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ATP Challenger. Samsun
ATP Challenger. Samsun
31.07.2026 12:30 UTC Match prediction

Inchauspe P - Erel Y

Tennis ATP Challenger. Samsun
ATP Challenger. Samsun hard 31.07.2026 12:30 UTC Finished
31.07.2026 12:30 UTC Finished
I
Inchauspe P
W W L W W
E
Erel Y
W W L W W
2:1 3:6 6:3 6:4
1 2 3 GP
Inchauspe P 3 6 6 2
Erel Y 6 3 4 1
1 2 3
Odds
P1 1.97 47.8% BetBoom
P2 1.80 52.3% BetBoom
Coverage: hard
Preview Statistics Broadcast Comments

About the athletes

- Country -
- Rating -
- Age -
- Height (cm) -
- Weight (kg) -
- Hand -
- Seed -
hard Coverage hard
0 H2H 0
🎯 PropickAI prediction

Our model prediction (Glicko-2)

2 Erel Y — 52%

Pure model vs market (2 · Erel Y): model 53% · market 54% Δ −1 pp model estimate matches the market

1 · Inchauspe P47.9%
2 · Erel Y52.1%

Model estimate: win Inchauspe P 47.9%, win Erel Y 52.1%. Model favourite — Erel Y.

Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.

AI agent prediction

Independent AI-agent assessment from our data (model, market line, form, H2H)

2Erel Y (odds1.68) Score 1:2 confidence 55% ✗ outcome missed
  • • Inshosp P
  • • 🇫🇷 — Erel Ya
  • • 🇹🇷 (tennis)
  • • Inshosp P
  • • 🇫🇷: forma VVPVP (3-2)
  • • Erel Ya
  • • 🇹🇷: forma VVPVV (4-1)
  • • liniya na pik P2 1.68→1.67 (ukorotilas — dengi na pik)
  • • Model backs Erel Ya
  • • 🇹🇷: probability 55% vs 60% on the line (odds 1.68)
  • • no edge over the line (-5 pp) — informational only.

Analytical AI-agent assessment, not a betting recommendation.

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Inchauspe P - Erel Y July 31, 2026

Tennis math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Erel Y.

Line favourite Fonbet: Erel Y. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • Win odds (Fonbet): 1 2.05 / 2 1.73
  • Glicko: Inchauspe P 47.9% / Erel Y 52.1%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
Winner bookmaker margin 6.6%
1 45.8%
2 54.2%

Odds source: Fonbet. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

For reference

Line movement

How the odds changed from opening to the current line — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
Winner 1 2.05 ↓ 1.97
Winner 2 1.68 ↑ 1.80

↓ odds shortened (money on this outcome), ↑ drifted (line weakened). For reference, not a betting recommendation.

Match center
Start 31.07.2026 12:30 UTC
Market 1 45.8% @ 2.05 / 2 54.2% @ 1.73
Coverage hard
Form 6 matches
Match center

Inchauspe P - Erel Y

V baze uchteny nedavnie matchi oboikh uchastnikov.

Form 5/5 recent games
H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 2 model / bookmakers
Flashscore match data source checked
Odds match data source checked
Bookiesapi match data source checked
Line depth match data source checked
Present in data
Market Form Match Participants Line Movement Overview
More needed
H2H Championat, Flashscore
Tournament Championat, Flashscore
Post-match / PropickAI database
Score 2:1
Events 0
Statistics 0
Set Inchauspe P Erel Y Result
Set 1 3 6 3:6
Set 2 6 3 6:3
Set 3 6 4 6:4
PropickAI check: math model and Glicko-2

We mark in green only strong signals where the model passed our publication filter. The other rows are for audit and training.

Option Signal Prediction / actual Rating
Glicko-2: base favourite Audit tennis is audit-only for now: surface, serve/return and market are needed Data: line, form, coverage away - 52.1% fact: home missed / ROI -100.0% / Brier 0.544 / LogLoss 0.737
Glicko-2: calibrated favourite Audit tennis is audit-only for now: surface, serve/return and market are needed Data: line, form, coverage away - 50.3% fact: home missed / ROI -100.0% / Brier 0.505 / LogLoss 0.698
Market and Glicko

Tennis math model. Tennis without draws: the base signal comes from player rating, surface, form, serve/return and tournament fatigue. For live logic the set state and who is serving matter more than the overall points score.

