TennisChallenger Men - Singles: Leksington πΊπΈ, hard
Challenger Men - Singles: Leksington πΊπΈ, hardhard04.08.2026 18:40 UTCFinished
04.08.2026 18:40 UTCFinished
Sakamoto R
Mayo E. πΊπΈ
W
2:0
Odds
P11.44
65.5% BetBoom
P22.73
34.5% BetBoom
Coverage: hard
PreviewStatisticsBroadcastComments
About the athletes
-Country-
-Rating-
-Age-
-Height (cm)-
-Weight (kg)-
-Hand-
-Seed-
hardCoveragehard
0H2H0
Sakamoto R meet Mayo E. πΊπΈ on August 4, 2026 in the Challenger Men - Singles: Leksington πΊπΈ, hard.
PrognozAI's Glicko-2 model gives the home side 63% to win. Read on for detailed stats, previous meetings, the bookmaker line and the PrognozAI neural-network verdict.
π― PropickAI prediction
Medium confidence
Our model prediction (Glicko-2)
PropickAI model Β· comparison with the market line (no margin)
1Sakamoto R β 63%
Pure model vs market (1 Β· Sakamoto R): model 46% Β· market 55%Ξ β9 ppmodel estimates below the market
63%1
1 Β· Sakamoto R ✓ Pick63.2%
market55%
2 Β· Mayo E. πΊπΈ36.8%
market45%
Model estimate: win Sakamoto R 63.2%, win Mayo E. πΊπΈ 36.8%. Model favourite β Sakamoto R.
Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.
π€AI agent prediction
Independent AI-agent assessment from our data (model, market line, form, H2H)
1Sakamoto R (odds1.42)Score 2:1confidence 63%β outcome correct
•Sakamoto R
•π―π΅ β Mayo E
•πΊπΈ (tennis)
•Sakamoto R
•π―π΅: forma PVPP (1-3)
•Mayo E
•πΊπΈ: forma PVPPP (1-4)
•Model backs Sakamoto R
•π―π΅: probability 63% vs 70% on the line (odds 1.42)
•no edge over the line (-7 pp) β informational only.
Analytical AI-agent assessment, not a betting recommendation.
*
Math-model prediction
AI match prediction Sakamoto R - Mayo E. πΊπΈ August 4, 2026
Tennis math model
Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Sakamoto R.
Line favourite market consensus: Sakamoto R. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
Win odds (market consensus): 1 1.71 / 2 2.07
Glicko: Sakamoto R 63.2% / Mayo E. πΊπΈ 36.8%
%
For reference
Fair probability (no margin)
Probability excluding the bookmaker margin β for reference, not a betting recommendation.
Winner
bookmaker margin 8.2%
3 books Β· best price +2.4%
1 ✓ Pick55.4%
244.7%
Odds source: consensus of 3 books (Baltbet, Betcity, Leon). This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds β reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.
⚔
Head-to-head and form stats
Head-to-head and form
Team form
Sakamoto R
6-4WWWLLLWWLW
scored 1.3conceded 1.3
Mayo E. πΊπΈ
no data
Head-to-head and recent form per sports statistics β for reference.
Match center
Start04.08.2026 18:40 UTC
Market1 54.8% @ 1.71 / 2 45.2% @ 2.07
Coveragehard
Form6 matches
Match center
Sakamoto R - Mayo E. πΊπΈ
V baze uchteny nedavnie matchi oboikh uchastnikov.
Form4/1
recent games
H2H0
head-to-head matches
Market2
model / bookmakers
Flashscorematch data
source checked
Oddsmatch data
source checked
Line depthmatch data
source checked
Present in data
MarketFormMatchParticipantsLineOverview
More needed
H2HChampionat, Flashscore
TournamentChampionat, Flashscore
MovementLine history
Post-match / PropickAI database
Score2:0
Events0
Statistics0
PropickAI check: math model and Glicko-2
We mark in green only strong signals where the model passed our publication filter. The other rows are for audit and training.
OptionSignalPrediction / actualRating
Glicko-2: base favouriteAudit
tennis is audit-only for now: surface, serve/return and market are needed
Data: line, form, coverage
home - 63.2% fact: home
hit / ROI 44.0% / Brier 0.271 / LogLoss 0.459
Glicko-2: calibrated favouriteAudit
tennis is audit-only for now: surface, serve/return and market are needed
Data: line, form, coverage
home - 51.6% fact: home
hit / ROI 44.0% / Brier 0.469 / LogLoss 0.662
Market and Glicko
Tennis math model.
Tennis without draws: the base signal comes from player rating, surface, form, serve/return and tournament fatigue. For live logic the set state and who is serving matter more than the overall points score.
OutcomeLineGlickoSignal
Sakamoto R65.1%63.2%market and model agree
Mayo E. πΊπΈ34.9%36.8%
1X2: 3 Bookies
Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.
Tennis math model
P1 / P263.2% / 36.8%
probabilities
Rating1,205 / 1,395
Sakamoto R. π―π΅ / Mayo E. πΊπΈ
RD211 / 174
rating uncertainty
r +/- 2RD783-1,627 / 1,047-1,743
strength interval
Tennis without draws: the base signal comes from player rating, surface, form, serve/return and tournament fatigue. For live logic the set state and who is serving matter more than the overall points score.
Betting snapshot
1X2
22.06
market consensus Β· no value Β· model 36.8%
11.68
market consensus Β· value +6.1% Β· model 63.2%
Total
Over 22.51.80
market consensus Β· line only
Over 23.51.96
market consensus Β· line only
Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.
Bookmaker line
Match markets
bookmaker line and markets
Handicap
Outcome
Baltbet
Betcity
Leon
1.9152.4%
1.8753.5%
1.8853.2%
—
1.7058.8%
—
2.0548.8%
—
—
1.8155.3%
1.8354.6%
1.8653.8%
—
2.0249.5%
—
1.7158.5%
—
—
Total
Outcome
Baltbet
Betcity
Leon
Over 22.5
1.8653.8%
1.8055.6%
1.7557.1%
Over 23.5
1.9551.3%
1.9551.3%
1.9850.5%
Under 22.5
1.8653.8%
1.9052.6%
2.0050.0%
Under 23.5
1.7856.2%
1.7656.8%
1.7756.5%
Outcome (1X2)
Outcome
Baltbet
Betcity
Leon
1.7158.5%
1.6759.9%
1.6759.9%
2.0548.8%
2.0748.3%
2.0748.3%
Match center
Sakamoto R
LWLL
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Legut T. π«π·
Vu Yibin π¨π³
Martines Portero P. πͺπΈ