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ATP Challenger. Samsun
ATP Challenger. Samsun
28.07.2026 05:30 UTC Match prediction

Kumasaka T - Bax F

Tennis ATP Challenger. Samsun
ATP Challenger. Samsun hard 28.07.2026 05:30 UTC Finished
28.07.2026 05:30 UTC Finished
K
Kumasaka T
B
Bax F
0:2
Odds
P1 11.50 11.1% BetBoom
P2 1.43 88.9% BetBoom
Coverage: hard
Preview Statistics Broadcast Comments

About the athletes

- Country -
- Rating -
- Age -
- Height (cm) -
- Weight (kg) -
- Hand -
- Seed -
hard Coverage hard
0 H2H 0
🎯 PropickAI prediction
High confidence

Our model prediction (Glicko-2)

PropickAI model · comparison with the market line (no margin)

2 Bax F — 65%

Pure model vs market (2 · Bax F): model 57% · market 92% Δ −35 pp model estimates below the market

1 · Kumasaka T35.1%
market8%
2 · Bax F ✓ Pick64.9%
market92%

Model estimate: win Kumasaka T 35.1%, win Bax F 64.9%. Model favourite — Bax F.

Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.

AI agent prediction

Independent AI-agent assessment from our data (model, market line, form, H2H)

2Bax F (odds1.44) Score 1:2 confidence 57% ✓ outcome correct
  • • Kumasaka T
  • • 🇯🇵 — Baks F
  • • 🇫🇷 (tennis)
  • • Kumasaka T
  • • 🇯🇵: forma PPVVP (2-3)
  • • Baks F
  • • 🇫🇷: forma PVPVV (3-2)
  • • Model backs Baks F
  • • 🇫🇷: probability 57% vs 69% on the line (odds 1.44)
  • • no edge over the line (-13 pp) — informational only.

Analytical AI-agent assessment, not a betting recommendation.

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Kumasaka T - Bax F July 28, 2026

Tennis math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Bax F.

Line favourite Fonbet: Bax F. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • Win odds (Fonbet): 1 11.50 / 2 1.02
  • Glicko: Kumasaka T 35.1% / Bax F 64.9%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
Winner bookmaker margin 6.7%
1 8.1%
2 ✓ Pick 91.9%

Odds source: Fonbet. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

For reference

Line movement

How the odds changed from opening to the current line — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
Winner 1 2.60 ↑ 11.50
Winner 2 1.43 ↓ 1.02

↓ odds shortened (money on this outcome), ↑ drifted (line weakened). For reference, not a betting recommendation.

AI

Model consensus

AI outcome leader: 1

Main outcome
Agreement 1/1
Confidence 62.0%

Modeli dayut edinyy signal. Takie matchi my pomechaem kak bolee silnye.

Head-to-head and form stats

Head-to-head and form

Team form

Kumasaka T

no data

Bax F
6-4LWWLWWWWLL
scored 1.4conceded 0.9

Head-to-head and recent form per sports statistics — for reference.

AI overview

AI predictions

AI analysis:5/7 ready · Still preparing:DeepSeek, ChatGPT

Google AI updated26.07.2026 06:09 UTC
1 35%
2 65% ✓ favourite
Score0:2 Total games: Under 22.5 Bet:2
Per AI data Form:WWLWL / WLLWL H2H: 0-0 Injuries:no
Claude updated26.07.2026 06:20 UTC
1 33%
2 67% ✓ favourite
Score2:0 Total games: Over 21.5 Bet:win Baksa (2)
Qwen updated26.07.2026 06:18 UTC
1 78% ✓ favourite
2 7%
Score2:0 Total games: Under 2.5 Bet:Win DAC Dunayska Streda
Per AI data H2H: 0-0
Kimi updated27.07.2026 04:58 UTC
1 36%
2 64% ✓ favourite
Score... Total games: ... Bet:...
Per AI data Form:... / ... H2H: ... Injuries:... Key:...
GLM 5.2 updated26.07.2026 06:35 UTC
1 30%
2 70% ✓ favourite
Score0:2 Total games: Over 22.5 Bet:2

AI consensus:2

AI 1 2 Score Total games Bet
Google AI 35% 65% 0:2 Under 22.5
Claude 33% 67% 2:0 Over 21.5 win Baksa (2)
Qwen 78% 7% 2:0 Under 2.5 Win DAC Dunayska Streda
Kimi 36% 64% ... ... ...
GLM 5.2 30% 70% 0:2 Over 22.5
Match center
Start 28.07.2026 05:30 UTC
Coverage hard
Form 6 matches
🥊 Humans vs Machines
🤖 7 AI models Bax F 55%
📐 Math model Bax F 65%
Every pick locked before kickoff · public log
Match center

Kumasaka T - Bax F

V baze uchteny nedavnie matchi oboikh uchastnikov.

Form 5/5 recent games
H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 2 model / bookmakers
Flashscore match data source checked
Odds match data source checked
Bookiesapi match data source checked
Line depth match data source checked
Present in data
Market Form Match Participants Line Movement Overview
More needed
H2H Championat, Flashscore
Tournament Championat, Flashscore
Post-match / PropickAI database
Score 0:2
Events 0
Statistics 0
PropickAI check: math model and Glicko-2

We mark in green only strong signals where the model passed our publication filter. The other rows are for audit and training.