Outcome Line Glicko Signal
Inchauspe P 48.0% 47.9%
Erel Y 52.0% 52.1% market and model agree
1X2: 3 Bookies

Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.

Tennis math model
P1 / P2 47.9% / 52.1% probabilities
Rating 1,740 / 1,887 Inchauspe P / Erel Y
RD 156 / 144 rating uncertainty
r +/- 2RD 1,427-2,052 / 1,599-2,176 strength interval
HFA: 0 HFA mu: 0.000 MoV: on N: N=1 P: two_way_glicko2_expected_score

Best value: no value found

Tennis without draws: the base signal comes from player rating, surface, form, serve/return and tournament fatigue. For live logic the set state and who is serving matter more than the overall points score.

Betting snapshot
1X2
2 1.73 Fonbet · no value · model 52.1%
1 2.05 Fonbet · no value · model 47.9%
Handicap
2 -0.5 1.65 Fonbet · line only
2 +0.5 1.75 Fonbet · line only
2 0 1.80 market consensus · line only
1 -0.5 2.10 Fonbet · line only
Total
Over 20.5 1.53 Fonbet · line only
Over 21.5 1.68 Fonbet · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

Open on Fonbet →
bookmaker line and markets

Handicap

Outcome Betcity Fonbet Leon
— 1.95 51.3% 1.87 53.5%
1.73 57.8% 1.82 55.0% —
— 1.67 59.9% —
— 2.10 47.6% —
— 2.15 46.5% —
1.90 52.6% — —
— 1.75 57.1% —
— 1.88 53.2% —
— 2.07 48.3% —
— 1.65 60.6% 1.87 53.5%
2.00 50.0% 1.62 61.7% —
1.80 55.6% — —

Total

Outcome Betcity Fonbet Leon
Over 20.5 — 1.53 65.4% —
Over 21.5 — 1.68 59.5% —
Over 22.5 1.96 51.0% 1.90 52.6% 1.99 50.3%
Over 23.5 — 2.10 47.6% —
Over 24.5 — 2.20 45.5% —
Under 20.5 — 2.35 42.6% —
Under 21.5 — 2.05 48.8% —
Under 22.5 1.75 57.1% 1.80 55.6% 1.77 56.5%
Under 23.5 — 1.65 60.6% —
Under 24.5 — 1.60 62.5% —

Outcome (1X2)

Outcome Betcity Fonbet Leon
1.93 51.8% 2.05 48.8% 1.90 52.6%
1.78 56.2% 1.73 57.8% 1.80 55.6%
Match center
Inchauspe P
W W L W W
2026-07-29 2026 Samsun, Turkiye
Inchauspe P Kuzmanov D 1:2 Inchauspe P
2026-07-28 2026 Samsun, Turkiye
Inchauspe P Kirkin E 0:2 Inchauspe P
2026-07-24 2026 Segovia, Spain
Inchauspe P Inchauspe P 1:2 Smith Keegan
2026-07-22 2026 Segovia, Spain
Inchauspe P Bax F 0:2 Inchauspe P
2026-07-21 2026 Segovia, Spain
Inchauspe P Inchauspe P 1:0 Vandermeersch C
4 Wins
1 Losses
1.6 Sets won
0.6 Sets lost
80% Win percentage
Erel Y
W W L W W
2026-07-29 2026 Samsun, Turkiye
Albot R 1:2 Erel Y Erel Y
2026-07-28 2026 Samsun, Turkiye
Azkara A 0:2 Erel Y Erel Y
2026-07-24 2026 Segovia, Spain
Martineau M 2:0 Erel Y Erel Y
2026-07-23 2026 Segovia, Spain
Erel Y 2:1 Palan D Erel Y
2026-07-21 2026 Segovia, Spain
Erel Y 2:1 Fomin S Erel Y
4 Wins
1 Losses
1.6 Sets won
1.0 Sets lost
80% Win percentage
Match center

Full head-to-head historyInchauspe P - Erel Y

Inchauspe P
0 matches total
Erel Y
Biggest win — largest score margin
Highest-scoring match — most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw — draw with the most goals

Match history