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Challenger Men - Singles: Leksington πŸ‡ΊπŸ‡Έ, hard
Challenger Men - Singles: Leksington πŸ‡ΊπŸ‡Έ, hard
04.08.2026 22:30 UTC Match prediction

Hurrion M - Pinnington Jones J

✓ Prematch ready Prematch data ✓Line ✓Form –H2H ✓Prediction
Tennis Challenger Men - Singles: Leksington πŸ‡ΊπŸ‡Έ, hard
Challenger Men - Singles: Leksington πŸ‡ΊπŸ‡Έ, hard hard 04.08.2026 22:30 UTC Finished
04.08.2026 22:30 UTC Finished
H
Hurrion M
W W L W W
Pinnington Jones J
Pinnington Jones J
L L L W L
2:0 7:6 6:4
1 2 GP
Hurrion M 7 6 2
Pinnington Jones J 6 4 0
1 2
Odds
P1 4.50 21.1% BetBoom
P2 1.20 79.0% BetBoom
Coverage: hard
Preview Statistics Broadcast Comments

About the athletes

- Country -
- Rating -
- Age -
- Height (cm) -
- Weight (kg) -
- Hand -
- Seed -
hard Coverage hard
0 H2H 0

Hurrion M meet Pinnington Jones J on August 4, 2026 in the Challenger Men - Singles: Leksington πŸ‡ΊπŸ‡Έ, hard.

Recent form (W-D-L): Hurrion M 4-0-1, Pinnington Jones J 1-0-4. PrognozAI's Glicko-2 model gives the home side 26% to win. Read on for detailed stats, previous meetings, the bookmaker line and the PrognozAI neural-network verdict.

🎯 PropickAI prediction
Medium confidence

Our model prediction (Glicko-2)

PropickAI model Β· comparison with the market line (no margin)

2 Pinnington Jones J β€” 74%

Pure model vs market (2 Β· Pinnington Jones J): model 41% Β· market 78% Ξ” βˆ’37 pp model estimates below the market

1 Β· Hurrion M26.0%
market22%
2 Β· Pinnington Jones J ✓ Pick74.0%
market78%

Model estimate: win Hurrion M 26.0%, win Pinnington Jones J 74.0%. Model favourite β€” Pinnington Jones J.

Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.

AI agent prediction

Independent AI-agent assessment from our data (model, market line, form, H2H)

2Pinnington Jones J (odds1.28) Score 1:2 confidence 69% βœ— outcome missed
  • • Khurrion M
  • • πŸ‡¬πŸ‡§ β€” Pinnington-Dzhons Dzh
  • • πŸ‡¬πŸ‡§ (tennis)
  • • Khurrion M
  • • πŸ‡¬πŸ‡§: forma VPVPP (2-3)
  • • Pinnington-Dzhons Dzh
  • • πŸ‡¬πŸ‡§: forma PPPP (0-4)
  • • Model backs Pinnington-Dzhons Dzh
  • • πŸ‡¬πŸ‡§: probability 69% vs 78% on the line (odds 1.28)
  • • no edge over the line (-9 pp) β€” informational only.

Analytical AI-agent assessment, not a betting recommendation.

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Hurrion M - Pinnington Jones J August 4, 2026

Tennis math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Pinnington Jones J.

Line favourite Fonbet: Pinnington Jones J. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • Win odds (Fonbet): 1 4.10 / 2 1.19
  • Glicko: Hurrion M 26.0% / Pinnington Jones J 74.0%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin β€” for reference, not a betting recommendation.
Winner bookmaker margin 8.1% 4 books
1 22.3%
2 ✓ Pick 77.7%

Odds source: consensus of 4 books (Baltbet, Betcity, Fonbet, Leon). This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds β€” reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

For reference

Line movement

How the odds changed from opening to the current line β€” for reference, not a betting recommendation.
Winner 1 3.40 ↑ 4.10
Winner 2 1.27 ↓ 1.20

↓ odds shortened (money on this outcome), ↑ drifted (line weakened). For reference, not a betting recommendation.

Head-to-head and form stats

Head-to-head and form

Team form

Hurrion M
2-8LLLLWWLLLL
scored 0.7conceded 1.6
Pinnington Jones J
3-7WLLLWLLLWL
scored 1.0conceded 1.5

Head-to-head and recent form per sports statistics β€” for reference.

Match center
Start 04.08.2026 22:30 UTC
Market 1 22.5% @ 4.10 / 2 77.5% @ 1.19
Coverage hard
Form 6 matches
Match center

Hurrion M - Pinnington Jones J

V baze uchteny nedavnie matchi oboikh uchastnikov.

Form 5/5 recent games
H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 2 model / bookmakers
Flashscore match data source checked
Odds match data source checked
Bookiesapi match data source checked
Line depth match data source checked
Present in data
Market Form Match Participants Line Movement Overview
More needed
H2H Championat, Flashscore
Tournament Championat, Flashscore
Post-match / PropickAI database
Score 2:0
Events 0
Statistics 0
Set Hurrion M Pinnington Jones J Result
Set 1 7 6 7:6
Set 2 6 4 6:4
PropickAI check: math model and Glicko-2

We mark in green only strong signals where the model passed our publication filter. The other rows are for audit and training.

