PropickAI PropickAI
Sign in Sign up
Free access Sign in to unlock the full prediction Create a free account to see the full AI breakdown, probabilities, risks and history.
Challenger Men - Singles: San Marino (San-Marino), clay
Challenger Men - Singles: San Marino (San-Marino), clay
01.08.2026 08:00 UTC

Poljicak M - Varillas J P

🎯 PropickAI prediction
Medium confidence

Our model prediction (Glicko-2)

PropickAI model · comparison with the market line (no margin)

1 Poljicak M — 62%

Pure model vs market (1 · Poljicak M): model 50% · market 63% Δ −13 pp model estimates below the market

1 · Poljicak M ✓ Pick62.0%
market63%
2 · Varillas J P38.0%
market37%

Model estimate: win Poljicak M 62.0%, win Varillas J P 38.0%. Model favourite — Poljicak M.

Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.

AI agent prediction

Independent AI-agent assessment from our data (model, market line, form, H2H)

1Poljicak M (odds1.58) Score 2:1 confidence 50%
  • • Polichak M
  • • 🇭🇷 — Varilyas Kh.-P
  • • 🇵🇪 (tennis)
  • • Polichak M
  • • 🇭🇷: forma VVVVV (5-0)
  • • Varilyas Kh.-P
  • • 🇵🇪: forma VVVVP (4-1)
  • • liniya na pik P1 1.73→1.63 (ukorotilas — dengi na pik)
  • • Model backs Polichak M
  • • 🇭🇷: probability 50% vs 63% on the line (odds 1.58)
  • • no edge over the line (-13 pp) — informational only.

Analytical AI-agent assessment, not a betting recommendation.

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Poljicak M - Varillas J P August 1, 2026

Tennis math model

The summary is built from our prematch context: line, form, lineups and Glicko.

Line favourite Fonbet: Poljicak M. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • Win odds (Fonbet): 1 1.47 / 2 2.50

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
Winner bookmaker margin 8.0%
1 ✓ Pick 63.0%
2 37.0%

Odds source: Fonbet. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

For reference

Line movement

How the odds changed from opening to the current line — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
Pobeditel P1 1.73 ↓ 1.47
Pobeditel P2 2.05 ↑ 2.50

↓ odds shortened (money on this outcome), ↑ drifted (line weakened). For reference, not a betting recommendation.

Tennis Challenger Men - Singles: San Marino (San-Marino), clay
Challenger Men - Singles: San Marino (San-Marino), clay clay 01.08.2026 08:00 UTC Not started
01.08.2026 08:00 UTC Not started
P
Poljicak M
W W W W W
V
Varillas J P
W W W W W
-:-
Odds
P1 1.47 63.4% BetBoom
P2 2.55 36.6% BetBoom
Coverage: clay
Preview Statistics Broadcast Comments

About the athletes

- Country -
- Rating -
- Age -
- Height (cm) -
- Weight (kg) -
- Hand -
- Seed -
clay Coverage clay
0 H2H 0
Match center
Start 01.08.2026 08:00 UTC
Market 1 63.0% @ 1.47 / 2 37.0% @ 2.50
Coverage clay
Form 6 matches
Match center

Poljicak M - Varillas J P

V baze uchteny nedavnie matchi oboikh uchastnikov.

Form 5/5 recent games
H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 2 model / bookmakers
Flashscore match data source checked
Odds match data source checked
Bookiesapi match data source checked
Line depth match data source checked
Present in data
Market Form Match Participants Line Movement Overview
More needed
H2H Championat, Flashscore
Tournament Championat, Flashscore
Market and Glicko

Tennis math model. Tennis without draws: the base signal comes from player rating, surface, form, serve/return and tournament fatigue. For live logic the set state and who is serving matter more than the overall points score.

Outcome Line Glicko Signal
Poljicak M 63.3% 62.0% market and model agree
Varillas J P 36.7% 38.0%

Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.

Tennis math model
P1 / P2 62.0% / 38.0% probabilities
Rating 1,779 / 1,837 Poljicak M / Varillas J P
RD 144 / 151 rating uncertainty
r +/- 2RD 1,490-2,067 / 1,536-2,138 strength interval
HFA: 0 HFA mu: 0.000 MoV: on N: N=1 P: two_way_glicko2_expected_score

Best value: no value found

Tennis without draws: the base signal comes from player rating, surface, form, serve/return and tournament fatigue. For live logic the set state and who is serving matter more than the overall points score.

Betting snapshot
1X2
2 2.50 Fonbet · no value · model 38.0%
1 1.47 Fonbet · no value · model 62.0%
Total
Over 20.5 1.63 Fonbet · line only
Over 21.5 1.80 Fonbet · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

Open on Fonbet →
bookmaker line and markets

Handicap

Outcome Fonbet Leon
1.58 63.3% —
1.70 58.8% 1.78 56.2%
1.93 51.8% 1.88 53.2%
2.30 43.5% —
— 1.96 51.0%
— 1.86 53.8%
2.25 44.4% —
2.02 49.5% —
1.77 56.5% —
1.55 64.5% —

Total

Outcome Fonbet Leon
Over 20.5 1.63 61.4% —
Over 21.5 1.80 55.6% 1.87 53.5%
Over 22.5 2.02 49.5% —
Under 20.5 2.15 46.5% —
Under 21.5 1.90 52.6% 1.86 53.8%
Under 22.5 1.70 58.8% —

Outcome (1X2)

Outcome Fonbet Leon
1.47 68.0% 1.46 68.5%
2.50 40.0% 2.55 39.2%
Match center
Poljicak M
W W W W W
2026-07-31 2026 San Marino, San Marino
Poljicak M Muller A 1:2 Poljicak M
2026-07-29 2026 San Marino, San Marino
Poljicak M Poljicak M 2:1 Basilashvili N
2026-07-28 2026 San Marino, San Marino
Poljicak M Poljicak M 2:0 Dalla Valle E
2026-07-27 2026 San Marino, San Marino, Qualifying
Poljicak M Poljicak M 2:0 Kovalik J
2026-07-26 2026 San Marino, San Marino, Qualifying
Poljicak M Poljicak M 2:0 Baldisserri E
5 Wins
0 Losses
2.0 Sets won
0.4 Sets lost
100% Win percentage
Varillas J P
W W W W W
2026-07-31 2026 San Marino, San Marino
Varillas J P 2:0 Skatov T Varillas J P
2026-07-30 2026 San Marino, San Marino
Maestrelli F 1:2 Varillas J P Varillas J P
2026-07-28 2026 San Marino, San Marino
Vasami J 0:2 Varillas J P Varillas J P
2026-07-27 2026 San Marino, San Marino, Qualifying
Varillas J P 2:1 Forti F Varillas J P
2026-07-26 2026 San Marino, San Marino, Qualifying
Varillas J P 2:0 Latinovic S Varillas J P
5 Wins
0 Losses
2.0 Sets won
0.4 Sets lost
100% Win percentage
Match center

Full head-to-head historyPoljicak M - Varillas J P

Poljicak M
0 matches total
Varillas J P
Biggest win — largest score margin
Highest-scoring match — most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw — draw with the most goals

Match history