Match center
Start
05.07.2026 07:00 UTC
05.07.2026 07:00 UTC
Finished
Challenger Men - Singles: Milan (Italy), clay
Dias Akosta F. 🇦🇷 - Chekkinato M. 🇮🇹
2
:
1
Finished
C
Chekkinato M. 🇮🇹
Math-model prediction
AI match prediction Dias Akosta F. 🇦🇷 - Chekkinato M. 🇮🇹 5 июля 2026
Tennis math modelThe summary is built from our prematch context: line, form, lineups and Glicko.
Line favourite Fonbet: Chekkinato M. 🇮🇹. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
- Win odds (Fonbet): 1 4.50 / 2 1.17
For reference
Fair probability (no margin)
Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
Winner
bookmaker margin 7.7%
1
20.6%
2
79.4%
Odds source: Fonbet. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.
Head-to-head and form stats
Head-to-head and form
Head-to-head
Team form
Dias Akosta F. 🇦🇷
8-2WWWWLLWWWW
scored 1.6conceded 0.7
Chekkinato M. 🇮🇹
7-3WWLWWLLWWW
scored 1.6conceded 0.9
Head-to-head and recent form per sports statistics — for reference.
Form and head-to-head • Milan - Final
Team stats
Dias Akosta F. 🇦🇷
WWWWLLWWWW
W 8 • D 0 • L 2 (10)
Goals average:1.6 : 0.7
Chekkinato M. 🇮🇹
WLWWLLWWWW
W 7 • D 0 • L 3 (10)
Goals average:1.5 : 0.9
Head-to-head: 2 — Dias Akosta F. 🇦🇷 1, draws 0, Chekkinato M. 🇮🇹 1 (goals 2:2)
- Marco Cecchinato — Facundo Diaz Acosta2025-11-10 2:0
- Marco Cecchinato — Facundo Diaz Acosta2022-10-21 0:2
Form, head-to-head and league position: 365scores. For reference.
Match workload
Fatigue and schedule
Диас Акоста Ф.
High workload- Matches in 7 days: 4 (in 14: 4)
- Sets in 7 days: 9
- Rest: 1 day
Чеккинато М.
High workload- Matches in 7 days: 3 (in 14: 3)
- Sets in 7 days: 7
- Rest: 1 day
Workload computed from matches played in our database (singles only, doubles excluded). For reference.
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Match center
Dias Akosta F. 🇦🇷 - Chekkinato M. 🇮🇹
Form
4/4
recent games
H2H
0
head-to-head matches
Market
0
model / bookmakers
Betting snapshot
1X2
2
1.17
Fonbet · line only
1
4.50
Fonbet · line only
Handicap
2 -0.5
1.16
Fonbet · line only
2 +0.5
1.25
Fonbet · line only
1 -0.5
4.40
Fonbet · line only
1 +0.5
3.50
Fonbet · line only
Total
Over 20.5
1.60
Fonbet · line only
Over 21.5
1.80
Fonbet · line only
Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.
bookmaker line and markets
Handicap
| Outcome | Baltbet | Betcity | Fonbet |
|---|---|---|---|
| П1 -0.5 | — | — | 4.40 22.7% |
| П1 -1.5 | — | — | 5.80 17.2% |
| П1 -2.5 | — | — | 2.80 35.7% |
| П1 -3.5 | 1.86 53.8% | 1.92 52.1% | 2.15 46.5% |
| П1 -4.5 | — | — | 2.85 35.1% |
| П2 +0.5 | — | — | 1.25 80.0% |
| П2 +1.5 | — | — | 2.00 50.0% |
| П2 +2.5 | — | — | 3.80 26.3% |
| П2 +3.5 | 1.86 53.8% | 1.82 55.0% | 3.70 27.0% |
| П2 -0.5 | — | — | 1.16 86.2% |
| П2 -1.5 | — | — | 1.09 91.7% |
| П2 -2.5 | — | — | 1.38 72.5% |
| П2 -3.5 | — | — | 1.63 61.4% |
| П2 -4.5 | — | — | 1.37 73.0% |
Total
| Outcome | Baltbet | Betcity | Fonbet |
|---|---|---|---|
| ТБ 20.5 | — | — | 1.60 62.5% |
| ТБ 21.5 | 1.81 55.3% | 1.83 54.6% | 1.80 55.6% |
| ТБ 22.5 | — | — | 1.75 57.1% |
| ТБ 23.5 | — | — | 1.73 57.8% |
| ТБ 24.5 | — | — | 1.90 52.6% |
| ТБ 25.5 | — | — | 1.65 60.6% |
| ТБ 26.5 | — | — | 1.92 52.1% |
| ТБ 27.5 | — | — | 1.73 57.8% |
| ТБ 28.5 | — | — | 2.07 48.3% |
| ТБ 29.5 | — | — | 2.05 48.8% |
| ТБ 30.5 | — | — | 2.50 40.0% |
| ТБ 31.5 | — | — | 2.30 43.5% |
| ТБ 32.5 | — | — | 1.95 51.3% |
| ТБ 33.5 | — | — | 2.05 48.8% |
| ТМ 21.5 | 1.91 52.4% | 1.90 52.6% | — |
Outcome (1X2)
| Outcome | Baltbet | Betcity | Fonbet | Leon |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| П1 | 1.43 69.9% | 1.42 70.4% | 4.50 22.2% | 1.43 69.9% |
| П2 | 2.65 37.7% | 2.75 36.4% | 1.17 85.5% | 2.65 37.7% |
Match center
Dias Akosta F. 🇦🇷
W
W
W
W
Dias Akosta F. 🇦🇷
2:1
Rinkon D. 🇪🇸
Dias Akosta F. 🇦🇷
2:0
Martin Manzano J. C. 🇮🇹
Dias Akosta F. 🇦🇷
2:0
Rapagnetta D. 🇮🇹
Rapagnetta D. 🇮🇹
Dias Akosta F. 🇦🇷
2:0
Tobon M. 🇨🇴
4
Wins
0
Losses
2.0
Sets won
0.3
Sets lost
100%
Win percentage
Chekkinato M. 🇮🇹
W
W
W
W
Chekkinato M. 🇮🇹
2:0
Kheyde G. 🇧🇷
Chekkinato M. 🇮🇹
2:0
Basile P. 🇮🇹
Basile P. 🇮🇹
Chekkinato M. 🇮🇹
2:0
Brankachchio R. 🇮🇹
Brankachchio R. 🇮🇹
Chekkinato M. 🇮🇹
2:1
Romano F. 🇮🇹
4
Wins
0
Losses
2.0
Sets won
0.3
Sets lost
100%
Win percentage
Match center
Full head-to-head historyDias Akosta F. 🇦🇷 - Chekkinato M. 🇮🇹
Dias Akosta F. 🇦🇷
0
matches total
Biggest win
—
largest score margin
Highest-scoring match
—
most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw
—
draw with the most goals