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ATP Challenger. Samsun
ATP Challenger. Samsun
28.07.2026 11:00 UTC Match prediction

Azkara A - Erel Y

Tennis ATP Challenger. Samsun
ATP Challenger. Samsun hard 28.07.2026 11:00 UTC Finished
28.07.2026 11:00 UTC Finished
Azkara A
Azkara A
E
Erel Y
0:2
Odds
P1 3.70 25.6% BetBoom
P2 1.27 74.5% BetBoom
Coverage: hard
Preview Statistics Broadcast Comments

About the athletes

- Country -
- Rating -
- Age -
- Height (cm) -
- Weight (kg) -
- Hand -
- Seed -
hard Coverage hard
0 H2H 0
🎯 PropickAI prediction
High confidence

Our model prediction (Glicko-2)

PropickAI model · comparison with the market line (no margin)

2 Erel Y — 72%

Pure model vs market (2 · Erel Y): model 56% · market 74% Δ −18 pp model estimates below the market

1 · Azkara A27.9%
market26%
2 · Erel Y ✓ Pick72.1%
market74%

Model estimate: win Azkara A 27.9%, win Erel Y 72.1%. Model favourite — Erel Y.

Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.

AI agent prediction

Independent AI-agent assessment from our data (model, market line, form, H2H)

2Erel Y (odds1.22) Score 0:2 confidence 67% ✓ outcome correct · exact score
  • • Azkara A
  • • 🇹🇷 — Erel Ya
  • • 🇹🇷 (tennis)
  • • Azkara A
  • • 🇹🇷: forma PPVPP (1-4)
  • • Erel Ya
  • • 🇹🇷: forma PVVPV (3-2)
  • • Model backs Erel Ya
  • • 🇹🇷: probability 67% vs 82% on the line (odds 1.22)
  • • no edge over the line (-15 pp) — informational only.

Analytical AI-agent assessment, not a betting recommendation.

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Azkara A - Erel Y July 28, 2026

Tennis math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Erel Y.

Line favourite Fonbet: Erel Y. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • Win odds (Fonbet): 1 3.50 / 2 1.25
  • Glicko: Azkara A 27.9% / Erel Y 72.1%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
Winner bookmaker margin 8.6%
1 26.3%
2 ✓ Pick 73.7%

Odds source: Fonbet. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

For reference

Line movement

How the odds changed from opening to the current line — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
Winner 1 4.00 ↓ 3.50
Winner 2 1.20 ↑ 1.25

↓ odds shortened (money on this outcome), ↑ drifted (line weakened). For reference, not a betting recommendation.

AI

Model consensus

AI outcome leader: 1

Main outcome
Agreement 1/1
Confidence 62.0%

Modeli dayut edinyy signal. Takie matchi my pomechaem kak bolee silnye.

AI overview

AI predictions

AI analysis:5/7 ready · Still preparing:DeepSeek, ChatGPT

Google AI updated27.07.2026 02:23 UTC
1 15%
2 85% ✓ favourite
Score0:2 Total games: Under 20.5 Bet:Win Erel Ya. so schetom 0:2
Per AI data Form:LLWLL / WWWLW H2H: 0-0
Claude updated27.07.2026 02:33 UTC
1 20%
2 80% ✓ favourite
Score2:0 Total games: Under 21.5 Bet:2 (win Erel Y.)
Qwen updated27.07.2026 02:32 UTC
1 78% ✓ favourite
2 7%
Score2:0 Total games: Under 2.5 Bet:Win DAC Dunayska Streda
Per AI data H2H: 0-0
Kimi updated27.07.2026 04:57 UTC
1 20%
2 80% ✓ favourite
Score... Total games: ... Bet:...
Per AI data Form:... / ... H2H: ... Injuries:... Key:...
GLM 5.2 updated27.07.2026 02:48 UTC
1 15%
2 85% ✓ favourite
Score2:0 Total games: Under 22.5 Bet:Win Erel Y. (2)

AI consensus:2

AI 1 2 Score Total games Bet
Google AI 15% 85% 0:2 Under 20.5 Win Erel Ya. so schetom 0:2
Claude 20% 80% 2:0 Under 21.5
Qwen 78% 7% 2:0 Under 2.5 Win DAC Dunayska Streda
Kimi 20% 80% ... ... ...
GLM 5.2 15% 85% 2:0 Under 22.5 Win Erel Y. (2)
Match center
Start 28.07.2026 11:00 UTC
Coverage hard
Form 6 matches
🥊 Humans vs Machines
🤖 7 AI models Erel Y 67%
📐 Math model Erel Y 72%
Every pick locked before kickoff · public log
Match center

Azkara A - Erel Y

V baze uchteny nedavnie matchi oboikh uchastnikov.

Form 5/5 recent games
H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 2 model / bookmakers
Flashscore match data source checked
Odds match data source checked
Bookiesapi match data source checked
Line depth match data source checked
Present in data
Market Form Match Participants Line Movement Overview
More needed
H2H Championat, Flashscore
Tournament Championat, Flashscore
Post-match / PropickAI database
Score 0:2
Events 0
Statistics 0
PropickAI check: math model and Glicko-2

We mark in green only strong signals where the model passed our publication filter. The other rows are for audit and training.