Option Signal Prediction / actual Rating
Glicko-2: base favourite Audit tennis is audit-only for now: surface, serve/return and market are needed Data: line, form, coverage away - 64.9% fact: away hit / ROI 43.0% / Brier 0.247 / LogLoss 0.433
Glicko-2: calibrated favourite Audit tennis is audit-only for now: surface, serve/return and market are needed Data: line, form, coverage away - 51.8% fact: away hit / ROI 43.0% / Brier 0.465 / LogLoss 0.658
Market and Glicko

Tennis math model. Tennis without draws: the base signal comes from player rating, surface, form, serve/return and tournament fatigue. For live logic the set state and who is serving matter more than the overall points score.

Outcome Line Glicko Signal
Kumasaka T 34.3% 35.1%
Bax F 65.7% 64.9% market and model agree
1X2: 3 Bookies

Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.

Tennis math model
P1 / P2 35.1% / 64.9% probabilities
Rating 1,330 / 1,627 Kumasaka T / Bax F
RD 164 / 148 rating uncertainty
r +/- 2RD 1,002-1,659 / 1,332-1,922 strength interval
HFA: 0 HFA mu: 0.000 MoV: on N: N=1 P: two_way_glicko2_expected_score

Best value: no value found

Tennis without draws: the base signal comes from player rating, surface, form, serve/return and tournament fatigue. For live logic the set state and who is serving matter more than the overall points score.

Betting snapshot
1X2
2 1.02 Fonbet · no value · model 64.9%
1 2.65 market consensus · no value · model 35.1%
Handicap
2 -0.5 2.00 Fonbet · line only
2 +0.5 1.57 Fonbet · line only
1 -0.5 1.73 Fonbet · line only
1 +0.5 2.25 Fonbet · line only
Total
Over 19.5 1.75 Fonbet · line only
Over 20.5 1.77 Fonbet · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

Open on Fonbet →
bookmaker line and markets

Handicap

Outcome Betcity Fonbet
— 2.25 44.4%
— 2.55 39.2%
— 5.50 18.2%
1.80 55.6% 1.14 87.7%
— 1.60 62.5%
— 1.45 69.0%
— 1.73 57.8%
— 1.82 55.0%
— 1.57 63.7%
— 1.45 69.0%
— 1.10 90.9%
— 4.60 21.7%
— 2.20 45.5%
— 2.55 39.2%
— 2.00 50.0%
— 1.88 53.2%
1.90 52.6% —

Total

Outcome Betcity Fonbet
Over 19.5 — 1.75 57.1%
Over 20.5 — 1.77 56.5%
Over 21.5 1.83 54.6% 1.73 57.8%
Over 22.5 1.93 51.8% 1.32 75.8%
Over 23.5 — 4.15 24.1%
Over 24.5 — 1.67 59.9%
Over 25.5 — 4.80 20.8%
Over 26.5 — 1.93 51.8%
Over 27.5 — 1.85 54.1%
Over 28.5 — 1.95 51.3%
Over 29.5 — 1.82 55.0%
Over 30.5 — 1.90 52.6%
Under 19.5 — 1.95 51.3%
Under 20.5 — 1.93 51.8%
Under 21.5 1.87 53.5% —
Under 22.5 1.77 56.5% —

Outcome (1X2)

Outcome Betcity Fonbet Leon
2.60 38.5% 11.50 8.7% 2.70 37.0%
1.43 69.9% 1.02 98.0% 1.41 70.9%
Match center
Kumasaka T
L L W W L
21.07 08:00 UTC+0 Segoviya
Kumasaka T 1:2 Pavlovich L
21.07 06:00 UTC+0 Challenger Men - Singles: Segoviya (Spain), hard
Kumasaka T 1:2 Pavlovich L. 🇫🇷Pavlovich L. 🇫🇷
20.07 07:00 UTC+0 Challenger Men - Singles: Segoviya (Spain) - Qualifying, hard
Kumasaka T 2:0 Callejon H. S. 🇪🇸
12.07 16:00 UTC+0 Challenger Men - Singles: Pozoblanko (Spain) - Qualifying, hard
Kumasaka T 2:0 Turrisiani Alvares A. 🇪🇸
08.07 06:00 UTC+0 ITF Men - Singles: M25 Roda de Bara (Spain), hard
Kumasaka T 0:2 Bertrand R. 🇫🇷Bertrand R. 🇫🇷
2 Wins
3 Losses
1.2 Sets won
1.2 Sets lost
40% Win percentage
Bax F
L W L W W
22.07 13:00 UTC+0 Challenger Men - Singles: Segoviya (Spain), hard
Bax F 0:2 Inshosp P. 🇫🇷
21.07 06:00 UTC+0 Challenger Men - Singles: Segoviya (Spain), hard
Bax F 2:0 Added D. 🇫🇷Added D. 🇫🇷
17.07 09:30 UTC+0 ITF Men - Singles: M25 Uriage (France), clay
Bax F 1:2 Vays A. 🇮🇹
16.07 07:30 UTC+0 ITF Men - Singles: M25 Uriage (France), clay
Bax F 2:1 Rivet M. 🇫🇷
15.07 06:00 UTC+0 ITF Men - Singles: M25 Uriage (France), clay
Bax F 2:1 Couturier L. 🇫🇷
3 Wins
2 Losses
1.4 Sets won
1.2 Sets lost
60% Win percentage
Match center

Full head-to-head historyKumasaka T - Bax F

Kumasaka T
0 matches total
Bax F
Biggest win — largest score margin
Highest-scoring match — most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw — draw with the most goals

Match history