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ATP Challenger. Samsun
ATP Challenger. Samsun
28.07.2026 13:00 UTC Match prediction

Bittun-Kuzmin K. πŸ‡«πŸ‡· - Ilkel D. πŸ‡ΉπŸ‡·

Tennis ATP Challenger. Samsun
ATP Challenger. Samsun hard 28.07.2026 13:00 UTC Finished
28.07.2026 13:00 UTC Finished
B
Bittun-Kuzmin K. πŸ‡«πŸ‡·
I
Ilkel D. πŸ‡ΉπŸ‡·
2:0
Odds
P1 1.49 64.4% BetBoom
P2 2.70 35.6% BetBoom
Coverage: hard
Preview Statistics Broadcast Comments

About the athletes

- Country -
- Rating -
- Age -
- Height (cm) -
- Weight (kg) -
- Hand -
- Seed -
hard Coverage hard
0 H2H 0
🎯 PropickAI prediction
High confidence

Our model prediction (Glicko-2)

PropickAI model Β· comparison with the market line (no margin)

1 Bittun-Kuzmin K. πŸ‡«πŸ‡· β€” 63%

Pure model vs market (1 Β· Bittun-Kuzmin K. πŸ‡«πŸ‡·): model 59% Β· market 64% Ξ” βˆ’5 pp model estimates below the market

1 Β· Bittun-Kuzmin K. πŸ‡«πŸ‡· ✓ Pick62.7%
market64%
2 Β· Ilkel D. πŸ‡ΉπŸ‡·37.3%
market36%

Model estimate: win Bittun-Kuzmin K. πŸ‡«πŸ‡· 62.7%, win Ilkel D. πŸ‡ΉπŸ‡· 37.3%. Model favourite β€” Bittun-Kuzmin K. πŸ‡«πŸ‡·.

Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.

AI agent prediction

Independent AI-agent assessment from our data (model, market line, form, H2H)

1Bittun-Kuzmin K. πŸ‡«πŸ‡· (odds1.22) Score 2:1 confidence 59% βœ“ outcome correct
  • • Bittun-Kuzmin K
  • • πŸ‡«πŸ‡· β€” Ilkel D
  • • πŸ‡ΉπŸ‡· (tennis)
  • • Bittun-Kuzmin K
  • • πŸ‡«πŸ‡·: forma VPPVV (3-2)
  • • Model backs Bittun-Kuzmin K
  • • πŸ‡«πŸ‡·: probability 59% vs 82% on the line (odds 1.22)
  • • no edge over the line (-22 pp) β€” informational only.

Analytical AI-agent assessment, not a betting recommendation.

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Bittun-Kuzmin K. πŸ‡«πŸ‡· - Ilkel D. πŸ‡ΉπŸ‡· July 28, 2026

Tennis math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Bittun-Kuzmin K. πŸ‡«πŸ‡·.

Line favourite Fonbet: Bittun-Kuzmin K. πŸ‡«πŸ‡·. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • Win odds (Fonbet): 1 1.45 / 2 2.55
  • Glicko: Bittun-Kuzmin K. πŸ‡«πŸ‡· 62.7% / Ilkel D. πŸ‡ΉπŸ‡· 37.3%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin β€” for reference, not a betting recommendation.
Winner bookmaker margin 8.2%
1 ✓ Pick 63.8%
2 36.3%

Odds source: Fonbet. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds β€” reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

For reference

Line movement

How the odds changed from opening to the current line β€” for reference, not a betting recommendation.
Winner 1 1.22 ↑ 1.45
Winner 2 3.80 ↓ 2.55

↓ odds shortened (money on this outcome), ↑ drifted (line weakened). For reference, not a betting recommendation.

Match center
Start 28.07.2026 13:00 UTC
Coverage hard
Form 3 matches
Match center

Bittun-Kuzmin K. πŸ‡«πŸ‡· - Ilkel D. πŸ‡ΉπŸ‡·

V baze uchteny nedavnie matchi oboikh uchastnikov.

Form 5/3 recent games
H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 2 model / bookmakers
Flashscore match data source checked
Odds match data source checked
Bookiesapi match data source checked
Line depth match data source checked
Present in data
Market Form Match Participants Line Movement Overview
More needed
H2H Championat, Flashscore
Tournament Championat, Flashscore
Post-match / PropickAI database
Score 2:0
Events 0
Statistics 0
PropickAI check: math model and Glicko-2

We mark in green only strong signals where the model passed our publication filter. The other rows are for audit and training.

Option Signal Prediction / actual Rating
Glicko-2: base favourite Audit tennis is audit-only for now: surface, serve/return and market are needed Data: line, form, coverage home - 62.7% fact: home hit / ROI 49.0% / Brier 0.278 / LogLoss 0.467
Glicko-2: calibrated favourite Audit tennis is audit-only for now: surface, serve/return and market are needed Data: line, form, coverage home - 51.5% fact: home hit / ROI 49.0% / Brier 0.470 / LogLoss 0.663
Market and Glicko

Tennis math model. Tennis without draws: the base signal comes from player rating, surface, form, serve/return and tournament fatigue. For live logic the set state and who is serving matter more than the overall points score.

