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Challenger Men - Singles: San Marino (San-Marino), clay
Challenger Men - Singles: San Marino (San-Marino), clay
28.07.2026 07:00 UTC Match prediction

Poljicak M - Dalla Valle E

Tennis Challenger Men - Singles: San Marino (San-Marino), clay
Challenger Men - Singles: San Marino (San-Marino), clay clay 28.07.2026 07:00 UTC Finished
28.07.2026 07:00 UTC Finished
P
Poljicak M
D
Dalla Valle E
2:0
Odds
P1 2.30 40.6% BetBoom
P2 1.57 59.4% BetBoom
Coverage: clay
Preview Statistics Broadcast Comments

About the athletes

- Country -
- Rating -
- Age -
- Height (cm) -
- Weight (kg) -
- Hand -
- Seed -
clay Coverage clay
0 H2H 0
🎯 PropickAI prediction
Medium confidence

Our model prediction (Glicko-2)

PropickAI model · comparison with the market line (no margin)

2 Dalla Valle E — 59%

Pure model vs market (2 · Dalla Valle E): model 54% · market 15% Δ +39 pp model estimates above the market

1 · Poljicak M41.2%
market85%
2 · Dalla Valle E ✓ Pick58.8%
market15%

Model estimate: win Poljicak M 41.2%, win Dalla Valle E 58.8%. Model favourite — Dalla Valle E.

Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.

AI agent prediction

Independent AI-agent assessment from our data (model, market line, form, H2H)

2Dalla Valle E (odds1.69) Score 1:2 confidence 55% ✗ outcome missed
  • • Polichak M
  • • 🇭🇷 — Dalla Valle E
  • • 🇮🇹 (tennis)
  • • Polichak M
  • • 🇭🇷: forma VVPPV (3-2)
  • • Dalla Valle E
  • • 🇮🇹: forma VVPVV (4-1)
  • • Model backs Dalla Valle E
  • • 🇮🇹: probability 55% vs 59% on the line (odds 1.69)
  • • no edge over the line (-5 pp) — informational only.

Analytical AI-agent assessment, not a betting recommendation.

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Poljicak M - Dalla Valle E July 28, 2026

Tennis math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Poljicak M.

Line favourite Fonbet: Poljicak M. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • Win odds (Fonbet): 1 1.09 / 2 6.10
  • Glicko: Poljicak M 41.2% / Dalla Valle E 58.8%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
Winner bookmaker margin 8.1%
1 84.8%
2 ✓ Pick 15.2%

Odds source: Fonbet. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

For reference

Line movement

How the odds changed from opening to the current line — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
Winner 1 2.05 ↑ 2.30
Winner 2 1.68 ↓ 1.55

↓ odds shortened (money on this outcome), ↑ drifted (line weakened). For reference, not a betting recommendation.

Head-to-head and form stats

Head-to-head and form

Team form

Poljicak M

no data

Dalla Valle E
7-3WWWLWLWWWL
scored 1.4conceded 0.6

Head-to-head and recent form per sports statistics — for reference.

Match center
Start 28.07.2026 07:00 UTC
Coverage clay
Form 6 matches
Match center

Poljicak M - Dalla Valle E

V baze uchteny nedavnie matchi oboikh uchastnikov.

Form 5/5 recent games
H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 2 model / bookmakers
Flashscore match data source checked
Odds match data source checked
Bookiesapi match data source checked
Line depth match data source checked
Present in data
Market Form Match Participants Line Movement Overview
More needed
H2H Championat, Flashscore
Tournament Championat, Flashscore
Post-match / PropickAI database
Score 2:0
Events 0
Statistics 0
PropickAI check: math model and Glicko-2

We mark in green only strong signals where the model passed our publication filter. The other rows are for audit and training.

Option Signal Prediction / actual Rating
Glicko-2: base favourite Audit tennis is audit-only for now: surface, serve/return and market are needed Data: line, form, coverage away - 58.8% fact: home missed / ROI -100.0% / Brier 0.690 / LogLoss 0.886
Glicko-2: calibrated favourite Audit tennis is audit-only for now: surface, serve/return and market are needed Data: line, form, coverage away - 51.1% fact: home missed / ROI -100.0% / Brier 0.521 / LogLoss 0.714
Market and Glicko

Tennis math model. Tennis without draws: the base signal comes from player rating, surface, form, serve/return and tournament fatigue. For live logic the set state and who is serving matter more than the overall points score.

Outcome Line Glicko Signal
Poljicak M 40.7% 41.2%
Dalla Valle E 59.3% 58.8% market and model agree
1X2: 2 Bookies

Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.

