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Challenger Men - Singles: San Marino (San-Marino), clay
Challenger Men - Singles: San Marino (San-Marino), clay
28.07.2026 08:30 UTC Match prediction

Diaz Acosta F - Compagnucci T

Tennis Challenger Men - Singles: San Marino (San-Marino), clay
Challenger Men - Singles: San Marino (San-Marino), clay clay 28.07.2026 08:30 UTC Finished
28.07.2026 08:30 UTC Finished
Diaz Acosta F
Diaz Acosta F
C
Compagnucci T
2:0
Odds
P1 1.16 81.2% BetBoom
P2 5.00 18.8% BetBoom
Coverage: clay
Preview Statistics Broadcast Comments

About the athletes

- Country -
- Rating -
- Age -
- Height (cm) -
- Weight (kg) -
- Hand -
- Seed -
clay Coverage clay
0 H2H 0
🎯 PropickAI prediction
High confidence

Our model prediction (Glicko-2)

PropickAI model · comparison with the market line (no margin)

1 Diaz Acosta F — 78%

Pure model vs market (1 · Diaz Acosta F): model 56% · market 93% Δ −37 pp model estimates below the market

1 · Diaz Acosta F ✓ Pick78.4%
market93%
2 · Compagnucci T21.6%
market7%

Model estimate: win Diaz Acosta F 78.4%, win Compagnucci T 21.6%. Model favourite — Diaz Acosta F.

Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.

AI agent prediction

Independent AI-agent assessment from our data (model, market line, form, H2H)

1Diaz Acosta F (odds1.24) Score 2:0 confidence 73% ✓ outcome correct · exact score
  • • Dias Akosta F
  • • 🇦🇷 — Kompanuchchi T
  • • 🇮🇹 (tennis)
  • • Dias Akosta F
  • • 🇦🇷: forma PVPPV (2-3)
  • • Kompanuchchi T
  • • 🇮🇹: forma VVPVV (4-1)
  • • Model backs Dias Akosta F
  • • 🇦🇷: probability 73% vs 81% on the line (odds 1.24)
  • • no edge over the line (-8 pp) — informational only.

Analytical AI-agent assessment, not a betting recommendation.

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Diaz Acosta F - Compagnucci T July 28, 2026

Tennis math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Diaz Acosta F.

Line favourite Fonbet: Diaz Acosta F. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • Win odds (Fonbet): 1 1.01 / 2 13.00
  • Glicko: Diaz Acosta F 78.4% / Compagnucci T 21.6%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
Winner bookmaker margin 6.7%
1 ✓ Pick 92.8%
2 7.2%

Odds source: Fonbet. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

For reference

Line movement

How the odds changed from opening to the current line — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
Winner 1 1.25 ↓ 1.12
Winner 2 3.65 ↑ 5.00

↓ odds shortened (money on this outcome), ↑ drifted (line weakened). For reference, not a betting recommendation.

Head-to-head and form stats

Head-to-head and form

Team form

Diaz Acosta F
8-2WWWWLLWWWW
scored 1.6conceded 0.7
Compagnucci T
8-2WWWWLWWWLW
scored 1.8conceded 0.5

Head-to-head and recent form per sports statistics — for reference.

Match center
Start 28.07.2026 08:30 UTC
Coverage clay
Form 6 matches
Match center

Diaz Acosta F - Compagnucci T

V baze uchteny nedavnie matchi oboikh uchastnikov.

Form 5/5 recent games
H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 2 model / bookmakers
Flashscore match data source checked
Odds match data source checked
Bookiesapi match data source checked
Line depth match data source checked
Present in data
Market Form Match Participants Line Movement Overview
More needed
H2H Championat, Flashscore
Tournament Championat, Flashscore
Post-match / PropickAI database
Score 2:0
Events 0
Statistics 0
PropickAI check: math model and Glicko-2

We mark in green only strong signals where the model passed our publication filter. The other rows are for audit and training.

Option Signal Prediction / actual Rating
Glicko-2: base favourite Audit tennis is audit-only for now: surface, serve/return and market are needed Data: line, form, coverage home - 78.4% fact: home hit / ROI 16.0% / Brier 0.093 / LogLoss 0.243
Glicko-2: calibrated favourite Audit tennis is audit-only for now: surface, serve/return and market are needed Data: line, form, coverage home - 53.4% fact: home hit / ROI 16.0% / Brier 0.434 / LogLoss 0.627
Market and Glicko

Tennis math model. Tennis without draws: the base signal comes from player rating, surface, form, serve/return and tournament fatigue. For live logic the set state and who is serving matter more than the overall points score.

