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Challenger Men - Singles: Plovdiv 2 (Bulgaria) - Qualifying, clay
Challenger Men - Singles: Plovdiv 2 (Bulgaria) - Qualifying, clay
03.08.2026 08:00 UTC

Lazarov G - Kellovsky D

Lazarov G take on Kellovsky D on August 3, 2026 in the Challenger Men - Singles: Plovdiv 2 (Bulgaria) - Qualifying, clay.

Recent form (W-D-L): Lazarov G 4-0-1, Kellovsky D 3-0-2. Full analysis — form, H2H, odds and the PrognozAI AI prediction — follows on this page.

🎯 PropickAI prediction
Medium confidence

Our model prediction (Glicko-2)

1 Lazarov G — 56%

Pure model vs market (1 · Lazarov G): model 62% · market 56% Δ +6 pp model estimates above the market

1 · Lazarov G ✓ Pick56.5%
2 · Kellovsky D43.5%

Model estimate: win Lazarov G 56.5%, win Kellovsky D 43.5%. Model favourite — Lazarov G.

Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.

AI agent prediction

Independent AI-agent assessment from our data (model, market line, form, H2H)

1Lazarov G (odds1.66) Score 2:1 confidence 56%
  • • Lazarov G
  • • 🇧🇴 — Kellovski D
  • • 🇨🇿 (tennis)
  • • Lazarov G
  • • 🇧🇴: forma VP (1)
  • • Kellovski D
  • • 🇨🇿: forma VPP (1-2)
  • • Model backs Lazarov G
  • • 🇧🇴: probability 56% vs 60% on the line (odds 1.66)
  • • no edge over the line (-4 pp) — informational only.

Analytical AI-agent assessment, not a betting recommendation.

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Lazarov G - Kellovsky D August 3, 2026

Tennis math model

The summary is built from our prematch context: line, form, lineups and Glicko.

Line favourite Fonbet: Lazarov G. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • Win odds (Fonbet): 1 1.65 / 2 2.10

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
Winner bookmaker margin 8.2%
1 ✓ Pick 56.0%
2 44.0%

Odds source: Fonbet. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

For reference

Line movement

How the odds changed from opening to the current line — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
Pobeditel P1 1.65 → 1.65
Pobeditel P2 2.10 → 2.10

↓ odds shortened (money on this outcome), ↑ drifted (line weakened). For reference, not a betting recommendation.

Tennis Challenger Men - Singles: Plovdiv 2 (Bulgaria) - Qualifying, clay
Challenger Men - Singles: Plovdiv 2 (Bulgaria) - Qualifying, clay clay 03.08.2026 08:00 UTC Not started
03.08.2026 08:00 UTC Not started
Lazarov G
Lazarov G
W L W W W
K
Kellovsky D
W L W L W
-:-
Odds
P1 1.66 55.9% BetBoom
P2 2.10 44.2% BetBoom
Coverage: clay
Preview Statistics Broadcast Comments

About the athletes

- Country -
- Rating -
- Age -
- Height (cm) -
- Weight (kg) -
- Hand -
- Seed -
clay Coverage clay
0 H2H 0
Match center
Start 03.08.2026 08:00 UTC
Market 1 56.0% @ 1.65 / 2 44.0% @ 2.10
Coverage clay
Form 5 matches
Match center

Lazarov G - Kellovsky D

V baze uchteny nedavnie matchi oboikh uchastnikov.

Form 5/5 recent games
H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 2 model / bookmakers
Flashscore match data source checked
Odds match data source checked
Bookiesapi match data source checked
Line depth match data source checked
Present in data
Market Form Match Participants Line Movement Overview
More needed
H2H Championat, Flashscore
Tournament Championat, Flashscore
Market and Glicko

Tennis math model. Tennis without draws: the base signal comes from player rating, surface, form, serve/return and tournament fatigue. For live logic the set state and who is serving matter more than the overall points score.

Outcome Line Glicko Signal
Lazarov G 55.9% 56.5% market and model agree
Kellovsky D 44.1% 43.5%

Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.

Tennis math model
P1 / P2 56.5% / 43.5% probabilities
Rating 1,625 / 1,323 Lazarov G / Kellovsky D
RD 242 / 220 rating uncertainty
r +/- 2RD 1,141-2,109 / 882-1,763 strength interval
HFA: 0 HFA mu: 0.000 MoV: on N: N=1 P: two_way_glicko2_expected_score

Best value: no value found

Tennis without draws: the base signal comes from player rating, surface, form, serve/return and tournament fatigue. For live logic the set state and who is serving matter more than the overall points score.

Betting snapshot
1X2
2 2.10 Fonbet · no value · model 43.5%
1 1.65 Fonbet · no value · model 56.5%

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

Open on Fonbet →
bookmaker line and markets

Outcome (1X2)

Outcome Baltbet Betcity Fonbet Leon
1.66 60.2% 1.65 60.6% 1.65 60.6% 1.66 60.2%
2.10 47.6% 2.10 47.6% 2.10 47.6% 2.09 47.9%
Match center
Lazarov G
W L W W W
2026-08-02 2026 Plovdiv 2, Bulgaria, Qualifying
Lazarov G Rapagnetta D 0:2 Lazarov G
2026-04-19
Lazarov G Popovic Stefan 2:1 Lazarov G
2026-04-18
Lazarov G Curras Abasolo T 0:2 Lazarov G
2026-04-17 2026 Belgrade Men 03, Group B
Lazarov G Lazarov G 2:1 Milanovic, Dusan
2026-04-15 2026 Belgrade Men 03, Group B
Lazarov G Lazarov G 2:0 Dolzhenkov D
4 Wins
1 Losses
1.8 Sets won
0.6 Sets lost
80% Win percentage
Kellovsky D
W L W L W
2026-08-02 2026 Plovdiv 2, Bulgaria, Qualifying
Kellovsky D 2:1 Couto Loureiro J V Kellovsky D
2026-07-26 2026 Liberec, Czech Republic, Qualifying
Kellovsky D 0:2 Berkieta T Kellovsky D
2025-12-15 2025 Czech Tennis Extraliga Men Singles Matches
Kellovsky D 2:0 Orlita D Kellovsky D
2025-11-26 2025 Manama 2, Bahrain
Ritschard A 2:1 Kellovsky D Kellovsky D
2025-11-25 2025 Manama 2, Bahrain
Berkieta T 0:2 Kellovsky D Kellovsky D
3 Wins
2 Losses
1.4 Sets won
1.0 Sets lost
60% Win percentage
Match center

Full head-to-head historyLazarov G - Kellovsky D

Lazarov G
0 matches total
Kellovsky D
Biggest win — largest score margin
Highest-scoring match — most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw — draw with the most goals

Match history