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ATP Challenger. Samsun
ATP Challenger. Samsun
28.07.2026 09:00 UTC Match prediction

Alkaya M - Sinclair C

Tennis ATP Challenger. Samsun
ATP Challenger. Samsun hard 28.07.2026 09:00 UTC Finished
28.07.2026 09:00 UTC Finished
A
Alkaya M
S
Sinclair C
1:2
Odds
P1 6.00 41.2% BetBoom
P2 4.20 58.8% BetBoom
Coverage: hard
Preview Statistics Broadcast Comments

About the athletes

- Country -
- Rating -
- Age -
- Height (cm) -
- Weight (kg) -
- Hand -
- Seed -
hard Coverage hard
0 H2H 0
🎯 PropickAI prediction
Medium confidence

Our model prediction (Glicko-2)

PropickAI model · comparison with the market line (no margin)

1 Alkaya M — 69%

Pure model vs market (1 · Alkaya M): model 45% · market 15% Δ +30 pp model estimates above the market

1 · Alkaya M ✓ Pick69.2%
market15%
2 · Sinclair C30.8%
market85%

Model estimate: win Alkaya M 69.2%, win Sinclair C 30.8%. Model favourite — Alkaya M.

Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.

AI agent prediction

Independent AI-agent assessment from our data (model, market line, form, H2H)

1Alkaya M (odds1.21) Score 2:0 confidence 66% ✗ outcome missed
  • • Alkaya M
  • • 🇹🇷 — Sinkler K
  • • 🇲🇦 (tennis)
  • • Alkaya M
  • • 🇹🇷: forma PPVVV (3-2)
  • • Sinkler K
  • • 🇲🇦: forma PVVPV (3-2)
  • • Model backs Alkaya M
  • • 🇹🇷: probability 66% vs 83% on the line (odds 1.21)
  • • no edge over the line (-17 pp) — informational only.

Analytical AI-agent assessment, not a betting recommendation.

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Alkaya M - Sinclair C July 28, 2026

Tennis math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Sinclair C.

Line favourite Fonbet: Sinclair C. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • Win odds (Fonbet): 1 6.00 / 2 1.09
  • Glicko: Alkaya M 69.2% / Sinclair C 30.8%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
Winner bookmaker margin 8.4%
1 ✓ Pick 15.4%
2 84.6%

Odds source: Fonbet. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

For reference

Line movement

How the odds changed from opening to the current line — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
Winner 1 1.20 ↑ 6.00
Winner 2 3.95 ↓ 1.09

↓ odds shortened (money on this outcome), ↑ drifted (line weakened). For reference, not a betting recommendation.

AI

Model consensus

AI outcome leader: 1

Main outcome
Agreement 1/1
Confidence 62.0%

Modeli dayut edinyy signal. Takie matchi my pomechaem kak bolee silnye.

AI overview

AI predictions

AI analysis:5/7 ready · Still preparing:DeepSeek, ChatGPT

Google AI updated27.07.2026 03:41 UTC
1 80% ✓ favourite
2 20%
Score2:0 Total games: Under 20.5 Bet:Pob. Alkaya M. 2:0
Per AI data Form:LWWLL / LWWLW H2H: 0-0
Claude updated27.07.2026 03:52 UTC
1 80% ✓ favourite
2 20%
Score2:0 Total games: Under 21.5 Bet:1 (win Alkaya)
Qwen updated27.07.2026 03:50 UTC
1 78% ✓ favourite
2 7%
Score2:0 Total games: Under 2.5 Bet:Win DAC Dunayska Streda
Per AI data H2H: 0-0
Kimi updated27.07.2026 04:33 UTC
1 79% ✓ favourite
2 21%
Score... Total games: ... Bet:...
Per AI data Form:... / ... H2H: ... Injuries:... Key:...
GLM 5.2 updated27.07.2026 04:34 UTC
1 80% ✓ favourite
2 20%
Score2:0 Total games: Over 20.5 Bet:1

AI consensus:1

AI 1 2 Score Total games Bet
Google AI 80% 20% 2:0 Under 20.5 Pob. Alkaya M. 2:0
Claude 80% 20% 2:0 Under 21.5
Qwen 78% 7% 2:0 Under 2.5 Win DAC Dunayska Streda
Kimi 79% 21% ... ... ...
GLM 5.2 80% 20% 2:0 Over 20.5
Match center
Start 28.07.2026 09:00 UTC
Coverage hard
Form 6 matches
🥊 Humans vs Machines
🤖 7 AI models Alkaya M 79%
📐 Math model Alkaya M 69%
Every pick locked before kickoff · public log
Match center

Alkaya M - Sinclair C

V baze uchteny nedavnie matchi oboikh uchastnikov.

Form 5/5 recent games
H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 2 model / bookmakers
Flashscore match data source checked
Odds match data source checked
Bookiesapi match data source checked
Line depth match data source checked
Present in data
Market Form Match Participants Line Movement Overview
More needed
H2H Championat, Flashscore
Tournament Championat, Flashscore
Post-match / PropickAI database
Score 1:2
Events 0
Statistics 0
PropickAI check: math model and Glicko-2

We mark in green only strong signals where the model passed our publication filter. The other rows are for audit and training.

