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ATP Challenger. Samsun
ATP Challenger. Samsun
30.07.2026 05:00 UTC

Inchauspe P - Erel Y

🎯 PropickAI prediction

Our model prediction (Glicko-2)

2 Erel Y — 55%

Pure model vs market (2 · Erel Y): model 53% · market 55% Δ −2 pp model estimate matches the market

1 · Inchauspe P45.1%
2 · Erel Y54.9%

Model estimate: win Inchauspe P 45.1%, win Erel Y 54.9%. Model favourite — Erel Y.

Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.

AI agent prediction

Independent AI-agent assessment from our data (model, market line, form, H2H)

2Erel Y (odds1.68) Score 1:2 confidence 55%
  • • Inshosp P
  • • 🇫🇷 — Erel Ya
  • • 🇹🇷 (tennis)
  • • Inshosp P
  • • 🇫🇷: forma VVPVP (3-2)
  • • Erel Ya
  • • 🇹🇷: forma VVPVV (4-1)
  • • liniya na pik P2 1.68→1.67 (ukorotilas — dengi na pik)
  • • Model backs Erel Ya
  • • 🇹🇷: probability 55% vs 60% on the line (odds 1.68)
  • • no edge over the line (-5 pp) — informational only.

Analytical AI-agent assessment, not a betting recommendation.

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Inchauspe P - Erel Y July 30, 2026

Tennis math model

The summary is built from our prematch context: line, form, lineups and Glicko.

Line favourite Fonbet: Erel Y. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • Win odds (Fonbet): 1 2.08 / 2 1.67

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
Winner bookmaker margin 8.0%
1 44.5%
2 55.5%

Odds source: Fonbet. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

For reference

Line movement

How the odds changed from opening to the current line — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
Pobeditel P1 2.05 ↑ 2.08
Pobeditel P2 1.68 ↓ 1.67

↓ odds shortened (money on this outcome), ↑ drifted (line weakened). For reference, not a betting recommendation.

Tennis ATP Challenger. Samsun
ATP Challenger. Samsun hard 30.07.2026 05:00 UTC Not started
30.07.2026 05:00 UTC Not started
I
Inchauspe P
W W
E
Erel Y
W W
-:-
Odds
P1 2.08 44.8% BetBoom
P2 1.69 55.2% BetBoom
Coverage: hard
Preview Statistics Broadcast Comments

About the athletes

- Country -
- Rating -
- Age -
- Height (cm) -
- Weight (kg) -
- Hand -
- Seed -
hard Coverage hard
0 H2H 0
Match center
Start 30.07.2026 05:00 UTC
Coverage hard
Form 6 matches
Match center

Inchauspe P - Erel Y

V baze uchteny nedavnie matchi oboikh uchastnikov.

Form 2/2 recent games
H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 2 model / bookmakers
Flashscore match data source checked
Odds match data source checked
Bookiesapi match data source checked
Line depth match data source checked
Present in data
Market Form Match Participants Line Movement Overview
More needed
H2H Championat, Flashscore
Tournament Championat, Flashscore
Market and Glicko

Tennis math model. Tennis without draws: the base signal comes from player rating, surface, form, serve/return and tournament fatigue. For live logic the set state and who is serving matter more than the overall points score.

Outcome Line Glicko Signal
Inchauspe P 44.9% 45.1%
Erel Y 55.1% 54.9% market and model agree

Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.

Tennis math model
P1 / P2 45.1% / 54.9% probabilities
Rating 1,739 / 1,887 Inchauspe P / Erel Y
RD 156 / 144 rating uncertainty
r +/- 2RD 1,427-2,052 / 1,599-2,176 strength interval
HFA: 0 HFA mu: 0.000 MoV: on N: N=1 P: two_way_glicko2_expected_score

Best value: no value found

Tennis without draws: the base signal comes from player rating, surface, form, serve/return and tournament fatigue. For live logic the set state and who is serving matter more than the overall points score.

Betting snapshot
1X2
2 1.67 Fonbet · no value · model 54.9%
1 2.08 Fonbet · no value · model 45.1%

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

Open on Fonbet →
bookmaker line and markets

Outcome (1X2)

Outcome Fonbet Leon
2.08 48.1% 2.05 48.8%
1.67 59.9% 1.69 59.2%
Match center
Inchauspe P
W W
29.07 05:00 UTC Challenger Men - Singles: Samsun (Turkey), hard
Inchauspe P 2:1 Kuzmanov D. 🇧🇴Kuzmanov D. 🇧🇴
28.07 05:30 UTC Challenger Men - Singles: Samsun (Turkey), hard
Inchauspe P 2:0 Kirkin E. 🇹🇷
2 Wins
0 Losses
2.0 Sets won
0.5 Sets lost
100% Win percentage
Erel Y
W W
29.07 05:00 UTC Challenger Men - Singles: Samsun (Turkey), hard
Erel Y 2:1 Albot RAlbot R
28.07 11:00 UTC Challenger Men - Singles: Samsun (Turkey), hard
Erel Y 2:0 Azkara A. 🇹🇷
2 Wins
0 Losses
2.0 Sets won
0.5 Sets lost
100% Win percentage
Match center

Full head-to-head historyInchauspe P - Erel Y

Inchauspe P
0 matches total
Erel Y
Biggest win — largest score margin
Highest-scoring match — most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw — draw with the most goals

Match history