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Challenger Men - Singles: Plovdiv 2 (Bulgaria), clay
Challenger Men - Singles: Plovdiv 2 (Bulgaria), clay
04.08.2026 12:00 UTC Match prediction

Casanova H - Alexandrescou Y T

✓ Prematch ready Prematch data ✓Line ✓Form –H2H ✓Prediction
Tennis Challenger Men - Singles: Plovdiv 2 (Bulgaria), clay
Challenger Men - Singles: Plovdiv 2 (Bulgaria), clay clay 04.08.2026 12:00 UTC Finished
04.08.2026 12:00 UTC Finished
C
Casanova H
L W W L W
Alexandrescou Y T
Alexandrescou Y T
L L W W L
0:2 6:7 3:6
1 2 GP
Casanova H 6 3 0
Alexandrescou Y T 7 6 2
1 2
Odds
P1 1.50 62.2% BetBoom
P2 2.47 37.8% BetBoom
Coverage: clay
Preview Statistics Broadcast Comments

About the athletes

- Country -
- Rating -
- Age -
- Height (cm) -
- Weight (kg) -
- Hand -
- Seed -
clay Coverage clay
0 H2H 0

Casanova H go head-to-head with Alexandrescou Y T on August 4, 2026 in the Challenger Men - Singles: Plovdiv 2 (Bulgaria), clay.

Recent form (W-D-L): Casanova H 3-0-2, Alexandrescou Y T 2-0-3. PrognozAI's Glicko-2 model gives the home side 62% to win. Below: team form, head-to-head history, bookmaker odds and the full PrognozAI AI breakdown.

🎯 PropickAI prediction
High confidence

Our model prediction (Glicko-2)

PropickAI model · comparison with the market line (no margin)

1 Casanova H — 62%

Pure model vs market (1 · Casanova H): model 60% · market 39% Δ +21 pp model estimates above the market

1 · Casanova H ✓ Pick62.0%
market39%
2 · Alexandrescou Y T38.0%
market61%

Model estimate: win Casanova H 62.0%, win Alexandrescou Y T 38.0%. Model favourite — Casanova H.

Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.

AI agent prediction

Independent AI-agent assessment from our data (model, market line, form, H2H)

1Casanova H (odds1.31) Score 2:1 confidence 60% ✗ outcome missed
  • • Kazanova E
  • • 🇦🇷 — Alexandrescou Y
  • • T
  • • 🇫🇷 (tennis)
  • • Kazanova E
  • • 🇦🇷: forma PVVVV (4-1)
  • • Alexandrescou Y
  • • T
  • • 🇫🇷: forma PVVPV (3-2)
  • • Model backs Kazanova E
  • • 🇦🇷: probability 60% vs 76% on the line (odds 1.31)
  • • no edge over the line (-17 pp) — informational only.

Analytical AI-agent assessment, not a betting recommendation.

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Casanova H - Alexandrescou Y T August 4, 2026

Tennis math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Alexandrescou Y T.

Line favourite Fonbet: Alexandrescou Y T. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • Win odds (Fonbet): 1 6.10 / 2 1.09
  • Glicko: Casanova H 62.0% / Alexandrescou Y T 38.0%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
Winner bookmaker margin 8.1% 2 books · best price +38.8%
1 ✓ Pick 38.9%
2 61.2%

Odds source: consensus of 2 books (Fonbet, Leon). This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

For reference

Line movement

How the odds changed from opening to the current line — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
Winner 1 1.30 ↑ 1.50
Winner 2 3.15 ↓ 2.45

↓ odds shortened (money on this outcome), ↑ drifted (line weakened). For reference, not a betting recommendation.

Head-to-head and form stats

Head-to-head and form

Team form

Casanova H
6-4LWLWLWLWWW
scored 1.4conceded 0.8
Alexandrescou Y T

no data

Head-to-head and recent form per sports statistics — for reference.

Match center
Start 04.08.2026 12:00 UTC
Market 1 15.2% @ 6.10 / 2 84.8% @ 1.09
Coverage clay
Form 6 matches
Match center

Casanova H - Alexandrescou Y T

V baze uchteny nedavnie matchi oboikh uchastnikov.

Form 5/5 recent games
H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 2 model / bookmakers
Flashscore match data source checked
Odds match data source checked
Bookiesapi match data source checked
Line depth match data source checked
Present in data
Market Form Match Participants Line Movement Overview
More needed
H2H Championat, Flashscore
Tournament Championat, Flashscore
Post-match / PropickAI database
Score 0:2
Events 0
Statistics 0
Set Casanova H Alexandrescou Y T Result
Set 1 6 7 6:7
Set 2 3 6 3:6
PropickAI check: math model and Glicko-2

We mark in green only strong signals where the model passed our publication filter. The other rows are for audit and training.