Outcome Line Glicko Signal
Bittun-Kuzmin K. πŸ‡«πŸ‡· 63.1% 62.7% market and model agree
Ilkel D. πŸ‡ΉπŸ‡· 36.9% 37.3%
1X2: 4 Bookies

Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.

Tennis math model
P1 / P2 62.7% / 37.3% probabilities
Rating 1,769 / 1,500 Bittun-Kuzmin K. πŸ‡«πŸ‡· / Ilkel D. πŸ‡ΉπŸ‡·
RD 137 / 350 rating uncertainty
r +/- 2RD 1,494-2,043 / 800-2,200 strength interval
HFA: 0 HFA mu: 0.000 MoV: on N: N=1 P: two_way_glicko2_expected_score

Best value: no value found

Tennis without draws: the base signal comes from player rating, surface, form, serve/return and tournament fatigue. For live logic the set state and who is serving matter more than the overall points score.

Betting snapshot
1X2
2 2.55 Fonbet Β· no value Β· model 37.3%
1 1.45 Fonbet Β· no value Β· model 62.7%
Handicap
2 -0.5 2.30 Fonbet Β· line only
1 -0.5 1.55 Fonbet Β· line only
Total
Over 19.5 1.53 Fonbet Β· line only
Over 20.5 1.70 Fonbet Β· line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

Open on Fonbet →
bookmaker line and markets

Handicap

Outcome Baltbet Betcity Fonbet
— — 1.55 64.5%
— — 1.55 64.5%
— — 1.65 60.6%
1.89 52.9% 1.87 53.5% 1.85 54.1%
2.00 50.0% 1.96 51.0% —
1.83 54.6% 1.83 54.6% —
1.73 57.8% 1.75 57.1% —
— — 2.30 43.5%
— — 2.30 43.5%
— — 2.10 47.6%
— — 1.85 54.1%
— — 1.60 62.5%
— — 1.42 70.4%

Total

Outcome Baltbet Betcity Fonbet Leon
Over 19.5 — — 1.53 65.4% —
Over 20.5 1.76 56.8% — 1.70 58.8% —
Over 21.5 1.91 52.4% 1.93 51.8% 1.90 52.6% 1.92 52.1%
Over 22.5 — — 2.20 45.5% —
Over 23.5 — — 2.40 41.7% —
Under 19.5 — — 2.35 42.6% —
Under 20.5 1.97 50.8% — 2.02 49.5% —
Under 21.5 1.81 55.3% 1.77 56.5% 1.80 55.6% 1.82 55.0%
Under 22.5 — — 1.60 62.5% —
Under 23.5 — — 1.50 66.7% —

Outcome (1X2)

Outcome Baltbet Betcity Fonbet Leon
1.49 67.1% 1.41 70.9% 1.45 69.0% 1.49 67.1%
2.47 40.5% 2.70 37.0% 2.55 39.2% 2.45 40.8%
Match center
Bittun-Kuzmin K. πŸ‡«πŸ‡·
W L L W W
26.07 10:00 UTC+0 Challenger Men - Singles: Samsun (Turkey) - Qualifying, hard
Bittun-Kuzmin K. πŸ‡«πŸ‡· 2:1 Yilmaz K. πŸ‡ΉπŸ‡·Yilmaz K. πŸ‡ΉπŸ‡·
21.07 06:00 UTC+0 Challenger Men - Singles: Segoviya (Spain), hard
Bittun-Kuzmin K. πŸ‡«πŸ‡· 0:2 Martino M. πŸ‡«πŸ‡·
20.07 07:00 UTC+0 Challenger Men - Singles: Segoviya (Spain) - Qualifying, hard
Bittun-Kuzmin K. πŸ‡«πŸ‡· 1:2 Marrero Kurbelo I. πŸ‡ͺπŸ‡Έ
05.07 05:00 UTC+0 ITF Men - Singles: M15 Kayseri 7 (Turkey), hard
Bittun-Kuzmin K. πŸ‡«πŸ‡· 2:1 Reyniak M. πŸ‡ΊπŸ‡Έ
04.07 05:00 UTC+0 ITF Men - Singles: M15 Kayseri 7 (Turkey), hard
Bittun-Kuzmin K. πŸ‡«πŸ‡· 2:1 Tyurker M. N. πŸ‡ΉπŸ‡·
3 Wins
2 Losses
1.4 Sets won
1.4 Sets lost
60% Win percentage
Ilkel D. πŸ‡ΉπŸ‡·
W L L
26.07 10:00 UTC+0 Challenger Men - Singles: Samsun (Turkey) - Qualifying, hard
Ilkel D. πŸ‡ΉπŸ‡· 2:1 Yilmaz K. πŸ‡ΉπŸ‡·Yilmaz K. πŸ‡ΉπŸ‡·
21.07 06:00 UTC+0 Challenger Men - Singles: Segoviya (Spain), hard
Ilkel D. πŸ‡ΉπŸ‡· 0:2 Martino M. πŸ‡«πŸ‡·
20.07 07:00 UTC+0 Challenger Men - Singles: Segoviya (Spain) - Qualifying, hard
Ilkel D. πŸ‡ΉπŸ‡· 1:2 Marrero Kurbelo I. πŸ‡ͺπŸ‡Έ
1 Wins
2 Losses
1.0 Sets won
1.7 Sets lost
33% Win percentage