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Challenger Men - Singles: Plovdiv 2 (Bulgaria), clay
Challenger Men - Singles: Plovdiv 2 (Bulgaria), clay
03.08.2026 08:00 UTC

Angelini L - Nesterov P

Angelini L meet Nesterov P on August 3, 2026 in the Challenger Men - Singles: Plovdiv 2 (Bulgaria), clay.

Recent form (W-D-L): Angelini L 1-0-4, Nesterov P 2-0-3. Read on for detailed stats, previous meetings, the bookmaker line and the PrognozAI neural-network verdict.

🎯 PropickAI prediction
High confidence

Our model prediction (Glicko-2)

PropickAI model · comparison with the market line (no margin)

2 Nesterov P — 65%

Pure model vs market (2 · Nesterov P): model 55% · market 66% Δ −11 pp model estimates below the market

1 · Angelini L34.9%
market34%
2 · Nesterov P ✓ Pick65.1%
market66%

Model estimate: win Angelini L 34.9%, win Nesterov P 65.1%. Model favourite — Nesterov P.

Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.

AI agent prediction

Independent AI-agent assessment from our data (model, market line, form, H2H)

2Nesterov P (odds1.50) Score 1:2 confidence 52%
  • • Angelini L
  • • 🇮🇹 — Nesterov P
  • • 🇧🇴 (tennis)
  • • Angelini L
  • • 🇮🇹: forma PPPVV (2-3)
  • • Nesterov P
  • • 🇧🇴: forma VVVVP (4-1)
  • • Model backs Nesterov P
  • • 🇧🇴: probability 52% vs 67% on the line (odds 1.50)
  • • no edge over the line (-15 pp) — informational only.

Analytical AI-agent assessment, not a betting recommendation.

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Angelini L - Nesterov P August 3, 2026

Tennis math model

The summary is built from our prematch context: line, form, lineups and Glicko.

Line favourite Fonbet: Nesterov P. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • Win odds (Fonbet): 1 2.75 / 2 1.40

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
Winner bookmaker margin 7.8%
1 33.7%
2 ✓ Pick 66.3%

Odds source: Fonbet. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

For reference

Line movement

How the odds changed from opening to the current line — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
Pobeditel P1 2.60 ↑ 2.75
Pobeditel P2 1.45 ↓ 1.40

↓ odds shortened (money on this outcome), ↑ drifted (line weakened). For reference, not a betting recommendation.

Head-to-head and form stats

Head-to-head and form

Team form

Angelini L
5-5LWWLLWLWWL
scored 1.1conceded 1.1
Nesterov P
6-4LWLWWLWLWW
scored 1.2conceded 1.1

Head-to-head and recent form per sports statistics — for reference.

Tennis Challenger Men - Singles: Plovdiv 2 (Bulgaria), clay
Challenger Men - Singles: Plovdiv 2 (Bulgaria), clay clay 03.08.2026 08:00 UTC Not started
03.08.2026 08:00 UTC Not started
A
Angelini L
L L W L L
N
Nesterov P
L W L W L
-:-
Odds
P1 2.77 33.7% BetBoom
P2 1.41 66.3% BetBoom
Coverage: clay
Preview Statistics Broadcast Comments

About the athletes

- Country -
- Rating -
- Age -
- Height (cm) -
- Weight (kg) -
- Hand -
- Seed -
clay Coverage clay
0 H2H 0
Match center
Start 03.08.2026 08:00 UTC
Market 1 33.7% @ 2.75 / 2 66.3% @ 1.40
Coverage clay
Form 6 matches
Match center

Angelini L - Nesterov P

V baze uchteny nedavnie matchi oboikh uchastnikov.

