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Challenger Men - Singles: Lincoln 🇺🇸, hard
Challenger Men - Singles: Lincoln 🇺🇸, hard
15.07.2026 01:00 MSK Match prediction

Blanch Dar. 🇺🇸 - Tomic B

Tennis Challenger Men - Singles: Lincoln 🇺🇸, hard
Challenger Men - Singles: Lincoln 🇺🇸, hard hard 15.07.2026 01:00 MSK Finished
15.07.2026 01:00 MSK Finished
B
Blanch Dar. 🇺🇸
T
Tomic B
1:2
Odds
P1 1.45 65.9% BetBoom
P2 2.80 34.1% BetBoom
Coverage: hard
Preview Statistics Broadcast Comments

About the athletes

- Country -
- Rating -
- Age -
- Height (cm) -
- Weight (kg) -
- Hand -
- Seed -
hard Coverage hard
0 H2H 0
🎯 PropickAI prediction
Medium confidence

Our model prediction (Glicko-2)

PropickAI model · comparison with the market line (no margin)

1 Blanch Dar. 🇺🇸 — 63%

Pure model vs market (1 · Blanch Dar. 🇺🇸): model 44% · market 66% Δ −22 pp model estimates below the market

1 · Blanch Dar. 🇺🇸 ✓ Прогноз62.5%
market66%
2 · Tomic B37.5%
market34%

Model estimate: win Blanch Dar. 🇺🇸 62.5%, win Tomic B 37.5%. Model favourite — Blanch Dar. 🇺🇸.

Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.

AI agent prediction

Independent AI-agent assessment from our data (model, market line, form, H2H)

1Blanch Dar. 🇺🇸 (odds1.45) confidence 57% ✗ outcome missed

Analytical AI-agent assessment, not a betting recommendation.

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Blanch Dar. 🇺🇸 - Tomic B 15 июля 2026

Tennis math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Blanch Dar. 🇺🇸.

Line favourite market consensus: Blanch Dar. 🇺🇸. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • Win odds (market consensus): 1 1.45 / 2 2.80
  • Glicko: Blanch Dar. 🇺🇸 62.5% / Tomic B 37.5%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
Winner bookmaker margin 4.7%
1 ✓ Прогноз 65.9%
2 34.1%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

AI

Model consensus

Лидер исходов AI: П1

Main outcome П1
Agreement 1/1
Confidence 62.0%

Модели дают единый сигнал. Такие матчи мы помечаем как более сильные.

Head-to-head and form stats

Head-to-head and form

Team form

Blanch Dar. 🇺🇸
6-4WWLLWWLWWL
scored 1.3conceded 1.1
Tomic B

no data

Head-to-head and recent form per sports statistics — for reference.

AI overview

AI predictions

AI analysis:1/7 ready · Still preparing:Google AI, DeepSeek, ChatGPT, Claude, Qwen, GLM 5.2

Kimi updated15.07.2026 02:02 MSK
1 65% ✓ favourite
2 35%
Score2:0 Total games: ТМ 22.5 Bet:P1 (Blanch)
Per AI data Form:2-3 (L vs Fearnley, W vs Johns, W vs Cassone, L vs Sweeny, W vs Jianu) / 2-3 (L vs Walton, W vs Shick, L vs O'Connell, W vs Uchida, L vs Gannon)
AI 1 2 Score Total games Bet
Kimi 65% 35% 2:0 ТМ 22.5 P1 (Blanch)
Match center
Start 15.07.2026 01:00 MSK
Coverage hard
Form 6 matches
Match center

Blanch Dar. 🇺🇸 - Tomic B

В базе учтены недавние матчи обоих участников.

Form 5/5 recent games
H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 2 model / bookmakers
Flashscore match data source checked
Odds match data source checked
Line depth match data source checked
Present in data
Market Form Match Participants Line Overview
More needed
H2H Championat, Flashscore
Tournament Championat, Flashscore
Movement Line history
Post-match / PropickAI database
Score 1:2
Events 0
Statistics 0
Market and Glicko

Tennis math model. Tennis without draws: the base signal comes from player rating, surface, form, serve/return and tournament fatigue. For live logic the set state and who is serving matter more than the overall points score.

Outcome Line Glicko Signal
Blanch Dar. 🇺🇸 64.5% 62.5% market and model agree
Tomic B 35.5% 37.5%
1X2: 3 Bookies

Glicko-2 - рейтинговая модель силы: сравнивает линию, историю и стабильность, но не дает гарантий.

