara Friend J D 42.7% 52.3% Glicko contrarian
Smith Colton 57.3% 47.7% market favourite

Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.

Tennis math model
P1 / P2 52.3% / 47.7% probabilities
Rating 1,629 / 1,630 Hara Friend J D / Smith Colton
RD 146 / 126 rating uncertainty
r +/- 2RD 1,338-1,921 / 1,377-1,883 strength interval
HFA: 0 HFA mu: 0.000 MoV: on N: N=1 P: two_way_glicko2_expected_score

Best value: no value found

Tennis without draws: the base signal comes from player rating, surface, form, serve/return and tournament fatigue. For live logic the set state and who is serving matter more than the overall points score.

Betting snapshot
1X2
2 1.62 market consensus · no value · model 47.7%
1 2.17 market consensus · value +13.6% · model 52.3%

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Outcome (1X2)

Outcome Leon
2.17 46.1%
1.62 61.7%
Match center
Hara Friend J D
L W W W L
31.07 23:30 UTC+0 Challenger Men - Singles: Vankuver (Canada), hard
Hara Friend J D 0:2 Volf Dzh. 🇺🇸Volf Dzh. 🇺🇸
30.07 19:30 UTC+0 Challenger Men - Singles: Vankuver (Canada), hard
Hara Friend J D 2:1 Bonzi B. 🇫🇷Bonzi B. 🇫🇷
28.07 18:30 UTC+0 Challenger Men - Singles: Vankuver (Canada) - Qualifying, hard
Hara Friend J D 2:0 Church C. 🇨🇦
27.07 20:00 UTC+0 Challenger Men - Singles: Vankuver (Canada) - Qualifying, hard
Hara Friend J D 2:0 Moriya Kh. 🇯🇵Moriya Kh. 🇯🇵
20.07 18:30 UTC+0 Challenger Men - Singles: Winnipeg (Canada), hard
Hara Friend J D 0:2 Hsu Y. H. 🇹🇼
3 Wins
2 Losses
1.2 Sets won
1.0 Sets lost
60% Win percentage
Smith Colton
L L W W L
26.07 02:00 UTC+0 ATP - Singles: Los Kabos (Mexico) - Qualifying, hard
Smith Colton 1:2 Pascual Ferra R. 🇪🇸
25.07 13:00 UTC+0 Challenger Men - Singles: Segoviya (Spain), hard
Smith Colton 0:2 Pavlovich L. 🇫🇷Pavlovich L. 🇫🇷
24.07 08:00 UTC+0 Challenger Men - Singles: Segoviya (Spain), hard
Smith Colton 2:1 Inshosp P. 🇫🇷
22.07 15:00 UTC+0 Challenger Men - Singles: Segoviya (Spain), hard
Smith Colton 2:0 Fernades-Gonsales M. 🇪🇸
21.07 17:45 UTC+0 Challenger Men - Singles: Bloomfield Hills 🇺🇸, hard
Smith Colton 0:2 Volf Dzh. 🇺🇸Volf Dzh. 🇺🇸
2 Wins
3 Losses
1.0 Sets won
1.4 Sets lost
40% Win percentage