Challenger Men - Singles: Lincoln 🇺🇸, hard

14.07.2026 13:00 MSK Match prediction

Smith Colton - Ilagan A. 🇺🇸

Tennis Challenger Men - Singles: Lincoln 🇺🇸, hard

Challenger Men - Singles: Lincoln 🇺🇸, hard hard 14.07.2026 13:00 MSK Finished

14.07.2026 13:00 MSK Finished

Smith Colton

Ilagan A. 🇺🇸

2:1

Odds

P1 1.29 73.1% BetBoom

P2 3.50 26.9% BetBoom

Coverage: hard

Preview Statistics Broadcast Comments

About the athletes

- Country -

- Rating -

- Age -

- Height (cm) -

- Weight (kg) -

- Hand -

- Seed -

hard Coverage hard

1 H2H 1

Head-to-head history

ЧЕЛЛЕНДЖЕР МУЖЧИНЫ - ОДИНОЧНЫЙ РАЗРЯД: Little Rock (США), хард

Смит К. (Сша) 1 2

Ilagan A. (Сша) 0 0

🎯 PropickAI prediction

Medium confidence

Our model prediction (Glicko-2)

PropickAI model · comparison with the market line (no margin)

1 Smith Colton — 70%

Pure model vs market (1 · Smith Colton): model 50% · market 73% Δ −23 pp model estimates below the market

1 · Smith Colton ✓ Прогноз70.1%

market73%

2 · Ilagan A. 🇺🇸29.9%

market27%

Model estimate: win Smith Colton 70.1%, win Ilagan A. 🇺🇸 29.9%. Model favourite — Smith Colton.

Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.

AI agent prediction

Independent AI-agent assessment from our data (model, market line, form, H2H)

1Smith Colton (odds1.29) confidence 61% ✓ outcome correct

Analytical AI-agent assessment, not a betting recommendation.

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Smith Colton - Ilagan A. 🇺🇸 14 июля 2026

Tennis math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Smith Colton.

Line favourite Fonbet: Smith Colton. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.

Win odds (Fonbet): 1 1.27 / 2 3.35
Glicko: Smith Colton 70.1% / Ilagan A. 🇺🇸 29.9%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.

Winner bookmaker margin 8.6%

1 ✓ Прогноз 72.5%

2 27.5%

Odds source: Fonbet. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

For reference

Line movement

How the odds changed from opening to the current line — for reference, not a betting recommendation.

Победитель П1 1.30 ↓ 1.28

Победитель П2 3.20 ↑ 3.35

↓ odds shortened (money on this outcome), ↑ drifted (line weakened). For reference, not a betting recommendation.

Head-to-head and form stats

Head-to-head and form

Team form

Smith Colton

7-3WWLLWLWWWW

scored 1.7conceded 0.8

Ilagan A. 🇺🇸

no data

Head-to-head and recent form per sports statistics — for reference.

Match center

Start 14.07.2026 16:00 MSK

Coverage hard

Form 6 matches

H2H 1

Match center

Smith Colton - Ilagan A. 🇺🇸

В базе учтены недавние матчи обоих участников и 1 очных встреч.

Form 5/5 recent games

H2H 1 head-to-head matches

Market 2 model / bookmakers

Flashscore match data source checked

Odds match data source checked

Bookiesapi match data source checked

Line depth match data source checked

Present in data

Market Form Match Participants H2H Line Movement Overview

More needed

Tournament Championat, Flashscore

Post-match / PropickAI database

Score 2:1

Events 0

Statistics 0

Market and Glicko

Tennis math model. Tennis without draws: the base signal comes from player rating, surface, form, serve/return and tournament fatigue. For live logic the set state and who is serving matter more than the overall points score.

Outcome Line Glicko Signal

Smith Colton 72.4% 70.1% market and model agree

Ilagan A. 🇺🇸 27.7% 29.9%

1X2: 4 Bookies

Glicko-2 - рейтинговая модель силы: сравнивает линию, историю и стабильность, но не дает гарантий.

Tennis math model

P1 / P2 70.1% / 29.9% probabilities

Rating 1,645 / 1,653 Smith Colton / Ilagan A. 🇺🇸

RD 200 / 178 rating uncertainty

r +/- 2RD 1,246-2,044 / 1,298-2,008 strength interval

HFA: 0 HFA mu: 0.000 MoV: on N: N=1 P: two_way_glicko2_expected_score

Best value: value не найден

Tennis without draws: the base signal comes from player rating, surface, form, serve/return and tournament fatigue. For live logic the set state and who is serving matter more than the overall points score.