Option Signal Prediction / actual Rating
Glicko-2: base favourite Audit tennis is audit-only for now: surface, serve/return and market are needed Data: line, form, coverage home - 69.2% fact: away missed / ROI -100.0% / Brier 0.958 / LogLoss 1.177
Glicko-2: calibrated favourite Audit tennis is audit-only for now: surface, serve/return and market are needed Data: line, form, coverage home - 52.3% fact: away missed / ROI -100.0% / Brier 0.547 / LogLoss 0.740
Market and Glicko

Tennis math model. Tennis without draws: the base signal comes from player rating, surface, form, serve/return and tournament fatigue. For live logic the set state and who is serving matter more than the overall points score.

Outcome Line Glicko Signal
Alkaya M 71.9% 69.2% market and model agree
Sinclair C 28.1% 30.8%
1X2: 3 Bookies

Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.

Tennis math model
P1 / P2 69.2% / 30.8% probabilities
Rating 1,404 / 1,626 Alkaya M / Sinclair C
RD 176 / 179 rating uncertainty
r +/- 2RD 1,053-1,756 / 1,269-1,984 strength interval
HFA: 0 HFA mu: 0.000 MoV: on N: N=1 P: two_way_glicko2_expected_score

Best value: no value found

Tennis without draws: the base signal comes from player rating, surface, form, serve/return and tournament fatigue. For live logic the set state and who is serving matter more than the overall points score.

Betting snapshot
1X2
2 1.09 Fonbet · no value · model 30.8%
1 6.00 Fonbet · weak value +315.2% · model 69.2%
Total
Over 13.5 1.35 Fonbet · line only
Over 14.5 1.40 Fonbet · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

Open on Fonbet →
bookmaker line and markets

Handicap

Outcome Betcity Fonbet
— 2.90 34.5%
— 4.20 23.8%
— 1.47 68.0%
2.05 48.8% 1.45 69.0%
— 2.02 49.5%
— 2.10 47.6%
— 2.15 46.5%
1.69 59.2% —
— 1.35 74.1%
— 1.17 85.5%
— 2.50 40.0%
— 2.60 38.5%
— 1.70 58.8%
— 1.65 60.6%
— 1.63 61.4%
— 1.35 74.1%
— 1.30 76.9%

Total

Outcome Betcity Fonbet
Over 13.5 — 1.35 74.1%
Over 14.5 — 1.40 71.4%
Over 15.5 — 1.75 57.1%
Over 16.5 — 1.38 72.5%
Over 17.5 — 1.68 59.5%
Over 18.5 — 1.50 66.7%
Over 19.5 — 2.70 37.0%
Over 20.5 — 1.83 54.6%
Over 21.5 1.80 55.6% 1.90 52.6%
Over 22.5 — 2.20 45.5%
Over 23.5 — 2.50 40.0%
Over 25.5 — 1.35 74.1%
Over 26.5 — 1.65 60.6%
Over 27.5 — 1.70 58.8%
Over 28.5 — 3.85 26.0%
Over 30.5 — 2.55 39.2%
Under 21.5 1.90 52.6% —

Outcome (1X2)

Outcome Betcity Fonbet Leon
1.29 77.5% 6.00 16.7% 1.19 84.0%
3.30 30.3% 1.09 91.7% 4.20 23.8%
Match center
Alkaya M
L L W W W
24.07 09:05 UTC+0 Segoviya
Alkaya M 0:2 Pavlovich L
24.07 07:00 UTC+0 Challenger Men - Singles: Segoviya (Spain), hard
Alkaya M 0:2 Pavlovich L. 🇫🇷Pavlovich L. 🇫🇷
22.07 10:00 UTC+0 Segoviya
Alkaya M 2:0 Santilyan ASantilyan A
22.07 07:30 UTC+0 Challenger Men - Singles: Segoviya (Spain), hard
Alkaya M 2:0 Santilyan A. 🇯🇵Santilyan A. 🇯🇵
20.07 12:00 UTC+0 Challenger Men - Singles: Segoviya (Spain), hard
Alkaya M 2:0 Fikovich Kh.-P. 🇦🇷
3 Wins
2 Losses
1.2 Sets won
0.8 Sets lost
60% Win percentage
Sinclair C
L W W L W
16.07 23:00 UTC+0 ITF Men - Singles: M25 Brisbane (Australia), hard
Sinclair C 0:2 Hulme M. 🇦🇺
15.07 22:00 UTC+0 ITF Men - Singles: M25 Brisbane (Australia), hard
Sinclair C 2:1 Khazava S. 🇯🇵
14.07 22:00 UTC+0 ITF Men - Singles: M25 Brisbane (Australia), hard
Sinclair C 2:0 Van D. M. W. 🇦🇺
04.06 23:00 UTC+0 ITF Men - Singles: M15 Harmon (Guam), hard
Sinclair C 0:2 Koyama H. 🇯🇵
03.06 23:30 UTC+0 ITF Men - Singles: M15 Harmon (Guam), hard
Sinclair C 2:0 Kleiman M. 🇺🇸
3 Wins
2 Losses
1.2 Sets won
1.0 Sets lost
60% Win percentage
Match center

Full head-to-head historyAlkaya M - Sinclair C

Alkaya M
0 matches total
Sinclair C
Biggest win — largest score margin
Highest-scoring match — most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw — draw with the most goals

Match history