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Challenger Men - Singles: San Marino (San-Marino), clay
Challenger Men - Singles: San Marino (San-Marino), clay
01.08.2026 18:30 UTC

Diaz Acosta F - Gaubas V

🎯 PropickAI prediction
High confidence

Our model prediction (Glicko-2)

PropickAI model Β· comparison with the market line (no margin)

1 Diaz Acosta F β€” 64%

Pure model vs market (1 Β· Diaz Acosta F): model 62% Β· market 65% Ξ” βˆ’3 pp model estimates below the market

1 Β· Diaz Acosta F ✓ Pick64.0%
market65%
2 Β· Gaubas V36.0%
market35%

Model estimate: win Diaz Acosta F 64.0%, win Gaubas V 36.0%. Model favourite β€” Diaz Acosta F.

Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Diaz Acosta F - Gaubas V August 1, 2026

Tennis math model

The summary is built from our prematch context: line, form, lineups and Glicko.

Line favourite Fonbet: Diaz Acosta F. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • Win odds (Fonbet): 1 1.43 / 2 2.65

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin β€” for reference, not a betting recommendation.
Winner bookmaker margin 7.7%
1 ✓ Pick 65.0%
2 35.0%

Odds source: Fonbet. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds β€” reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

For reference

Line movement

How the odds changed from opening to the current line β€” for reference, not a betting recommendation.
Pobeditel P1 1.42 ↑ 1.43
Pobeditel P2 2.65 β†’ 2.65

↓ odds shortened (money on this outcome), ↑ drifted (line weakened). For reference, not a betting recommendation.

Head-to-head and form stats

Head-to-head and form

Team form

Diaz Acosta F
8-2WWWWLLWWWW
scored 1.6conceded 0.7
Gaubas V
4-6WLLWLWWLLL
scored 1.1conceded 1.5

Head-to-head and recent form per sports statistics β€” for reference.

Tennis Challenger Men - Singles: San Marino (San-Marino), clay
Challenger Men - Singles: San Marino (San-Marino), clay clay 01.08.2026 18:30 UTC Not started
01.08.2026 18:30 UTC Not started
Diaz Acosta F
Diaz Acosta F
W W W L W
Gaubas V
Gaubas V
W W W L L
-:-
Odds
P1 1.45 64.6% BetBoom
P2 2.65 35.4% BetBoom
Coverage: clay
Preview Statistics Broadcast Comments

About the athletes

- Country -
- Rating -
- Age -
- Height (cm) -
- Weight (kg) -
- Hand -
- Seed -
clay Coverage clay
1 H2H 1

Head-to-head history

Challenger Men - Singles: Braunshveyg (Germany), clay
  Dias Akosta F. πŸ‡¦πŸ‡· 1 2
  Gaubas V. πŸ‡±πŸ‡Ή 0 0
Match center
Start 01.08.2026 18:30 UTC
Market 1 65.0% @ 1.43 / 2 35.0% @ 2.65
Coverage clay
Form 6 matches
H2H 1
Match center

Diaz Acosta F - Gaubas V

V baze uchteny nedavnie matchi oboikh uchastnikov i 1 ochnykh vstrech.

Form 5/5 recent games
H2H 1 head-to-head matches
Market 2 model / bookmakers
Flashscore match data source checked
Odds match data source checked
Bookiesapi match data source checked
Line depth match data source checked
Present in data
Market Form Match Participants H2H Line Movement Overview
More needed
Tournament Championat, Flashscore
Market and Glicko

Tennis math model. Tennis without draws: the base signal comes from player rating, surface, form, serve/return and tournament fatigue. For live logic the set state and who is serving matter more than the overall points score.

Outcome Line Glicko Signal
Diaz Acosta F 64.3% 64.0% market and model agree
Gaubas V 35.7% 36.0%

Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.