Betting snapshot

1X2

2 3.35 Fonbet · no value · model 29.9%

1 1.27 Fonbet · no value · model 70.1%

Total

Over 19.5 1.50 Fonbet · line only

Over 20.5 1.70 Fonbet · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

Открыть на Fonbet →

bookmaker line and markets

Handicap

Outcome	Baltbet	Betcity	Fonbet	Leon
П1 -2.5	—	—	1.45 69.0%	—
П1 -3.5	1.71 58.5%	1.78 56.2%	1.62 61.7%	—
П1 -4.5	2.00 50.0%	1.96 51.0%	2.00 50.0%	2.02 49.5%
П1 -5.5	—	—	2.60 38.5%	—
П2 +3.5	2.05 48.8%	1.92 52.1%	—	—
П2 +4.5	1.73 57.8%	1.75 57.1%	—	1.74 57.5%
П2 -2.5	—	—	2.60 38.5%	—
П2 -3.5	—	—	2.15 46.5%	—
П2 -4.5	—	—	1.73 57.8%	—
П2 -5.5	—	—	1.43 69.9%	—

Total

Outcome	Baltbet	Betcity	Fonbet	Leon
ТБ 19.5	—	—	1.50 66.7%	—
ТБ 20.5	1.76 56.8%	—	1.70 58.8%	—
ТБ 21.5	1.91 52.4%	1.90 52.6%	1.88 53.2%	1.94 51.6%
ТБ 22.5	—	—	2.15 46.5%	—
ТБ 23.5	—	—	2.40 41.7%	—
ТМ 19.5	—	—	2.40 41.7%	—
ТМ 20.5	1.97 50.8%	—	2.02 49.5%	—
ТМ 21.5	1.81 55.3%	1.80 55.6%	1.82 55.0%	1.80 55.6%
ТМ 22.5	—	—	1.62 61.7%	—
ТМ 23.5	—	—	1.50 66.7%	—

Outcome (1X2)

Outcome	Baltbet	Betcity	Fonbet	Leon
П1	1.29 77.5%	1.25 80.0%	1.27 78.7%	1.28 78.1%
П2	3.33 30.0%	3.50 28.6%	3.35 29.9%	3.35 29.9%

Match center

Smith Colton

L L W W W

06.07 06:00 UTC+0 ЧЕЛЛЕНДЖЕР МУЖЧИНЫ - ОДИНОЧНЫЙ РАЗРЯД: Брауншвейг (Германия), грунт

Smith Colton 0:2 МакДоналд Н. (Гер)

05.07 08:00 UTC+0 ЧЕЛЛЕНДЖЕР МУЖЧИНЫ - ОДИНОЧНЫЙ РАЗРЯД: Брашов (Румыния), грунт

Smith Colton 0:2 Пирош Ж. (Вен)

04.07 09:00 UTC+0 ЧЕЛЛЕНДЖЕР МУЖЧИНЫ - ОДИНОЧНЫЙ РАЗРЯД: Брашов (Румыния), грунт

Smith Colton 2:0 Хусто Г. И. (Арг)

03.07 06:00 UTC+0 ЧЕЛЛЕНДЖЕР МУЖЧИНЫ - ОДИНОЧНЫЙ РАЗРЯД: Брашов (Румыния), грунт

Smith Colton 2:0 Недич А. (Биг)

01.07 07:00 UTC+0 ЧЕЛЛЕНДЖЕР МУЖЧИНЫ - ОДИНОЧНЫЙ РАЗРЯД: Брашов (Румыния), грунт

Smith Colton 2:0 Сквайр Г. (Гер)

3 Wins

2 Losses

1.2 Sets won

0.8 Sets lost

60% Win percentage

Ilagan A. 🇺🇸

L W W W W

29.06 19:00 UTC+0 ЧЕЛЛЕНДЖЕР МУЖЧИНЫ - ОДИНОЧНЫЙ РАЗРЯД: Кэри (США), хард

Ilagan A. 🇺🇸 1:2 Ватануки Ю. (Япо)

06.06 16:35 UTC+0 ЧЕЛЛЕНДЖЕР МУЖЧИНЫ - ОДИНОЧНЫЙ РАЗРЯД: Tyler (США), хард

Ilagan A. 🇺🇸 2:1 Шимизу Ю. (Япо)

06.06 14:30 UTC+0 ЧЕЛЛЕНДЖЕР МУЖЧИНЫ - ОДИНОЧНЫЙ РАЗРЯД: Tyler (США), хард

Ilagan A. 🇺🇸 2:1 Poling K. (Сша)

04.06 14:45 UTC+0 ЧЕЛЛЕНДЖЕР МУЖЧИНЫ - ОДИНОЧНЫЙ РАЗРЯД: Tyler (США), хард

Ilagan A. 🇺🇸 2:0 Бутвилас Э. (Лит)

03.06 12:00 UTC+0 ЧЕЛЛЕНДЖЕР МУЖЧИНЫ - ОДИНОЧНЫЙ РАЗРЯД: Tyler (США), хард

Ilagan A. 🇺🇸 2:0 Сунь Ф. (Кит)

4 Wins

1 Losses

1.8 Sets won

0.8 Sets lost

80% Win percentage

Match center

Full head-to-head historySmith Colton - Ilagan A. 🇺🇸

Smith Colton

1 matches total

Ilagan A. 🇺🇸

Smith Colton: 0 (0%)

Draws:0 (0%)

Ilagan A. 🇺🇸: 1 (100%)

Biggest win Смит К. (Сша) 2:0 (30.05 20:00 UTC+0) largest score margin

Highest-scoring match 2 goals (2:0, 30.05 20:00 UTC+0) most goals in a game

Highest-scoring draw — draw with the most goals

Match history

30.05 20:00 UTC+0 ЧЕЛЛЕНДЖЕР МУЖЧИНЫ - ОДИНОЧНЫЙ РАЗРЯД: Little Rock (США), хард

Смит К. (Сша)

2:0

Ilagan A. (Сша)