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ATP Challenger. Vancouver. Qualification
ATP Challenger. Vancouver. Qualification
27.07.2026 20:00 UTC Match prediction

Arseneault M. 🇨🇦 - Trotter J. K. 🇯🇵

Tennis ATP Challenger. Vancouver. Qualification
ATP Challenger. Vancouver. Qualification hard 27.07.2026 20:00 UTC Finished
27.07.2026 20:00 UTC Finished
Arseneault M. 🇨🇦
Arseneault M. 🇨🇦
T
Trotter J. K. 🇯🇵
1:2
Odds
P1 2.95 31.2% BetBoom
P2 1.34 68.8% BetBoom
Coverage: hard
Preview Statistics Broadcast Comments

About the athletes

- Country -
- Rating -
- Age -
- Height (cm) -
- Weight (kg) -
- Hand -
- Seed -
hard Coverage hard
0 H2H 0
🎯 PropickAI prediction
Medium confidence

Our model prediction (Glicko-2)

2 Trotter J. K. 🇯🇵 — 56%

1 · Arseneault M. 🇨🇦44.0%
2 · Trotter J. K. 🇯🇵 ✓ Pick56.0%

Model estimate: win Arseneault M. 🇨🇦 44.0%, win Trotter J. K. 🇯🇵 56.0%. Model favourite — Trotter J. K. 🇯🇵.

Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.

AI agent prediction

Independent AI-agent assessment from our data (model, market line, form, H2H)

2Trotter J. K. 🇯🇵 (odds1.37) Score 1:2 confidence 53% ✓ outcome correct · exact score
  • • Arseneault M
  • • 🇨🇦 — Trotter J
  • • K
  • • 🇯🇵 (tennis)
  • • Arseneault M
  • • 🇨🇦: forma PVPP (1-3)
  • • Trotter J
  • • K
  • • 🇯🇵: forma VVPP (2)
  • • Model backs Trotter J
  • • K
  • • 🇯🇵: probability 53% vs 73% on the line (odds 1.37)
  • • no edge over the line (-20 pp) — informational only.

Analytical AI-agent assessment, not a betting recommendation.

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Arseneault M. 🇨🇦 - Trotter J. K. 🇯🇵 July 27, 2026

Tennis math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Trotter J. K. 🇯🇵.

Line favourite Fonbet: Trotter J. K. 🇯🇵. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • Win odds (Fonbet): 1 10.00 / 2 1.02
  • Glicko: Arseneault M. 🇨🇦 44.0% / Trotter J. K. 🇯🇵 56.0%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
Winner bookmaker margin 8.0%
1 9.3%
2 ✓ Pick 90.7%

Odds source: Fonbet. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

Head-to-head and form stats

Head-to-head and form

Team form

Arseneault M. 🇨🇦

no data

Trotter J. K. 🇯🇵
4-6LLWLWLWLWL
scored 1.0conceded 1.4

Head-to-head and recent form per sports statistics — for reference.

Match center
Start 27.07.2026 20:00 UTC
Coverage hard
Form 6 matches
Match center

Arseneault M. 🇨🇦 - Trotter J. K. 🇯🇵

V baze uchteny nedavnie matchi oboikh uchastnikov.

Form 4/4 recent games
H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 2 model / bookmakers
Flashscore match data source checked
Odds match data source checked
Line depth match data source checked
Present in data
Market Form Match Participants Line Overview
More needed
H2H Championat, Flashscore
Tournament Championat, Flashscore
Movement Line history
Post-match / PropickAI database
Score 1:2
Events 0
Statistics 0
PropickAI check: math model and Glicko-2

We mark in green only strong signals where the model passed our publication filter. The other rows are for audit and training.

Option Signal Prediction / actual Rating
Glicko-2: base favourite Audit tennis is audit-only for now: surface, serve/return and market are needed Data: line, form, coverage away - 56.0% fact: away hit / ROI 34.0% / Brier 0.387 / LogLoss 0.579
Glicko-2: calibrated favourite Audit tennis is audit-only for now: surface, serve/return and market are needed Data: line, form, coverage away - 50.7% fact: away hit / ROI 34.0% / Brier 0.486 / LogLoss 0.679
Market and Glicko

Tennis math model. Tennis without draws: the base signal comes from player rating, surface, form, serve/return and tournament fatigue. For live logic the set state and who is serving matter more than the overall points score.

Outcome Line Glicko Signal
Arseneault M. 🇨🇦 31.2% 44.0%
Trotter J. K. 🇯🇵 68.8% 56.0% market and model agree
1X2: 1 Bookies

Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.

