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Challenger Men - Singles: Liberets (Czechia), clay
Challenger Men - Singles: Liberets (Czechia), clay
28.07.2026 06:00 UTC Match prediction

Kasnikowski M - Ferreira Silva F

Tennis Challenger Men - Singles: Liberets (Czechia), clay
Challenger Men - Singles: Liberets (Czechia), clay clay 28.07.2026 06:00 UTC Finished
28.07.2026 06:00 UTC Finished
K
Kasnikowski M
Ferreira Silva F
Ferreira Silva F
1:2
Odds
P1 15.00 16.0% BetBoom
P2 2.85 84.0% BetBoom
Coverage: clay
Preview Statistics Broadcast Comments

About the athletes

- Country -
- Rating -
- Age -
- Height (cm) -
- Weight (kg) -
- Hand -
- Seed -
clay Coverage clay
0 H2H 0
🎯 PropickAI prediction
High confidence

Our model prediction (Glicko-2)

PropickAI model · comparison with the market line (no margin)

1 Kasnikowski M — 66%

Pure model vs market (1 · Kasnikowski M): model 64% · market 6% Δ +58 pp model estimates above the market

1 · Kasnikowski M ✓ Pick66.1%
market6%
2 · Ferreira Silva F33.9%
market94%

Model estimate: win Kasnikowski M 66.1%, win Ferreira Silva F 33.9%. Model favourite — Kasnikowski M.

Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.

AI agent prediction

Independent AI-agent assessment from our data (model, market line, form, H2H)

1Kasnikowski M (odds1.44) Score 2:1 confidence 54% ✗ outcome missed
  • • Kasnikovski M
  • • 🇵🇱 — Ferreyra Silva F
  • • 🇵🇹 (tennis)
  • • Kasnikovski M
  • • 🇵🇱: forma PVVVP (3-2)
  • • Ferreyra Silva F
  • • 🇵🇹: forma PPPVP (1-4)
  • • Model backs Kasnikovski M
  • • 🇵🇱: probability 54% vs 70% on the line (odds 1.44)
  • • no edge over the line (-16 pp) — informational only.

Analytical AI-agent assessment, not a betting recommendation.

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Kasnikowski M - Ferreira Silva F July 28, 2026

Tennis math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Ferreira Silva F.

Line favourite Fonbet: Ferreira Silva F. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • Win odds (Fonbet): 1 15.00 / 2 1.01
  • Glicko: Kasnikowski M 66.1% / Ferreira Silva F 33.9%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
Winner bookmaker margin 5.7%
1 ✓ Pick 6.3%
2 93.7%

Odds source: Fonbet. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

For reference

Line movement

How the odds changed from opening to the current line — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
Winner 1 1.43 ↑ 15.00
Winner 2 2.60 ↓ 1.01

↓ odds shortened (money on this outcome), ↑ drifted (line weakened). For reference, not a betting recommendation.

AI

Model consensus

AI outcome leader: 1

Main outcome
Agreement 1/1
Confidence 62.0%

Modeli dayut edinyy signal. Takie matchi my pomechaem kak bolee silnye.

Head-to-head and form stats

Head-to-head and form

Team form

Kasnikowski M
6-4WWLLWLWWWL
scored 1.5conceded 0.9
Ferreira Silva F
3-7WLLLLLWLLW
scored 1.0conceded 1.4

Head-to-head and recent form per sports statistics — for reference.

AI overview

AI predictions

AI analysis:5/7 ready · Still preparing:DeepSeek, ChatGPT

Google AI updated28.07.2026 05:26 UTC
1 70% ✓ favourite
2 30%
Score2:0 Total games: Under 22.5 Bet:1
Per AI data Form:WLLWW / LLLLL H2H: 0:0
Claude updated28.07.2026 05:37 UTC
1 70% ✓ favourite
2 30%
Score2:0 Total games: Under 22.5 Bet:1 (win Kasnikovski)
Qwen updated28.07.2026 05:35 UTC
1 78% ✓ favourite
2 7%
Score2:0 Total games: Under 2.5 Bet:Win DAC Dunayska Streda
Per AI data H2H: 0-0
Kimi updated28.07.2026 06:24 UTC
1 67% ✓ favourite
2 33%
Score... Total games: ... Bet:...
Per AI data Form:... / ... H2H: ... Injuries:... Key:...
GLM 5.2 updated28.07.2026 05:52 UTC
1 72% ✓ favourite
2 28%
Score2:0 Total games: Over 22.5 Bet:1

AI consensus:1

AI 1 2 Score Total games Bet
Google AI 70% 30% 2:0 Under 22.5
Claude 70% 30% 2:0 Under 22.5
Qwen 78% 7% 2:0 Under 2.5 Win DAC Dunayska Streda
Kimi 67% 33% ... ... ...
GLM 5.2 72% 28% 2:0 Over 22.5
Match center
Start 28.07.2026 06:00 UTC
Coverage clay
Form 6 matches
🥊 Humans vs Machines
🤖 7 AI models Kasnikowski M 71%
📐 Math model Kasnikowski M 66%
Every pick locked before kickoff · public log
Match center

Kasnikowski M - Ferreira Silva F

V baze uchteny nedavnie matchi oboikh uchastnikov.

Form 5/5 recent games
H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 2 model / bookmakers
Flashscore match data source checked
Odds match data source checked
Bookiesapi match data source checked
Line depth match data source checked
Present in data
Market Form Match Participants Line Movement Overview
More needed
H2H Championat, Flashscore
Tournament Championat, Flashscore
Post-match / PropickAI database
Score 1:2
Events 0
Statistics 0
PropickAI check: math model and Glicko-2

We mark in green only strong signals where the model passed our publication filter. The other rows are for audit and training.

