PropickAI PropickAI
Sign in Sign up
Free access Sign in to unlock the full prediction Create a free account to see the full AI breakdown, probabilities, risks and history.
ATP Challenger. Vancouver. Qualification
ATP Challenger. Vancouver. Qualification
28.07.2026 18:30 UTC

Hara Friend J D - Church C

🎯 PropickAI prediction
Medium confidence

Our model prediction (Glicko-2)

PropickAI model · comparison with the market line (no margin)

1 Hara Friend J D — 83%

Pure model vs market (1 · Hara Friend J D): model 48% · market 87% Δ −39 pp model estimates below the market

1 · Hara Friend J D ✓ Pick82.5%
market87%
2 · Church C17.5%
market13%

Model estimate: win Hara Friend J D 82.5%, win Church C 17.5%. Model favourite — Hara Friend J D.

Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Hara Friend J D - Church C July 28, 2026

Tennis math model

The summary is built from our prematch context: line, form, lineups and Glicko.

Line favourite market consensus: Hara Friend J D. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • Win odds (market consensus): 1 1.08 / 2 7.30

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
Winner bookmaker margin 6.3%
1 ✓ Pick 87.1%
2 12.9%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

Head-to-head and form stats

Head-to-head and form

Team form

Hara Friend J D
7-3WLWWLLWWWW
scored 1.6conceded 0.8
Church C

no data

Head-to-head and recent form per sports statistics — for reference.

Tennis ATP Challenger. Vancouver. Qualification
ATP Challenger. Vancouver. Qualification hard 28.07.2026 18:30 UTC Not started
28.07.2026 18:30 UTC Not started
H
Hara Friend J D
W
C
Church C
W
-:-
Odds
P1 1.08 87.1% BetBoom
P2 7.30 12.9% BetBoom
Coverage: hard
Preview Statistics Broadcast Comments

About the athletes

- Country -
- Rating -
- Age -
- Height (cm) -
- Weight (kg) -
- Hand -
- Seed -
hard Coverage hard
0 H2H 0
Match center
Start 28.07.2026 18:30 UTC
Coverage hard
Form 5 matches
Match center

Hara Friend J D - Church C

V baze uchteny nedavnie matchi oboikh uchastnikov.

Form 1/1 recent games
H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 2 model / bookmakers
Flashscore match data source checked
Odds match data source checked
Line depth match data source checked
Present in data
Market Form Match Participants Line Overview
More needed
H2H Championat, Flashscore
Tournament Championat, Flashscore
Movement Line history
Market and Glicko

Tennis math model. Tennis without draws: the base signal comes from player rating, surface, form, serve/return and tournament fatigue. For live logic the set state and who is serving matter more than the overall points score.

Outcome Line Glicko Signal
Hara Friend J D 86.4% 82.5% market and model agree
Church C 13.6% 17.5%

Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.

Tennis math model
P1 / P2 82.5% / 17.5% probabilities
Rating 1,492 / 1,635 Hara Friend J D / Church C
RD 158 / 246 rating uncertainty
r +/- 2RD 1,176-1,808 / 1,142-2,128 strength interval
HFA: 0 HFA mu: 0.000 MoV: on N: N=1 P: two_way_glicko2_expected_score

Best value: no value found

Tennis without draws: the base signal comes from player rating, surface, form, serve/return and tournament fatigue. For live logic the set state and who is serving matter more than the overall points score.

Betting snapshot
1X2
2 6.90 market consensus · no value · model 17.5%
1 1.07 market consensus · no value · model 82.5%
Total
Over 18.5 1.75 market consensus · line only
Under 18.5 1.97 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Handicap

Outcome Baltbet Betcity Leon
2.15 46.5% 2.15 46.5% 2.14 46.7%
1.63 61.4% 1.62 61.7% 1.66 60.2%

Total

Outcome Baltbet Betcity
Over 18.5 1.77 56.5% 1.72 58.1%
Under 18.5 1.94 51.6% 2.00 50.0%

Outcome (1X2)

Outcome Baltbet Betcity Leon
1.06 94.3% 1.07 93.5% 1.08 92.6%
7.30 13.7% 6.80 14.7% 6.60 15.2%
Match center
Hara Friend J D
W
27.07 20:00 UTC Challenger Men - Singles: Vankuver (Canada) - Qualifying, hard
Hara Friend J D 2:0 Moriya Kh. 🇯🇵Moriya Kh. 🇯🇵
1 Wins
0 Losses
2.0 Sets won
0.0 Sets lost
100% Win percentage
Church C
W
27.07 20:00 UTC Challenger Men - Singles: Vankuver (Canada) - Qualifying, hard
Church C 2:0 Bulo Dzh. 🇨🇦Bulo Dzh. 🇨🇦
1 Wins
0 Losses
2.0 Sets won
0.0 Sets lost
100% Win percentage
Match center

Full head-to-head historyHara Friend J D - Church C

Hara Friend J D
0 matches total
Church C
Biggest win — largest score margin
Highest-scoring match — most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw — draw with the most goals

Match history