Option Signal Prediction / actual Rating
Glicko-2: base favourite Audit tennis is audit-only for now: surface, serve/return and market are needed Data: line, form, coverage away - 72.1% fact: away hit / ROI 27.0% / Brier 0.155 / LogLoss 0.327
Glicko-2: calibrated favourite Audit tennis is audit-only for now: surface, serve/return and market are needed Data: line, form, coverage away - 52.7% fact: away hit / ROI 27.0% / Brier 0.448 / LogLoss 0.641
Market and Glicko

Tennis math model. Tennis without draws: the base signal comes from player rating, surface, form, serve/return and tournament fatigue. For live logic the set state and who is serving matter more than the overall points score.

Outcome Line Glicko Signal
Azkara A 26.1% 27.9%
Erel Y 73.9% 72.1% market and model agree
1X2: 4 Bookies

Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.

Tennis math model
P1 / P2 27.9% / 72.1% probabilities
Rating 1,591 / 1,854 Azkara A / Erel Y
RD 157 / 156 rating uncertainty
r +/- 2RD 1,278-1,905 / 1,541-2,167 strength interval
HFA: 0 HFA mu: 0.000 MoV: on N: N=1 P: two_way_glicko2_expected_score

Best value: no value found

Tennis without draws: the base signal comes from player rating, surface, form, serve/return and tournament fatigue. For live logic the set state and who is serving matter more than the overall points score.

Betting snapshot
1X2
2 1.25 Fonbet · no value · model 72.1%
1 3.50 Fonbet · no value · model 27.9%
Total
Over 19.5 1.60 Fonbet · line only
Over 20.5 1.80 Fonbet · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

Open on Fonbet →
bookmaker line and markets

Handicap

Outcome Baltbet Betcity Fonbet
— — 2.75 36.4%
— — 2.30 43.5%
1.86 53.8% 1.80 55.6% 1.85 54.1%
1.73 57.8% 1.73 57.8% 1.52 65.8%
— — 1.40 71.4%
— — 1.40 71.4%
— — 1.55 64.5%
— — 1.85 54.1%
— — 2.35 42.6%
— — 2.65 37.7%
1.86 53.8% 1.90 52.6% —
2.00 50.0% 2.00 50.0% —

Total

Outcome Baltbet Betcity Fonbet Leon
Over 19.5 — 1.75 57.1% 1.60 62.5% —
Over 20.5 1.81 55.3% 1.83 54.6% 1.80 55.6% 1.82 55.0%
Over 21.5 — — 2.00 50.0% —
Over 22.5 — — 2.30 43.5% —
Over 23.5 — — 2.50 40.0% —
Under 19.5 — 1.96 51.0% 2.20 45.5% —
Under 20.5 1.91 52.4% 1.87 53.5% 1.90 52.6% 1.92 52.1%
Under 21.5 — — 1.72 58.1% —
Under 22.5 — — 1.55 64.5% —
Under 23.5 — — 1.47 68.0% —

Outcome (1X2)

Outcome Baltbet Betcity Fonbet Leon
3.60 27.8% 3.40 29.4% 3.50 28.6% 3.70 27.0%
1.26 79.4% 1.27 78.7% 1.25 80.0% 1.23 81.3%
Match center
Azkara A
L L W L L
12.07 18:10 UTC+0 Challenger Men - Singles: Pozoblanko (Spain) - Qualifying, hard
Azkara A 0:2 Leong M. W. K. 🇲🇾Leong M. W. K. 🇲🇾
09.07 08:00 UTC+0 Challenger Men - Singles: Nottingham 4 (Velikobritaniya), grass
Azkara A 0:2 Monday J. 🇬🇧Monday J. 🇬🇧
06.07 08:00 UTC+0 Challenger Men - Singles: Nottingham 4 (Velikobritaniya), grass
Azkara A 2:0 Bonding O. 🇬🇧Bonding O. 🇬🇧
01.07 05:00 UTC+0 ITF Men - Singles: M15 Kayseri 7 (Turkey), hard
Azkara A 1:2 Reyniak M. 🇺🇸
05.06 06:00 UTC+0 Challenger Men - Singles: Centurion 2 (South Africa), hard
Azkara A 0:2 Montsi Kh. 🇿🇦Montsi Kh. 🇿🇦
1 Wins
4 Losses
0.6 Sets won
1.6 Sets lost
20% Win percentage
Erel Y
L W W L W
24.07 09:00 UTC+0 Challenger Men - Singles: Segoviya (Spain), hard
Erel Y 0:2 Martino M. 🇫🇷
23.07 08:00 UTC+0 Challenger Men - Singles: Segoviya (Spain), hard
Erel Y 2:1 Palan D. 🇨🇿Palan D. 🇨🇿
21.07 06:00 UTC+0 Challenger Men - Singles: Segoviya (Spain), hard
Erel Y 2:1 Fomin S. 🇺🇿Fomin S. 🇺🇿
15.07 06:00 UTC+0 Challenger Men - Singles: Pozoblanko (Spain), hard
Erel Y 0:2 Sanchez Quilez A. 🇪🇸
14.07 14:30 UTC+0 Challenger Men - Singles: Pozoblanko (Spain), hard
Erel Y 2:0 Pavlovich L. 🇫🇷Pavlovich L. 🇫🇷
3 Wins
2 Losses
1.2 Sets won
1.2 Sets lost
60% Win percentage
Match center

Full head-to-head historyAzkara A - Erel Y

Azkara A
0 matches total
Erel Y
Biggest win — largest score margin
Highest-scoring match — most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw — draw with the most goals

Match history