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ATP Challenger. Vancouver
ATP Challenger. Vancouver
30.07.2026 19:30 UTC Match prediction

Bonzi B - Hara Friend J D

Tennis ATP Challenger. Vancouver
ATP Challenger. Vancouver hard 30.07.2026 19:30 UTC Finished
30.07.2026 19:30 UTC Finished
Bonzi B
Bonzi B
W W
H
Hara Friend J D
1:2
Odds
P1 1.50 61.7% BetBoom
P2 2.42 38.3% BetBoom
Coverage: hard
Preview Statistics Broadcast Comments

About the athletes

- Country -
- Rating -
- Age -
- Height (cm) -
- Weight (kg) -
- Hand -
- Seed -
hard Coverage hard
0 H2H 0
🎯 PropickAI prediction
High confidence

Our model prediction (Glicko-2)

PropickAI model · comparison with the market line (no margin)

1 Bonzi B — 61%

Pure model vs market (1 · Bonzi B): model 54% · market 62% Δ −8 pp model estimates below the market

1 · Bonzi B ✓ Pick61.0%
market62%
2 · Hara Friend J D39.0%
market38%

Model estimate: win Bonzi B 61.0%, win Hara Friend J D 39.0%. Model favourite — Bonzi B.

Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.

AI agent prediction

Independent AI-agent assessment from our data (model, market line, form, H2H)

1Bonzi B (odds1.38) Score 2:1 confidence 65% ✗ outcome missed
  • • Bonzi B
  • • 🇫🇷 — Hara Friend J
  • • D
  • • 🇯🇵 (tennis)
  • • Bonzi B
  • • 🇫🇷: forma VVVVP (4-1)
  • • Hara Friend J
  • • D
  • • 🇯🇵: forma VVPPV (3-2)
  • • Model backs Bonzi B
  • • 🇫🇷: probability 65% vs 73% on the line (odds 1.38)
  • • no edge over the line (-7 pp) — informational only.

Analytical AI-agent assessment, not a betting recommendation.

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Bonzi B - Hara Friend J D July 30, 2026

Tennis math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Bonzi B.

Line favourite market consensus: Bonzi B. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • Win odds (market consensus): 1 1.50 / 2 2.42
  • Glicko: Bonzi B 61.0% / Hara Friend J D 39.0%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
Winner bookmaker margin 8.0%
1 ✓ Pick 61.7%
2 38.3%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

Head-to-head and form stats

Head-to-head and form

Team form

Bonzi B
5-5LLWLLWWWWL
scored 1.1conceded 1.4
Hara Friend J D
7-3WLWWLLWWWW
scored 1.6conceded 0.8

Head-to-head and recent form per sports statistics — for reference.

Match center
Start 30.07.2026 19:30 UTC
Coverage hard
Form 6 matches
Match center

Bonzi B - Hara Friend J D

V baze uchteny nedavnie matchi oboikh uchastnikov.

Form 2/5 recent games
H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 2 model / bookmakers
Flashscore match data source checked
Odds match data source checked
Line depth match data source checked
Present in data
Market Form Match Participants Line Overview
More needed
H2H Championat, Flashscore
Tournament Championat, Flashscore
Movement Line history
Post-match / PropickAI database
Score 1:2
Events 0
Statistics 0
PropickAI check: math model and Glicko-2

We mark in green only strong signals where the model passed our publication filter. The other rows are for audit and training.

Option Signal Prediction / actual Rating
Glicko-2: base favourite Audit tennis is audit-only for now: surface, serve/return and market are needed Data: line, form, coverage home - 61.0% fact: away missed / ROI -100.0% / Brier 0.744 / LogLoss 0.942
Glicko-2: calibrated favourite Audit tennis is audit-only for now: surface, serve/return and market are needed Data: line, form, coverage home - 51.3% fact: away missed / ROI -100.0% / Brier 0.527 / LogLoss 0.720
Market and Glicko

Tennis math model. Tennis without draws: the base signal comes from player rating, surface, form, serve/return and tournament fatigue. For live logic the set state and who is serving matter more than the overall points score.

Outcome Line Glicko Signal
Bonzi B 61.7% 61.0% market and model agree
Hara Friend J D 38.3% 39.0%
1X2: 2 Bookies

Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.

Tennis math model
P1 / P2 61.0% / 39.0% probabilities
Rating 1,635 / 1,583 Bonzi B / Hara Friend J D
RD 144 / 150 rating uncertainty
r +/- 2RD 1,348-1,922 / 1,283-1,882 strength interval
HFA: 0 HFA mu: 0.000 MoV: on N: N=1 P: two_way_glicko2_expected_score

Best value: no value found

Tennis without draws: the base signal comes from player rating, surface, form, serve/return and tournament fatigue. For live logic the set state and who is serving matter more than the overall points score.

Betting snapshot
1X2
2 2.42 market consensus · no value · model 39.0%
1 1.50 market consensus · no value · model 61.0%
Total
Over 21.5 1.78 market consensus · line only
Over 22.5 1.89 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Handicap

Outcome Betcity Leon
1.75 57.1% 1.77 56.5%
1.85 54.1% 1.96 51.0%
1.96 51.0% 1.98 50.5%
1.85 54.1% 1.79 55.9%

Total

Outcome Betcity Leon
Over 21.5 1.80 55.6% 1.76 56.8%
Over 22.5 1.87 53.5% 1.90 52.6%
Under 21.5 1.90 52.6% 2.00 50.0%
Under 22.5 1.83 54.6% 1.84 54.4%

Outcome (1X2)

Outcome Betcity Leon
1.50 66.7% 1.50 66.7%
2.42 41.3% 2.42 41.3%
Match center
Bonzi B
W W
29.07 18:00 UTC Challenger Men - Singles: Vankuver (Canada), hard
Bonzi B 2:0 Mmo M. 🇺🇸
28.07 18:30 UTC Challenger Men - Singles: Vankuver (Canada), hard
Bonzi B 2:1 Biknell B. (Yama)Biknell B. (Yama)
2 Wins
0 Losses
2.0 Sets won
0.5 Sets lost
100% Win percentage
Hara Friend J D
W W L L W
28.07 18:30 UTC+0 Challenger Men - Singles: Vankuver (Canada) - Qualifying, hard
Hara Friend J D 2:0 Church C. 🇨🇦
27.07 20:00 UTC+0 Challenger Men - Singles: Vankuver (Canada) - Qualifying, hard
Hara Friend J D 2:0 Moriya Kh. 🇯🇵Moriya Kh. 🇯🇵
20.07 18:30 UTC+0 Challenger Men - Singles: Winnipeg (Canada), hard
Hara Friend J D 0:2 Hsu Y. H. 🇹🇼
13.07 17:00 UTC+0 Challenger Men - Singles: Granbi (Canada), hard
Hara Friend J D 1:2 Shimizu Yu. 🇯🇵Shimizu Yu. 🇯🇵
10.07 17:00 UTC+0 ITF Men - Singles: M25 Laval (Canada), hard
Hara Friend J D 2:1 Kirkhgaymer S. 🇺🇸
3 Wins
2 Losses
1.4 Sets won
1.0 Sets lost
60% Win percentage
Match center

Full head-to-head historyBonzi B - Hara Friend J D

Bonzi B
0 matches total
Hara Friend J D
Biggest win — largest score margin
Highest-scoring match — most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw — draw with the most goals

Match history