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Challenger Men - Singles: San Marino (San-Marino), clay
Challenger Men - Singles: San Marino (San-Marino), clay
31.07.2026 06:00 UTC

Diaz Acosta F - Prado Angelo J C

🎯 PropickAI prediction
Medium confidence

Our model prediction (Glicko-2)

PropickAI model · comparison with the market line (no margin)

1 Diaz Acosta F — 60%

1 · Diaz Acosta F ✓ Pick59.5%
market73%
2 · Prado Angelo J C40.5%
market27%

Model estimate: win Diaz Acosta F 59.5%, win Prado Angelo J C 40.5%. Model favourite — Diaz Acosta F.

Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.

AI agent prediction

Independent AI-agent assessment from our data (model, market line, form, H2H)

1Diaz Acosta F (odds1.27) Score 2:1 confidence 60%
  • • Dias Akosta F
  • • 🇦🇷 — Prado Ankhelo Kh
  • • 🇧🇴 (tennis)
  • • Dias Akosta F
  • • 🇦🇷: forma VVPVP (3-2)
  • • Prado Ankhelo Kh
  • • 🇧🇴: forma VVPPV (3-2)
  • • Model backs Dias Akosta F
  • • 🇦🇷: probability 60% vs 79% on the line (odds 1.27)
  • • no edge over the line (-19 pp) — informational only.

Analytical AI-agent assessment, not a betting recommendation.

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Diaz Acosta F - Prado Angelo J C July 31, 2026

Tennis math model

The summary is built from our prematch context: line, form, lineups and Glicko.

Line favourite Fonbet: Diaz Acosta F. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • Win odds (Fonbet): 1 1.27 / 2 3.45

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
Winner bookmaker margin 7.7%
1 ✓ Pick 73.1%
2 26.9%

Odds source: Fonbet. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

For reference

Line movement

How the odds changed from opening to the current line — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
Pobeditel P1 1.27 → 1.27
Pobeditel P2 3.40 → 3.40

↓ odds shortened (money on this outcome), ↑ drifted (line weakened). For reference, not a betting recommendation.

Head-to-head and form stats

Head-to-head and form

Team form

Diaz Acosta F
8-2WWWWLLWWWW
scored 1.6conceded 0.7
Prado Angelo J C

no data

Head-to-head and recent form per sports statistics — for reference.

Tennis Challenger Men - Singles: San Marino (San-Marino), clay
Challenger Men - Singles: San Marino (San-Marino), clay clay 31.07.2026 06:00 UTC Not started
31.07.2026 06:00 UTC Not started
Diaz Acosta F
Diaz Acosta F
W W
P
Prado Angelo J C
W
-:-
Odds
P1 1.27 72.8% BetBoom
P2 3.40 27.2% BetBoom
Coverage: clay
Preview Statistics Broadcast Comments

About the athletes

- Country -
- Rating -
- Age -
- Height (cm) -
- Weight (kg) -
- Hand -
- Seed -
clay Coverage clay
0 H2H 0
Match center
Start 31.07.2026 06:00 UTC
Coverage clay
Form 6 matches
Match center

Diaz Acosta F - Prado Angelo J C

V baze uchteny nedavnie matchi oboikh uchastnikov.

Form 2/1 recent games
H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 2 model / bookmakers
Flashscore match data source checked
Odds match data source checked
Bookiesapi match data source checked
Line depth match data source checked
Present in data
Market Form Match Participants Line Movement Overview
More needed
H2H Championat, Flashscore
Tournament Championat, Flashscore
Market and Glicko

Tennis math model. Tennis without draws: the base signal comes from player rating, surface, form, serve/return and tournament fatigue. For live logic the set state and who is serving matter more than the overall points score.

Outcome Line Glicko Signal
Diaz Acosta F 72.8% 59.5% market and model agree
Prado Angelo J C 27.2% 40.5%

Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.

Tennis math model
P1 / P2 59.5% / 40.5% probabilities
Rating 1,941 / 1,738 Diaz Acosta F / Prado Angelo J C
RD 107 / 160 rating uncertainty
r +/- 2RD 1,726-2,156 / 1,419-2,057 strength interval
HFA: 0 HFA mu: 0.000 MoV: on N: N=1 P: two_way_glicko2_expected_score

Best value: no value found

Tennis without draws: the base signal comes from player rating, surface, form, serve/return and tournament fatigue. For live logic the set state and who is serving matter more than the overall points score.

Betting snapshot
1X2
2 3.45 Fonbet · no value · model 40.5%
1 1.27 Fonbet · no value · model 59.5%
Total
Over 19.5 1.58 Fonbet · line only
Over 20.5 1.75 Fonbet · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

Open on Fonbet →
bookmaker line and markets

Handicap

Outcome Baltbet Betcity Fonbet Leon
— — 1.48 67.6% —
— — 1.57 63.7% —
1.91 52.4% 1.85 54.1% 1.90 52.6% 2.02 49.5%
— — 2.50 40.0% —
1.81 55.3% 1.85 54.1% — 1.74 57.5%
— — 2.45 40.8% —
— — 2.25 44.4% —
— — 1.80 55.6% —
— — 1.48 67.6% —

Total

Outcome Baltbet Betcity Fonbet Leon
Over 19.5 — — 1.58 63.3% —
Over 20.5 1.76 56.8% 1.80 55.6% 1.75 57.1% 1.78 56.2%
Over 21.5 1.97 50.8% 1.90 52.6% 1.95 51.3% 1.96 51.0%
Over 22.5 — — 2.25 44.4% —
Under 19.5 — — 2.25 44.4% —
Under 20.5 1.97 50.8% 1.90 52.6% 1.95 51.3% —
Under 21.5 1.76 56.8% 1.79 55.9% 1.75 57.1% —
Under 22.5 — — 1.58 63.3% —

Outcome (1X2)

Outcome Baltbet Betcity Fonbet Leon
1.28 78.1% 1.23 81.3% 1.27 78.7% 1.30 76.9%
3.40 29.4% 3.80 26.3% 3.45 29.0% 3.25 30.8%
Match center
Diaz Acosta F
W W
29.07 17:00 UTC Challenger Men - Singles: San Marino (San-Marino), clay
Diaz Acosta F 2:0 Forti F. 🇮🇹
28.07 08:30 UTC Challenger Men - Singles: San Marino (San-Marino), clay
Diaz Acosta F 2:0 Kompanuchchi T. 🇮🇹
2 Wins
0 Losses
2.0 Sets won
0.0 Sets lost
100% Win percentage
Prado Angelo J C
W
27.07 09:00 UTC Challenger Men - Singles: San Marino (San-Marino), clay
Prado Angelo J C 2:1 Rinkon D. 🇪🇸
1 Wins
0 Losses
2.0 Sets won
1.0 Sets lost
100% Win percentage