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Challenger Men - Singles: Plovdiv 2 (Bulgaria) - Qualifying, clay

03.08.2026 08:00 UTC

Kastanola L. 🇮🇹 - Georgiev G. 🇧🇴

Kastanola L. 🇮🇹 take on Georgiev G. 🇧🇴 on August 3, 2026 in the Challenger Men - Singles: Plovdiv 2 (Bulgaria) - Qualifying, clay.

Recent form (W-D-L): Kastanola L. 🇮🇹 1-0-0, Georgiev G. 🇧🇴 1-0-0. Below: team form, head-to-head history, bookmaker odds and the full PrognozAI AI breakdown.

🎯 PropickAI prediction

Medium confidence

Our model prediction (Glicko-2)

PropickAI model · comparison with the market line (no margin)

1 Kastanola L. 🇮🇹 — 67%

Pure model vs market (1 · Kastanola L. 🇮🇹): model 49% · market 70% Δ −21 pp model estimates below the market

1 · Kastanola L. 🇮🇹 ✓ Pick67.4%

market70%

2 · Georgiev G. 🇧🇴32.6%

market30%

Model estimate: win Kastanola L. 🇮🇹 67.4%, win Georgiev G. 🇧🇴 32.6%. Model favourite — Kastanola L. 🇮🇹.

Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Kastanola L. 🇮🇹 - Georgiev G. 🇧🇴 August 3, 2026

Tennis math model

The summary is built from our prematch context: line, form, lineups and Glicko.

Line favourite market consensus: Kastanola L. 🇮🇹. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.

Win odds (market consensus): 1 1.36 / 2 3.10

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.

Winner bookmaker margin 5.8%

1 ✓ Pick 69.5%

2 30.5%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

Head-to-head and form stats

Head-to-head and form

Team form

Kastanola L. 🇮🇹

4-6LLWLWLWWLL

scored 0.9conceded 1.2

Georgiev G. 🇧🇴

no data

Head-to-head and recent form per sports statistics — for reference.

Tennis Challenger Men - Singles: Plovdiv 2 (Bulgaria) - Qualifying, clay

Challenger Men - Singles: Plovdiv 2 (Bulgaria) - Qualifying, clay clay 03.08.2026 08:00 UTC Not started

03.08.2026 08:00 UTC Not started

Kastanola L. 🇮🇹

Georgiev G. 🇧🇴

-:-

Odds

P1 1.36 69.5% BetBoom

P2 3.10 30.5% BetBoom

Coverage: clay

Preview Statistics Broadcast Comments

About the athletes

- Country -

- Rating -

- Age -

- Height (cm) -

- Weight (kg) -

- Hand -

- Seed -

clay Coverage clay

0 H2H 0

Match center

Start 03.08.2026 08:00 UTC

Market 1 69.5% @ 1.36 / 2 30.5% @ 3.10

Coverage clay

Form 5 matches

Match center

Kastanola L. 🇮🇹 - Georgiev G. 🇧🇴

V baze uchteny nedavnie matchi oboikh uchastnikov.

Form 1/1 recent games

H2H 0 head-to-head matches

Market 2 model / bookmakers

Flashscore match data source checked

Odds match data source checked

Line depth match data source checked

Present in data

Market Form Match Participants Line Overview

More needed

H2H Championat, Flashscore

Tournament Championat, Flashscore

Movement Line history

Market and Glicko

Tennis math model. Tennis without draws: the base signal comes from player rating, surface, form, serve/return and tournament fatigue. For live logic the set state and who is serving matter more than the overall points score.

Outcome Line Glicko Signal

Kastanola L. 🇮🇹 69.4% 67.4% market and model agree

Georgiev G. 🇧🇴 30.6% 32.6%

Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.

Tennis math model

P1 / P2 67.4% / 32.6% probabilities

Rating 1,576 / 1,667 Kastanola L. 🇮🇹 / Georgiev G. 🇧🇴

RD 135 / 249 rating uncertainty

r +/- 2RD 1,306-1,847 / 1,169-2,165 strength interval

HFA: 0 HFA mu: 0.000 MoV: on N: N=1 P: two_way_glicko2_expected_score

Best value: no value found

Tennis without draws: the base signal comes from player rating, surface, form, serve/return and tournament fatigue. For live logic the set state and who is serving matter more than the overall points score.

Betting snapshot

1X2

2 3.03 market consensus · no value · model 32.6%

1 1.34 market consensus · no value · model 67.4%

Total

Over 20.5 1.86 market consensus · line only

Under 20.5 1.86 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Handicap

Outcome	Baltbet	Betcity
	1.97 50.8%	2.08 48.1%
	1.76 56.8%	1.67 59.9%

Total

Outcome	Baltbet	Betcity
Over 20.5	1.81 55.3%	1.90 52.6%
Under 20.5	1.91 52.4%	1.81 55.3%

Outcome (1X2)

Outcome	Baltbet	Betcity
	1.36 73.5%	1.31 76.3%
	2.95 33.9%	3.10 32.3%

Match center

Kastanola L. 🇮🇹

01.08 12:00 UTC Challenger Men - Singles: Plovdiv 2 (Bulgaria) - Qualifying, clay

Kastanola L. 🇮🇹 2:0 Naydenov Y. 🇧🇴

1 Wins

0 Losses

2.0 Sets won

0.0 Sets lost

100% Win percentage

Georgiev G. 🇧🇴

01.08 12:00 UTC Challenger Men - Singles: Plovdiv 2 (Bulgaria) - Qualifying, clay

Georgiev G. 🇧🇴 2:0 Belozertsev N. 🇺🇿

1 Wins

0 Losses

2.0 Sets won

0.0 Sets lost

100% Win percentage

Match center

Full head-to-head historyKastanola L. 🇮🇹 - Georgiev G. 🇧🇴

Kastanola L. 🇮🇹

0 matches total

Georgiev G. 🇧🇴

Biggest win — largest score margin

Highest-scoring match — most goals in a game

Highest-scoring draw — draw with the most goals

Kastanola L. 🇮🇹 - Georgiev G. 🇧🇴

AI match prediction Kastanola L. 🇮🇹 - Georgiev G. 🇧🇴 August 3, 2026

Fair probability (no margin)

Head-to-head and form

Team form

About the athletes

Kastanola L. 🇮🇹 - Georgiev G. 🇧🇴

Match markets

Handicap

Total

Outcome (1X2)

Match history