Option Signal Prediction / actual Rating
Glicko-2: base favourite Audit tennis is audit-only for now: surface, serve/return and market are needed Data: line, form, coverage home - 62.0% fact: away missed / ROI -100.0% / Brier 0.769 / LogLoss 0.968
Glicko-2: calibrated favourite Audit tennis is audit-only for now: surface, serve/return and market are needed Data: line, form, coverage home - 51.4% fact: away missed / ROI -100.0% / Brier 0.529 / LogLoss 0.722
Market and Glicko

Tennis math model. Tennis without draws: the base signal comes from player rating, surface, form, serve/return and tournament fatigue. For live logic the set state and who is serving matter more than the overall points score.

Outcome Line Glicko Signal
Casanova H 62.3% 62.0% market and model agree
Alexandrescou Y T 37.7% 38.0%
1X2: 2 Bookies

Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.

Tennis math model
P1 / P2 62.0% / 38.0% probabilities
Rating 1,922 / 1,711 Casanova H / Alexandrescou Y T
RD 164 / 179 rating uncertainty
r +/- 2RD 1,593-2,250 / 1,354-2,068 strength interval
HFA: 0 HFA mu: 0.000 MoV: on N: N=1 P: two_way_glicko2_expected_score

Best value: no value found

Tennis without draws: the base signal comes from player rating, surface, form, serve/return and tournament fatigue. For live logic the set state and who is serving matter more than the overall points score.

Betting snapshot
1X2
2 1.09 Fonbet · no value · model 38.0%
1 6.10 Fonbet · weak value +278.3% · model 62.0%
Handicap
2 -0.5 1.80 Fonbet · line only
2 +0.5 1.70 Fonbet · line only
1 -0.5 1.90 Fonbet · line only
1 +0.5 2.02 Fonbet · line only
Total
Over 17.5 1.60 Fonbet · line only
Over 18.5 1.73 Fonbet · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

Open on Fonbet →
bookmaker line and markets

Handicap

Outcome Fonbet
1.90 52.6%
1.80 55.6%
1.95 51.3%
2.10 47.6%
2.20 45.5%
2.00 50.0%
1.70 58.8%
1.25 80.0%
1.30 76.9%
3.35 29.9%
2.65 37.7%
1.80 55.6%
1.90 52.6%
1.75 57.1%
1.65 60.6%
1.60 62.5%
1.73 57.8%
1.55 64.5%

Total

Outcome Fonbet
Over 17.5 1.60 62.5%
Over 18.5 1.73 57.8%
Over 19.5 1.70 58.8%
Over 20.5 1.73 57.8%
Over 21.5 1.65 60.6%
Over 22.5 1.57 63.7%
Over 23.5 2.40 41.7%
Over 24.5 1.75 57.1%
Over 25.5 2.80 35.7%
Over 26.5 2.00 50.0%
Over 27.5 1.92 52.1%
Over 28.5 1.80 55.6%
Over 29.5 2.10 47.6%
Under 17.5 2.20 45.5%
Under 18.5 2.00 50.0%
Under 19.5 2.02 49.5%
Under 20.5 2.00 50.0%
Under 21.5 2.10 47.6%

Outcome (1X2)

Outcome Fonbet Leon
6.10 16.4% 1.48 67.6%
1.09 91.7% 2.47 40.5%
Match center
Casanova H
L W W L W
2026-07-10 2026 Bogota, Colombia
Casanova H Mejia N 2:0 Casanova H
2026-07-09 2026 Bogota, Colombia
Casanova H Casanova H 2:0 Ambrogi L E
2026-07-07 2026 Bogota, Colombia
Casanova H Casanova H 2:0 Monzon I
2026-07-05 2026 Quito, Ecuador
Casanova H Pucinelli de Almeida M 2:1 Casanova H
2026-07-04 2026 Quito, Ecuador
Casanova H Meligeni Rodrigues Alves F 0:2 Casanova H
3 Wins
2 Losses
1.4 Sets won
0.8 Sets lost
60% Win percentage
Alexandrescou Y T
L L W W L
2026-07-05 2026 Wimbledon, Boys
Lee Jordan 2:0 Alexandrescou Y T Alexandrescou Y T
2026-06-03 2026 French Open, Boys
Antonius M 2:0 Alexandrescou Y T Alexandrescou Y T
2026-06-01 2026 French Open, Boys
Belozertsev N 1:2 Alexandrescou Y T Alexandrescou Y T
2026-05-31 2026 French Open, Boys
Zhalgasbay D 0:2 Alexandrescou Y T Alexandrescou Y T
2026-05-18 2026 Istanbul, Turkiye
Martin Tiffon P 2:0 Alexandrescou Y T Alexandrescou Y T
2 Wins
3 Losses
0.8 Sets won
1.4 Sets lost
40% Win percentage