Option Signal Prediction / actual Rating
Glicko-2: base favourite Audit tennis is audit-only for now: surface, serve/return and market are needed Data: line, form, coverage home - 66.1% fact: away missed / ROI -100.0% / Brier 0.873 / LogLoss 1.081
Glicko-2: calibrated favourite Audit tennis is audit-only for now: surface, serve/return and market are needed Data: line, form, coverage home - 51.9% fact: away missed / ROI -100.0% / Brier 0.539 / LogLoss 0.733
Market and Glicko

Tennis math model. Tennis without draws: the base signal comes from player rating, surface, form, serve/return and tournament fatigue. For live logic the set state and who is serving matter more than the overall points score.

Outcome Line Glicko Signal
Kasnikowski M 66.3% 66.1% market and model agree
Ferreira Silva F 33.7% 33.9%
1X2: 4 Bookies

Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.

Tennis math model
P1 / P2 66.1% / 33.9% probabilities
Rating 1,750 / 1,303 Kasnikowski M / Ferreira Silva F
RD 132 / 185 rating uncertainty
r +/- 2RD 1,487-2,014 / 933-1,673 strength interval
HFA: 0 HFA mu: 0.000 MoV: on N: N=1 P: two_way_glicko2_expected_score

Best value: no value found

Tennis without draws: the base signal comes from player rating, surface, form, serve/return and tournament fatigue. For live logic the set state and who is serving matter more than the overall points score.

Betting snapshot
1X2
2 1.01 Fonbet · no value · model 33.9%
1 1.40 market consensus · no value · model 66.1%
Handicap
2 -0.5 1.80 Fonbet · line only
2 +0.5 1.55 Fonbet · line only
1 -0.5 1.90 Fonbet · line only
1 +0.5 2.25 Fonbet · line only
Total
Over 20.5 1.95 Fonbet · line only
Over 21.5 1.80 Fonbet · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

Open on Fonbet →
bookmaker line and markets

Handicap

Outcome Baltbet Betcity Fonbet
— — 1.90 52.6%
— — 1.47 68.0%
1.81 55.3% 1.85 54.1% —
— — 1.55 64.5%
— — 1.75 57.1%
— — 2.00 50.0%
1.91 52.4% 1.85 54.1% 1.05 95.2%
— — 1.02 98.0%
— — 3.50 28.6%
— — 2.45 40.8%
— — 1.80 55.6%
— — 2.50 40.0%
— — 1.90 52.6%
— — 1.70 58.8%
— — 1.55 64.5%

Total

Outcome Baltbet Betcity Fonbet
Over 20.5 — — 1.95 51.3%
Over 21.5 1.79 55.9% 1.75 57.1% 1.80 55.6%
Over 22.5 — — 1.80 55.6%
Over 23.5 — — 1.82 55.0%
Over 24.5 — — 1.25 80.0%
Over 25.5 — — 10.00 10.0%
Over 26.5 — — 6.60 15.2%
Under 20.5 — — 1.75 57.1%
Under 21.5 1.94 51.6% 1.97 50.8% 1.90 52.6%
Under 22.5 — — 1.90 52.6%
Under 23.5 — — 1.88 53.2%
Under 24.5 — — 3.50 28.6%
Under 25.5 — — 1.02 98.0%
Under 26.5 — — 1.06 94.3%

Outcome (1X2)

Outcome Baltbet Betcity Fonbet Leon
1.38 72.5% 1.43 69.9% 15.00 6.7% 1.40 71.4%
2.85 35.1% 2.65 37.7% 1.01 99.0% 2.75 36.4%
Match center
Kasnikowski M
L W W W L
25.07 09:30 UTC+0 Challenger Men - Singles: Tampere (Finland), clay
Kasnikowski M 0:2 Virtanen O. 🇫🇮Virtanen O. 🇫🇮
24.07 09:30 UTC+0 Challenger Men - Singles: Tampere (Finland), clay
Kasnikowski M 2:1 Barton G. 🇨🇿
22.07 11:30 UTC+0 Challenger Men - Singles: Tampere (Finland), clay
Kasnikowski M 2:0 Vasa E. 🇫🇮Vasa E. 🇫🇮
21.07 07:30 UTC+0 Challenger Men - Singles: Tampere (Finland), clay
Kasnikowski M 2:0 Vessels L. 🇩🇪
12.07 06:00 UTC+0 ATP - Singles: Bastad (Sweden) - Qualifying, clay
Kasnikowski M 1:2 Passaro F. 🇮🇹Passaro F. 🇮🇹
3 Wins
2 Losses
1.4 Sets won
1.0 Sets lost
60% Win percentage
Ferreira Silva F
L L L W L
20.07 12:00 UTC+0 ATP - Singles: Eshtoril (Portugal), clay
Ferreira Silva F 1:2 van Ash L. 🇫🇷van Ash L. 🇫🇷
12.07 06:00 UTC+0 ATP - Singles: Bastad (Sweden) - Qualifying, clay
Ferreira Silva F 0:2 Krumich M. 🇨🇿Krumich M. 🇨🇿
02.07 07:00 UTC+0 Challenger Men - Singles: Brashov (Romania), clay
Ferreira Silva F 0:2 Wallin O. 🇸🇪Wallin O. 🇸🇪
30.06 07:00 UTC+0 Challenger Men - Singles: Brashov (Romania), clay
Ferreira Silva F 2:0 Butvilas E. 🇱🇹Butvilas E. 🇱🇹
18.05 11:30 UTC+0 ATP - Singles: Otkrytyy Championship France (France) - Qualifying, clay
Ferreira Silva F 0:2 Gomes F. 🇦🇷
1 Wins
4 Losses
0.6 Sets won
1.6 Sets lost
20% Win percentage