Tennis math model
P1 / P2 62.5% / 37.5% probabilities
Rating 1,319 / 1,535 Blanch Dar. 🇺🇸 / Tomic B
RD 185 / 176 rating uncertainty
r +/- 2RD 949-1,688 / 1,183-1,888 strength interval
HFA: 0 HFA mu: 0.000 MoV: on N: N=1 P: two_way_glicko2_expected_score

Best value: value не найден

Tennis without draws: the base signal comes from player rating, surface, form, serve/return and tournament fatigue. For live logic the set state and who is serving matter more than the overall points score.

Betting snapshot
1X2
2 2.65 market consensus · no value · model 37.5%
1 1.42 market consensus · no value · model 62.5%
Total
Over 22.5 1.96 market consensus · line only
Under 22.5 1.77 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Handicap

Outcome Baltbet Betcity Leon
П1 -1.5 1.83 54.6% 1.80 55.6% —
П1 -2.5 1.81 55.3% 1.80 55.6% —
П1 -3.5 1.91 52.4% 1.97 50.8% 1.99 50.3%
П2 +1.5 1.89 52.9% 1.90 52.6% —
П2 +2.5 1.91 52.4% 1.90 52.6% —
П2 +3.5 1.81 55.3% 1.74 57.5% 1.76 56.8%

Total

Outcome Baltbet Betcity Leon
ТБ 22.5 1.95 51.3% 1.93 51.8% 1.99 50.3%
ТМ 22.5 1.78 56.2% 1.78 56.2% 1.76 56.8%

Outcome (1X2)

Outcome Baltbet Betcity Leon
П1 1.39 71.9% 1.45 69.0% 1.43 69.9%
П2 2.80 35.7% 2.55 39.2% 2.60 38.5%
Match center
Blanch Dar. 🇺🇸
L W W L L
10.07 19:00 UTC+0 ЧЕЛЛЕНДЖЕР МУЖЧИНЫ - ОДИНОЧНЫЙ РАЗРЯД: Newport (США), трава
Blanch Dar. 🇺🇸 0:2 Фирнли Дж. (Вел)
09.07 18:40 UTC+0 ЧЕЛЛЕНДЖЕР МУЖЧИНЫ - ОДИНОЧНЫЙ РАЗРЯД: Newport (США), трава
Blanch Dar. 🇺🇸 2:1 Джонс Г. (Сша)
08.07 19:25 UTC+0 ЧЕЛЛЕНДЖЕР МУЖЧИНЫ - ОДИНОЧНЫЙ РАЗРЯД: Newport (США), трава
Blanch Dar. 🇺🇸 2:1 Кассон М. (Сша)
13.06 08:00 UTC+0 ЧЕЛЛЕНДЖЕР МУЖЧИНЫ - ОДИНОЧНЫЙ РАЗРЯД: Илкли (Великобритания), трава
Blanch Dar. 🇺🇸 0:2 Фирнли Дж. (Вел)
22.05 11:00 UTC+0 ATP - ОДИНОЧНЫЙ РАЗРЯД: Открытый чемпионат Франции (Франция) - квалификация, грунт
Blanch Dar. 🇺🇸 0:2 Павлович Л. (Фра)Павлович Л. (Фра)
2 Wins
3 Losses
0.8 Sets won
1.6 Sets lost
40% Win percentage
Tomic B
L W L W L
09.07 17:40 UTC+0 ЧЕЛЛЕНДЖЕР МУЖЧИНЫ - ОДИНОЧНЫЙ РАЗРЯД: Newport (США), трава
Tomic B 1:2 Уолтон А. (Авс)
07.07 19:00 UTC+0 ЧЕЛЛЕНДЖЕР МУЖЧИНЫ - ОДИНОЧНЫЙ РАЗРЯД: Newport (США), трава
Tomic B 2:0 Shick B. (Сша)Shick B. (Сша)
07.06 10:00 UTC+0 ATP - ОДИНОЧНЫЙ РАЗРЯД: Хертогенбос (Нидерланды) - квалификация, трава
Tomic B 1:2 Бонзи Б. (Фра)Бонзи Б. (Фра)
06.06 10:50 UTC+0 ATP - ОДИНОЧНЫЙ РАЗРЯД: Хертогенбос (Нидерланды) - квалификация, трава
Tomic B 2:0 Deckers A. (Нид)Deckers A. (Нид)
03.06 17:00 UTC+0 ЧЕЛЛЕНДЖЕР МУЖЧИНЫ - ОДИНОЧНЫЙ РАЗРЯД: Tyler (США), хард
Tomic B 0:2 Matsuoka H. (Япо)Matsuoka H. (Япо)
2 Wins
3 Losses
1.2 Sets won
1.2 Sets lost
40% Win percentage