Option Signal Prediction / actual Rating
Glicko-2: base favourite Audit tennis is audit-only for now: surface, serve/return and market are needed Data: line, form, coverage away - 74.0% fact: home missed / ROI -100.0% / Brier 1.095 / LogLoss 1.347
Glicko-2: calibrated favourite Audit tennis is audit-only for now: surface, serve/return and market are needed Data: line, form, coverage away - 52.9% fact: home missed / ROI -100.0% / Brier 0.559 / LogLoss 0.752
Market and Glicko

Tennis math model. Tennis without draws: the base signal comes from player rating, surface, form, serve/return and tournament fatigue. For live logic the set state and who is serving matter more than the overall points score.

Outcome Line Glicko Signal
Hurrion M 22.4% 26.0%
Pinnington Jones J 77.6% 74.0% market and model agree
1X2: 4 Bookies

Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.

Tennis math model
P1 / P2 26.0% / 74.0% probabilities
Rating 1,533 / 1,328 Hurrion M / Pinnington Jones J
RD 174 / 247 rating uncertainty
r +/- 2RD 1,186-1,881 / 834-1,823 strength interval
HFA: 0 HFA mu: 0.000 MoV: on N: N=1 P: two_way_glicko2_expected_score

Best value: no value found

Tennis without draws: the base signal comes from player rating, surface, form, serve/return and tournament fatigue. For live logic the set state and who is serving matter more than the overall points score.

Betting snapshot
1X2
2 1.19 Fonbet Β· no value Β· model 74.0%
1 4.10 Fonbet Β· no value Β· model 26.0%
Total
Over 19.5 1.60 Fonbet Β· line only
Over 20.5 1.82 Fonbet Β· line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

Open on Fonbet →
bookmaker line and markets

Handicap

Outcome Baltbet Betcity Fonbet Leon
— — 3.10 32.3% —
2.10 47.6% 2.02 49.5% 2.50 40.0% —
2.00 50.0% 1.92 52.1% 1.95 51.3% 2.00 50.0%
— — 1.57 63.7% —
— — 1.32 75.8% —
— — 1.45 69.0% —
— — 1.75 57.1% —
— — 2.25 44.4% —
1.66 60.2% 1.70 58.8% — —
1.73 57.8% 1.78 56.2% — 1.75 57.1%

Total

Outcome Baltbet Betcity Fonbet
Over 19.5 — — 1.60 62.5%
Over 20.5 1.86 53.8% 1.92 52.1% 1.82 55.0%
Over 21.5 1.86 53.8% 1.82 55.0% 2.02 49.5%
Over 22.5 — — 2.35 42.6%
Over 23.5 — — 2.60 38.5%
Under 19.5 — — 2.20 45.5%
Under 20.5 1.86 53.8% 1.78 56.2% 1.88 53.2%
Under 21.5 1.86 53.8% 1.88 53.2% 1.70 58.8%
Under 22.5 — — 1.52 65.8%
Under 23.5 — — 1.43 69.9%

Outcome (1X2)

Outcome Baltbet Betcity Fonbet Leon
4.10 24.4% 4.50 22.2% 4.10 24.4% 4.20 23.8%
1.20 83.3% 1.16 86.2% 1.19 84.0% 1.19 84.0%
Match center
Hurrion M
W W L W W
2026-08-03 2026 Lexington, USA, Qualifying
Hurrion M Zink T 1:2 Hurrion M
2026-08-02 2026 Lexington, USA, Qualifying
Hurrion M Hurrion M 2:0 Hernandez Alex
2026-07-21 2026 Winnipeg, Canada
Hurrion M Hurrion M 0:2 Draxl L
2026-07-20 2026 Winnipeg, Canada, Qualifying
Hurrion M Hurrion M 2:0 Bigun K
2026-07-20 2026 Winnipeg, Canada, Qualifying
Hurrion M Tokuda R 0:2 Hurrion M
4 Wins
1 Losses
1.6 Sets won
0.6 Sets lost
80% Win percentage
Pinnington Jones J
L L L W L
2026-07-29 2026 Vancouver, Canada
Pinnington Jones J 0:2 Samuel T Pinnington Jones J
2026-06-29 2026 Wimbledon, London, Great Britain
Nakashima B 3:0 Pinnington Jones J Pinnington Jones J
2026-06-24 2026 Eastbourne, Great Britain
Draper J 2:0 Pinnington Jones J Pinnington Jones J
2026-06-22 2026 Eastbourne, Great Britain
Pinnington Jones J 2:1 Trungelliti M Pinnington Jones J
2026-06-15 2026 London, Great Britain
Pinnington Jones J 1:2 Shapovalov D Pinnington Jones J
1 Wins
4 Losses
0.6 Sets won
2.0 Sets lost
20% Win percentage