Form 5/5 recent games
H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 2 model / bookmakers
Flashscore match data source checked
Odds match data source checked
Bookiesapi match data source checked
Line depth match data source checked
Present in data
Market Form Match Participants Line Movement Overview
More needed
H2H Championat, Flashscore
Tournament Championat, Flashscore
Market and Glicko

Tennis math model. Tennis without draws: the base signal comes from player rating, surface, form, serve/return and tournament fatigue. For live logic the set state and who is serving matter more than the overall points score.

Outcome Line Glicko Signal
Angelini L 33.7% 34.9%
Nesterov P 66.3% 65.1% market and model agree

Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.

Tennis math model
P1 / P2 34.9% / 65.1% probabilities
Rating 1,552 / 1,760 Angelini L / Nesterov P
RD 136 / 142 rating uncertainty
r +/- 2RD 1,280-1,824 / 1,476-2,044 strength interval
HFA: 0 HFA mu: 0.000 MoV: on N: N=1 P: two_way_glicko2_expected_score

Best value: no value found

Tennis without draws: the base signal comes from player rating, surface, form, serve/return and tournament fatigue. For live logic the set state and who is serving matter more than the overall points score.

Betting snapshot
1X2
2 1.40 Fonbet · no value · model 65.1%
1 2.75 Fonbet · no value · model 34.9%
Total
Over 19.5 1.60 Fonbet · line only
Over 20.5 1.80 Fonbet · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

Open on Fonbet →
bookmaker line and markets

Handicap

Outcome Baltbet Fonbet
— 2.30 43.5%
— 2.25 44.4%
2.00 50.0% 2.00 50.0%
— 1.70 58.8%
— 1.55 64.5%
— 1.55 64.5%
— 1.72 58.1%
— 2.02 49.5%
1.73 57.8% —

Total

Outcome Baltbet Fonbet
Over 19.5 — 1.60 62.5%
Over 20.5 1.81 55.3% 1.80 55.6%
Over 21.5 1.86 53.8% 2.00 50.0%
Over 22.5 — 2.07 48.3%
Under 19.5 — 2.20 45.5%
Under 20.5 1.91 52.4% 1.90 52.6%
Under 21.5 1.86 53.8% 1.72 58.1%
Under 22.5 — 1.67 59.9%

Outcome (1X2)

Outcome Baltbet Fonbet Leon
2.77 36.1% 2.75 36.4% 2.70 37.0%
1.40 71.4% 1.40 71.4% 1.41 70.9%
Match center
Angelini L
L L W L L
2026-07-26 2026 San Marino, San Marino, Qualifying
Angelini L Janvier M 2:1 Angelini L
2026-07-16 2026 Cordenons, Italy
Angelini L Alcala Gurri M 2:0 Angelini L
2026-07-13 2026 Cordenons, Italy
Angelini L Montes-De la Torre I 0:2 Angelini L
2026-07-05 2026 Trieste, Italy Qualifying
Angelini L Potenza L 2:1 Angelini L
2026-06-24 2026 Plovdiv, Bulgaria
Angelini L Angelini L 0:2 Blanch Dali
1 Wins
4 Losses
0.8 Sets won
1.6 Sets lost
20% Win percentage
Nesterov P
L W L W L
2026-07-20 2026 Zug, Switzerland, Qualifying
Monteiro T 2:1 Nesterov P Nesterov P
2026-07-19 2026 Zug, Switzerland, Qualifying
Pieri S 1:2 Nesterov P Nesterov P
2026-06-29 2026 Milan, Italy, Qualifying
Dalla Valle E 2:0 Nesterov P Nesterov P
2026-06-28 2026 Milan, Italy, Qualifying
La Vela G 0:2 Nesterov P Nesterov P
2026-06-26 2026 Plovdiv, Bulgaria
Kopp S 2:1 Nesterov P Nesterov P
2 Wins
3 Losses
1.2 Sets won
1.4 Sets lost
40% Win percentage
Match center

Full head-to-head historyAngelini L - Nesterov P

Angelini L
0 matches total
Nesterov P
Biggest win — largest score margin
Highest-scoring match — most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw — draw with the most goals

Match history