Tennis math model
P1 / P2 41.2% / 58.8% probabilities
Rating 1,610 / 1,768 Poljicak M / Dalla Valle E
RD 180 / 114 rating uncertainty
r +/- 2RD 1,250-1,971 / 1,540-1,996 strength interval
HFA: 0 HFA mu: 0.000 MoV: on N: N=1 P: two_way_glicko2_expected_score

Best value: no value found

Tennis without draws: the base signal comes from player rating, surface, form, serve/return and tournament fatigue. For live logic the set state and who is serving matter more than the overall points score.

Betting snapshot
1X2
2 6.10 Fonbet · weak value +258.4% · model 58.8%
1 1.09 Fonbet · no value · model 41.2%
Handicap
2 -0.5 5.90 Fonbet · line only
2 +0.5 1.77 Fonbet · line only
1 -0.5 1.08 Fonbet · line only
1 +0.5 1.93 Fonbet · line only
Total
Over 20.5 1.33 Fonbet · line only
Over 21.5 1.14 Fonbet · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

Open on Fonbet →
bookmaker line and markets

Handicap

Outcome Fonbet
1.93 51.8%
1.78 56.2%
1.08 92.6%
1.11 90.1%
2.70 37.0%
1.80 55.6%
4.70 21.3%
3.05 32.8%
1.77 56.5%
1.92 52.1%
2.10 47.6%
2.10 47.6%
5.90 17.0%
5.10 19.6%
1.40 71.4%
1.90 52.6%
1.14 87.7%
1.33 75.2%

Total

Outcome Fonbet
Over 20.5 1.33 75.2%
Over 21.5 1.14 87.7%
Over 22.5 1.88 53.2%
Over 23.5 2.20 45.5%
Over 24.5 1.57 63.7%
Over 25.5 1.85 54.1%
Over 26.5 11.00 9.1%
Over 28.5 2.10 47.6%
Over 29.5 1.90 52.6%
Over 30.5 2.05 48.8%
Over 31.5 1.77 56.5%
Over 32.5 1.85 54.1%
Over 33.5 4.10 24.4%
Under 20.5 3.05 32.8%
Under 21.5 4.70 21.3%
Under 22.5 1.82 55.0%
Under 23.5 1.60 62.5%
Under 24.5 2.25 44.4%

Outcome (1X2)

Outcome Fonbet Leon
1.09 91.7% 2.25 44.4%
6.10 16.4% 1.57 63.7%
Match center
Poljicak M
W W L L W
27.07 06:00 UTC+0 Challenger Men - Singles: San Marino (San-Marino) - Qualifying, clay
Poljicak M 2:0 Kovalik Y. 🇸🇰
26.07 07:30 UTC+0 Challenger Men - Singles: San Marino (San-Marino) - Qualifying, clay
Poljicak M 2:0 Baldisserri E. 🇮🇹
20.07 07:00 UTC+0 Challenger Men - Singles: Zug (Switzerland) - Qualifying, clay
Poljicak M 1:2 Brunold M. 🇨🇭Brunold M. 🇨🇭
11.07 14:30 UTC+0 ATP - Singles: Umag (Croatia) - Qualifying, clay
Poljicak M 1:2 Noymayer L. 🇦🇹Noymayer L. 🇦🇹
21.05 07:00 UTC+0 Challenger Men - Singles: Istanbul (Turkey), clay
Poljicak M 2:1 Mrva M. 🇨🇿
3 Wins
2 Losses
1.6 Sets won
1.0 Sets lost
60% Win percentage
Dalla Valle E
W W L W W
27.07 07:30 UTC+0 Challenger Men - Singles: San Marino (San-Marino) - Qualifying, clay
Dalla Valle E 2:0 Brunold M. 🇨🇭Brunold M. 🇨🇭
26.07 10:30 UTC+0 Challenger Men - Singles: San Marino (San-Marino) - Qualifying, clay
Dalla Valle E 2:0 Logrippo M. 🇮🇹
16.07 10:30 UTC+0 Challenger Men - Singles: Kordenons (Italy), clay
Dalla Valle E 1:2 Delen U. 🇧🇴Delen U. 🇧🇴
14.07 17:30 UTC+0 Challenger Men - Singles: Kordenons (Italy), clay
Dalla Valle E 2:0 Nedich A. (Big)
06.07 07:30 UTC+0 Challenger Men - Singles: Trieste (Italy) - Qualifying, clay
Dalla Valle E 2:0 Karu I. 🇺🇾
4 Wins
1 Losses
1.8 Sets won
0.4 Sets lost
80% Win percentage
Match center

Full head-to-head historyPoljicak M - Dalla Valle E

Poljicak M
0 matches total
Dalla Valle E
Biggest win — largest score margin
Highest-scoring match — most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw — draw with the most goals

Match history