Tennis math model
P1 / P2 44.0% / 56.0% probabilities
Rating 1,426 / 1,694 Arseneault M. 🇨🇦 / Trotter J. K. 🇯🇵
RD 204 / 214 rating uncertainty
r +/- 2RD 1,018-1,834 / 1,266-2,122 strength interval
HFA: 0 HFA mu: 0.000 MoV: on N: N=1 P: two_way_glicko2_expected_score

Best value: no value found

Tennis without draws: the base signal comes from player rating, surface, form, serve/return and tournament fatigue. For live logic the set state and who is serving matter more than the overall points score.

Betting snapshot
1X2
2 1.02 Fonbet · no value · model 56.0%
1 10.00 Fonbet · no value · model 44.0%
Handicap
2 -0.5 2.30 Fonbet · line only
2 +0.5 1.88 Fonbet · line only
1 -0.5 1.55 Fonbet · line only
1 +0.5 1.82 Fonbet · line only
Total
Over 20.5 1.62 Fonbet · line only
Over 21.5 1.62 Fonbet · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

Open on Fonbet →
bookmaker line and markets

Handicap

Outcome Fonbet
1.82 55.0%
2.60 38.5%
2.40 41.7%
11.00 9.1%
9.50 10.5%
1.11 90.1%
1.55 64.5%
1.65 60.6%
2.10 47.6%
1.88 53.2%
1.43 69.9%
1.50 66.7%
1.01 99.0%
1.01 99.0%
5.30 18.9%
2.30 43.5%
2.10 47.6%
1.65 60.6%

Total

Outcome Fonbet
Over 20.5 1.62 61.7%
Over 21.5 1.62 61.7%
Over 22.5 1.70 58.8%
Over 23.5 2.00 50.0%
Over 24.5 1.62 61.7%
Over 25.5 1.72 58.1%
Over 26.5 2.07 48.3%
Over 27.5 2.02 49.5%
Over 28.5 1.85 54.1%
Over 29.5 1.83 54.6%
Over 30.5 1.11 90.1%
Over 31.5 9.50 10.5%
Over 32.5 10.00 10.0%
Over 33.5 2.80 35.7%
Over 34.5 2.75 36.4%
Under 20.5 2.15 46.5%
Under 21.5 2.15 46.5%
Under 22.5 2.02 49.5%

Outcome (1X2)

Outcome Fonbet Leon
10.00 10.0% 2.95 33.9%
1.02 98.0% 1.34 74.6%
Match center
Arseneault M. 🇨🇦
L W L L
21.07 17:00 UTC+0 Challenger Men - Singles: Winnipeg (Canada), hard
Arseneault M. 🇨🇦 0:2 Samuel T. 🇬🇧Samuel T. 🇬🇧
20.07 13:00 UTC+0 Challenger Men - Singles: Winnipeg (Canada) - Qualifying, hard
Arseneault M. 🇨🇦 2:1 Vinter E. 🇦🇺Vinter E. 🇦🇺
13.07 12:00 UTC+0 Challenger Men - Singles: Granbi (Canada) - Qualifying, hard
Arseneault M. 🇨🇦 1:2 Dalmasso G. 🇫🇷Dalmasso G. 🇫🇷
10.07 17:00 UTC+0 ITF Men - Singles: M25 Laval (Canada), hard
Arseneault M. 🇨🇦 0:2 Legut T. 🇫🇷Legut T. 🇫🇷
1 Wins
3 Losses
0.8 Sets won
1.8 Sets lost
25% Win percentage
Trotter J. K. 🇯🇵
W W L L
20.07 17:00 UTC+0 Challenger Men - Singles: Winnipeg (Canada) - Qualifying, hard
Trotter J. K. 🇯🇵 2:0 Isomura K. 🇯🇵
19.07 19:15 UTC+0 Challenger Men - Singles: Winnipeg (Canada) - Qualifying, hard
Trotter J. K. 🇯🇵 2:0 Dalmasso G. 🇫🇷Dalmasso G. 🇫🇷
14.07 21:30 UTC+0 Challenger Men - Singles: Granbi (Canada), hard
Trotter J. K. 🇯🇵 1:2 Draksl L. 🇨🇦Draksl L. 🇨🇦
05.07 17:30 UTC+0 Challenger Men - Singles: Newport 🇺🇸 - Qualifying, grass
Trotter J. K. 🇯🇵 1:2 Vandecasteele Q. 🇺🇸Vandecasteele Q. 🇺🇸
2 Wins
2 Losses
1.5 Sets won
1.0 Sets lost
50% Win percentage