Tennis math model
P1 / P2 64.0% / 36.0% probabilities
Rating 1,951 / 1,680 Dias Akosta F. πŸ‡¦πŸ‡· / Gaubas V. πŸ‡±πŸ‡Ή
RD 105 / 139 rating uncertainty
r +/- 2RD 1,742-2,161 / 1,402-1,958 strength interval
HFA: 0 HFA mu: 0.000 MoV: on N: N=1 P: two_way_glicko2_expected_score

Best value: no value found

Tennis without draws: the base signal comes from player rating, surface, form, serve/return and tournament fatigue. For live logic the set state and who is serving matter more than the overall points score.

Betting snapshot
1X2
2 2.65 Fonbet Β· no value Β· model 36.0%
1 1.43 Fonbet Β· no value Β· model 64.0%
Total
Over 21.5 1.70 Fonbet Β· line only
Over 22.5 1.95 Fonbet Β· line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

Open on Fonbet →
bookmaker line and markets

Handicap

Outcome Baltbet Betcity Fonbet Leon
— — 1.55 64.5% —
— — 1.67 59.9% —
1.95 51.3% 1.95 51.3% 1.93 51.8% 1.95 51.3%
1.78 56.2% 1.76 56.8% — 1.79 55.9%
— — 2.30 43.5% —
— — 2.07 48.3% —
— — 1.77 56.5% —

Total

Outcome Baltbet Betcity Fonbet Leon
Over 21.5 — — 1.70 58.8% 1.77 56.5%
Over 22.5 1.97 50.8% 1.94 51.6% 1.95 51.3% —
Over 23.5 — — 2.20 45.5% —
Under 21.5 — — 2.02 49.5% 1.98 50.5%
Under 22.5 1.76 56.8% 1.77 56.5% 1.75 57.1% —
Under 23.5 — — 1.60 62.5% —

Outcome (1X2)

Outcome Baltbet Betcity Fonbet Leon
1.43 69.9% 1.44 69.4% 1.43 69.9% 1.44 69.4%
2.65 37.7% 2.55 39.2% 2.65 37.7% 2.60 38.5%
Match center
Diaz Acosta F
W W W L W
2026-07-31 2026 San Marino, San Marino
Diaz Acosta F Diaz Acosta F 2:1 Prado Angelo J C
2026-07-29 2026 San Marino, San Marino
Diaz Acosta F Diaz Acosta F 2:0 Forti F
2026-07-28 2026 San Marino, San Marino
Diaz Acosta F Diaz Acosta F 2:0 Compagnucci T
2026-07-22 2026 Kitzbuhel, Austria
Diaz Acosta F Bublik A 2:0 Diaz Acosta F
2026-07-20 2026 Kitzbuhel, Austria
Diaz Acosta F Diaz Acosta F 2:1 Cina F
4 Wins
1 Losses
1.6 Sets won
0.8 Sets lost
80% Win percentage
Gaubas V
W W W L L
2026-07-31 2026 San Marino, San Marino
Gaubas V 2:0 Monteiro T Gaubas V
2026-07-30 2026 San Marino, San Marino
Gaubas V 2:0 Olivieri G A Gaubas V
2026-07-28 2026 San Marino, San Marino
Gaubas V 2:0 Pavlovic L Gaubas V
2026-07-21 2026 Estoril, Portugal
Gaubas V 0:2 Carreno Busta P Gaubas V
2026-07-13 2026 Bastad, Sweden
De Jong J 2:0 Gaubas V Gaubas V
3 Wins
2 Losses
1.2 Sets won
0.8 Sets lost
60% Win percentage
Match center

Full head-to-head historyDiaz Acosta F - Gaubas V

Diaz Acosta F
1 matches total
Gaubas V
Diaz Acosta F: 0 (0%)
Draws:0 (0%)
Gaubas V: 1 (100%)
Biggest win Diaz Acosta F 0:2 (2026-07-09) largest score margin
Highest-scoring match 2 goals (0:2, 2026-07-09) most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw β€” draw with the most goals

Match history

2026-07-09 2026 Braunschweig, Germany
Gaubas V 0:2 Diaz Acosta F