Outcome Line Glicko Signal
Diaz Acosta F 81.0% 78.4% market and model agree
Compagnucci T 19.1% 21.6%
1X2: 2 Bookies

Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.

Tennis math model
P1 / P2 78.4% / 21.6% probabilities
Rating 1,897 / 1,809 Diaz Acosta F / Compagnucci T
RD 115 / 150 rating uncertainty
r +/- 2RD 1,667-2,127 / 1,508-2,109 strength interval
HFA: 0 HFA mu: 0.000 MoV: on N: N=1 P: two_way_glicko2_expected_score

Best value: no value found

Tennis without draws: the base signal comes from player rating, surface, form, serve/return and tournament fatigue. For live logic the set state and who is serving matter more than the overall points score.

Betting snapshot
1X2
2 4.70 market consensus · no value · model 21.6%
1 1.01 Fonbet · no value · model 78.4%
Handicap
2 -0.5 2.07 Fonbet · line only
1 -0.5 1.67 Fonbet · line only
Total
Over 17.5 1.40 Fonbet · line only
Over 18.5 8.50 Fonbet · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

Open on Fonbet →
bookmaker line and markets

Handicap

Outcome Fonbet Leon
1.67 59.9% —
1.60 62.5% —
1.60 62.5% —
1.25 80.0% —
1.01 99.0% —
1.03 97.1% 2.01 49.8%
2.45 40.8% —
— 1.75 57.1%
2.07 48.3% —
2.20 45.5% —
2.20 45.5% —
3.55 28.2% —
11.00 9.1% —
8.50 11.8% —
1.48 67.6% —

Total

Outcome Fonbet Leon
Over 17.5 1.40 71.4% —
Over 18.5 8.50 11.8% —
Over 19.5 10.00 10.0% 1.80 55.6%
Over 20.5 3.15 31.8% —
Over 21.5 1.65 60.6% —
Over 22.5 2.40 41.7% —
Over 23.5 2.25 44.4% —
Over 24.5 1.90 52.6% —
Under 17.5 2.80 35.7% —
Under 18.5 1.03 97.1% —
Under 19.5 1.02 98.0% 1.95 51.3%
Under 20.5 1.30 76.9% —
Under 21.5 2.10 47.6% —
Under 22.5 1.50 66.7% —
Under 23.5 1.55 64.5% —
Under 24.5 1.80 55.6% —

Outcome (1X2)

Outcome Fonbet Leon
1.01 99.0% 1.16 86.2%
13.00 7.7% 4.70 21.3%
Match center
Diaz Acosta F
L W L L W
22.07 11:30 UTC+0 ATP - Singles: Kittsbyuel (Austria), clay
Diaz Acosta F 0:2 Bublik A. 🇰🇿Bublik A. 🇰🇿
20.07 10:00 UTC+0 ATP - Singles: Kittsbyuel (Austria), clay
Diaz Acosta F 2:1 Cina F. 🇮🇹Cina F. 🇮🇹
14.07 08:00 UTC+0 ATP - Singles: Bastad (Sweden), clay
Diaz Acosta F 1:2 Midon L. 🇦🇷
11.07 11:00 UTC+0 Challenger Men - Singles: Braunshveyg (Germany), clay
Diaz Acosta F 1:2 Gaston Kh. 🇫🇷Gaston Kh. 🇫🇷
10.07 09:30 UTC+0 Challenger Men - Singles: Braunshveyg (Germany), clay
Diaz Acosta F 2:0 MakDonald N. 🇩🇪
2 Wins
3 Losses
1.2 Sets won
1.4 Sets lost
40% Win percentage
Compagnucci T
W W L W W
27.07 06:00 UTC+0 Challenger Men - Singles: San Marino (San-Marino) - Qualifying, clay
Compagnucci T 2:0 Blansh D. 🇺🇸
26.07 07:30 UTC+0 Challenger Men - Singles: San Marino (San-Marino) - Qualifying, clay
Compagnucci T 2:0 Banthia S. 🇮🇳
25.07 07:30 UTC+0 ITF Men - Singles: M25 Ollersbach (Austria), clay
Compagnucci T 0:2 Planinsek F. 🇸🇮
24.07 06:00 UTC+0 ITF Men - Singles: M25 Ollersbach (Austria), clay
Compagnucci T 2:0 Sorger S. 🇦🇹Sorger S. 🇦🇹
23.07 08:00 UTC+0 ITF Men - Singles: M25 Ollersbach (Austria), clay
Compagnucci T 2:0 Huszar A. 🇦🇹
4 Wins
1 Losses
1.6 Sets won
0.4 Sets lost
80% Win percentage