PropickAI PropickAI
Sign in Sign up
Free access Sign in to unlock the full prediction Create a free account to see the full AI breakdown, probabilities, risks and history.
Challenger Men - Singles: San Marino (San-Marino), clay
Challenger Men - Singles: San Marino (San-Marino), clay
02.08.2026 18:00 UTC

Diaz Acosta F - Poljicak M

Diaz Acosta F take on Poljicak M on August 2, 2026 in the Challenger Men - Singles: San Marino (San-Marino), clay.

Recent form (W-D-L): Diaz Acosta F 4-0-1, Poljicak M 5-0-0. Read on for detailed stats, previous meetings, the bookmaker line and the PrognozAI neural-network verdict.

🎯 PropickAI prediction
High confidence

Our model prediction (Glicko-2)

PropickAI model · comparison with the market line (no margin)

1 Diaz Acosta F — 71%

Pure model vs market (1 · Diaz Acosta F): model 57% · market 74% Δ −17 pp model estimates below the market

1 · Diaz Acosta F ✓ Pick71.4%
market74%
2 · Poljicak M28.6%
market26%

Model estimate: win Diaz Acosta F 71.4%, win Poljicak M 28.6%. Model favourite — Diaz Acosta F.

Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.

AI agent prediction

Independent AI-agent assessment from our data (model, market line, form, H2H)

1Diaz Acosta F (odds1.26) Score 2:0 confidence 71%
  • • Dias Akosta F
  • • 🇦🇷 — Polichak M
  • • 🇭🇷 (tennis)
  • • Dias Akosta F
  • • 🇦🇷: forma VVVVP (4-1)
  • • Polichak M
  • • 🇭🇷: forma VVVVV (5-0)
  • • Model backs Dias Akosta F
  • • 🇦🇷: probability 71% vs 79% on the line (odds 1.26)
  • • no edge over the line (-8 pp) — informational only.

Analytical AI-agent assessment, not a betting recommendation.

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Diaz Acosta F - Poljicak M August 2, 2026

Tennis math model

The summary is built from our prematch context: line, form, lineups and Glicko.

Line favourite Fonbet: Diaz Acosta F. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • Win odds (Fonbet): 1 1.25 / 2 3.55

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
Winner bookmaker margin 8.2%
1 ✓ Pick 74.0%
2 26.0%

Odds source: Fonbet. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

For reference

Line movement

How the odds changed from opening to the current line — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
Pobeditel P1 1.25 → 1.25
Pobeditel P2 3.55 → 3.55

↓ odds shortened (money on this outcome), ↑ drifted (line weakened). For reference, not a betting recommendation.

Head-to-head and form stats

Head-to-head and form

Team form

Diaz Acosta F
8-2WWWWLLWWWW
scored 1.6conceded 0.7
Poljicak M

no data

Head-to-head and recent form per sports statistics — for reference.

Tennis Challenger Men - Singles: San Marino (San-Marino), clay
Challenger Men - Singles: San Marino (San-Marino), clay clay 02.08.2026 18:00 UTC Not started
02.08.2026 18:00 UTC Not started
Diaz Acosta F
Diaz Acosta F
W W W W L
P
Poljicak M
W W W W W
-:-
Odds
P1 1.28 73.5% BetBoom
P2 3.55 26.5% BetBoom
Coverage: clay
Preview Statistics Broadcast Comments

About the athletes

- Country -
- Rating -
- Age -
- Height (cm) -
- Weight (kg) -
- Hand -
- Seed -
clay Coverage clay
0 H2H 0
Match center
Start 02.08.2026 18:00 UTC
Market 1 74.0% @ 1.25 / 2 26.0% @ 3.55
Coverage clay
Form 6 matches
Match center

Diaz Acosta F - Poljicak M

V baze uchteny nedavnie matchi oboikh uchastnikov.

Form 5/5 recent games
H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 2 model / bookmakers
Flashscore match data source checked
Odds match data source checked
Bookiesapi match data source checked
Line depth match data source checked
Present in data
Market Form Match Participants Line Movement Overview
More needed
H2H Championat, Flashscore
Tournament Championat, Flashscore
Market and Glicko

Tennis math model. Tennis without draws: the base signal comes from player rating, surface, form, serve/return and tournament fatigue. For live logic the set state and who is serving matter more than the overall points score.

Outcome Line Glicko Signal
Diaz Acosta F 73.0% 71.4% market and model agree
Poljicak M 27.0% 28.6%

Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.

Tennis math model
P1 / P2 71.4% / 28.6% probabilities
Rating 1,959 / 1,839 Diaz Acosta F / Poljicak M
RD 103 / 136 rating uncertainty
r +/- 2RD 1,753-2,166 / 1,568-2,111 strength interval
HFA: 0 HFA mu: 0.000 MoV: on N: N=1 P: two_way_glicko2_expected_score

Best value: no value found

Tennis without draws: the base signal comes from player rating, surface, form, serve/return and tournament fatigue. For live logic the set state and who is serving matter more than the overall points score.

Betting snapshot
1X2
2 3.55 Fonbet · no value · model 28.6%
1 1.25 Fonbet · no value · model 71.4%

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

Open on Fonbet →
bookmaker line and markets

Outcome (1X2)

Outcome Baltbet Betcity Fonbet Leon
1.26 79.4% 1.25 80.0% 1.25 80.0% 1.28 78.1%
3.60 27.8% 3.50 28.6% 3.55 28.2% 3.30 30.3%
Match center
Diaz Acosta F
W W W W L
2026-08-01 2026 San Marino, San Marino
Diaz Acosta F Diaz Acosta F 2:0 Gaubas V
2026-07-31 2026 San Marino, San Marino
Diaz Acosta F Diaz Acosta F 2:1 Prado Angelo J C
2026-07-29 2026 San Marino, San Marino
Diaz Acosta F Diaz Acosta F 2:0 Forti F
2026-07-28 2026 San Marino, San Marino
Diaz Acosta F Diaz Acosta F 2:0 Compagnucci T
2026-07-22 2026 Kitzbuhel, Austria
Diaz Acosta F Bublik A 2:0 Diaz Acosta F
4 Wins
1 Losses
1.6 Sets won
0.6 Sets lost
80% Win percentage
Poljicak M
W W W W W
2026-08-01 2026 San Marino, San Marino
Poljicak M 2:0 Varillas J P Poljicak M
2026-07-31 2026 San Marino, San Marino
Muller A 1:2 Poljicak M Poljicak M
2026-07-29 2026 San Marino, San Marino
Poljicak M 2:1 Basilashvili N Poljicak M
2026-07-28 2026 San Marino, San Marino
Poljicak M 2:0 Dalla Valle E Poljicak M
2026-07-27 2026 San Marino, San Marino, Qualifying
Poljicak M 2:0 Kovalik J Poljicak M
5 Wins
0 Losses
2.0 Sets won
0.4 Sets lost
100% Win percentage
Match center

Full head-to-head historyDiaz Acosta F - Poljicak M

Diaz Acosta F
0 matches total
Poljicak M
Biggest win — largest score margin
Highest-scoring match — most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw — draw with the most goals

Match history