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ATP Challenger. Vancouver. Qualification
ATP Challenger. Vancouver. Qualification
27.07.2026 20:00 UTC Match prediction

Hara Friend J D - Moriya H

Tennis ATP Challenger. Vancouver. Qualification
ATP Challenger. Vancouver. Qualification hard 27.07.2026 20:00 UTC Finished
27.07.2026 20:00 UTC Finished
H
Hara Friend J D
Moriya H
Moriya H
2:0
Odds
P1 1.23 88.0% BetBoom
P2 9.00 12.0% BetBoom
Coverage: hard
Preview Statistics Broadcast Comments

About the athletes

- Country -
- Rating -
- Age -
- Height (cm) -
- Weight (kg) -
- Hand -
- Seed -
hard Coverage hard
0 H2H 0
🎯 PropickAI prediction
High confidence

Our model prediction (Glicko-2)

PropickAI model · comparison with the market line (no margin)

1 Hara Friend J D — 75%

Pure model vs market (1 · Hara Friend J D): model 58% · market 90% Δ −32 pp model estimates below the market

1 · Hara Friend J D ✓ Pick75.3%
market90%
2 · Moriya H24.7%
market10%

Model estimate: win Hara Friend J D 75.3%, win Moriya H 24.7%. Model favourite — Hara Friend J D.

Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.

AI agent prediction

Independent AI-agent assessment from our data (model, market line, form, H2H)

1Hara Friend J D (odds1.23) Score 2:1 confidence 51% ✓ outcome correct
  • • Hara Friend J
  • • D
  • • 🇯🇵 — Moriya Kh
  • • 🇯🇵 (tennis)
  • • Hara Friend J
  • • D
  • • 🇯🇵: forma PPVPV (2-3)
  • • Moriya Kh
  • • 🇯🇵: forma pp (0-2)
  • • Model backs Hara Friend J
  • • D
  • • 🇯🇵: probability 51% vs 81% on the line (odds 1.23)
  • • no edge over the line (-30 pp) — informational only.

Analytical AI-agent assessment, not a betting recommendation.

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Hara Friend J D - Moriya H July 27, 2026

Tennis math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Hara Friend J D.

Line favourite Fonbet: Hara Friend J D. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • Win odds (Fonbet): 1 1.03 / 2 9.00
  • Glicko: Hara Friend J D 75.3% / Moriya H 24.7%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
Winner bookmaker margin 8.2%
1 ✓ Pick 89.7%
2 10.3%

Odds source: Fonbet. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

For reference

Line movement

How the odds changed from opening to the current line — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
Winner 1 1.20 ↓ 1.03
Winner 2 4.05 ↑ 9.00

↓ odds shortened (money on this outcome), ↑ drifted (line weakened). For reference, not a betting recommendation.

AI

Model consensus

AI outcome leader: 1

Main outcome
Agreement 1/1
Confidence 62.0%

Modeli dayut edinyy signal. Takie matchi my pomechaem kak bolee silnye.

Head-to-head and form stats

Head-to-head and form

Team form

Hara Friend J D
7-3WLWWLLWWWW
scored 1.6conceded 0.8
Moriya H

no data

Head-to-head and recent form per sports statistics — for reference.

AI overview

AI predictions

AI analysis:4/7 ready · Still preparing:DeepSeek, ChatGPT, Kimi

Google AI updated27.07.2026 18:57 UTC
1 80% ✓ favourite
2 20%
Score2:0 Total games: TM 20.5 Bet:Friend to win 2:0
Per AI data Form:LLLVW / LLLLW H2H: 0-0 Injuries:no
Claude updated27.07.2026 19:09 UTC
1 76% ✓ favourite
2 24%
Score2:0 Total games: Over 21.5 Bet:Over 21.5 games (alternativa — svyazka 1 + Over 21.5; chistyy 1 at 1.23 bez tsennosti)
Qwen updated27.07.2026 19:05 UTC
1 78% ✓ favourite
2 7%
Score2:0 Total games: Under 2.5 Bet:Win DAC Dunayska Streda
Per AI data H2H: 0-0
GLM 5.2 updated27.07.2026 19:24 UTC
1 78% ✓ favourite
2 22%
Score2:0 Total games: Under 22.5 Bet:1

AI consensus:1

AI 1 2 Score Total games Bet
Google AI 80% 20% 2:0 TM 20.5 Friend to win 2:0
Claude 76% 24% 2:0 Over 21.5 Over 21.5 games (alternativa — svyazka 1 + Over 21.5; chistyy 1 at 1.23 bez tsennosti)
Qwen 78% 7% 2:0 Under 2.5 Win DAC Dunayska Streda
GLM 5.2 78% 22% 2:0 Under 22.5
Match center
Start 27.07.2026 20:00 UTC
Coverage hard
Form 5 matches
🥊 Humans vs Machines
🤖 7 AI models Hara Friend J D 78%
📐 Math model Hara Friend J D 75%
Every pick locked before kickoff · public log
Match center

Hara Friend J D - Moriya H

V baze uchteny nedavnie matchi oboikh uchastnikov.

Form 5/2 recent games
H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 2 model / bookmakers
Flashscore match data source checked
Odds match data source checked
Bookiesapi match data source checked
Line depth match data source checked
Present in data
Market Form Match Participants Line Movement Overview
More needed
H2H Championat, Flashscore
Tournament Championat, Flashscore
Post-match / PropickAI database
Score 2:0
Events 0
Statistics 0
PropickAI check: math model and Glicko-2

We mark in green only strong signals where the model passed our publication filter. The other rows are for audit and training.

Option Signal Prediction / actual Rating
Glicko-2: base favourite Audit tennis is audit-only for now: surface, serve/return and market are needed Data: line, form, coverage home - 75.3% fact: home hit / ROI 23.0% / Brier 0.122 / LogLoss 0.284
Glicko-2: calibrated favourite Audit tennis is audit-only for now: surface, serve/return and market are needed Data: line, form, coverage home - 53.0% fact: home hit / ROI 23.0% / Brier 0.441 / LogLoss 0.634
Market and Glicko

Tennis math model. Tennis without draws: the base signal comes from player rating, surface, form, serve/return and tournament fatigue. For live logic the set state and who is serving matter more than the overall points score.

Outcome Line Glicko Signal
Hara Friend J D 77.2% 75.3% market and model agree
Moriya H 22.8% 24.7%
1X2: 4 Bookies

Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.

Tennis math model
P1 / P2 75.3% / 24.7% probabilities
Rating 1,457 / 1,279 Hara Friend J D / Moriya H
RD 167 / 252 rating uncertainty
r +/- 2RD 1,123-1,791 / 774-1,784 strength interval
HFA: 0 HFA mu: 0.000 MoV: on N: N=1 P: two_way_glicko2_expected_score

Best value: no value found

Tennis without draws: the base signal comes from player rating, surface, form, serve/return and tournament fatigue. For live logic the set state and who is serving matter more than the overall points score.

Betting snapshot
1X2
2 9.00 Fonbet · no value · model 24.7%
1 1.03 Fonbet · no value · model 75.3%
Total
Over 14.5 8.50 Fonbet · line only
Over 15.5 10.00 Fonbet · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

Open on Fonbet →
bookmaker line and markets

Handicap

Outcome Baltbet Betcity Fonbet
— — 1.60 62.5%
— — 1.80 55.6%
1.77 56.5% 1.80 55.6% 1.55 64.5%
— — 1.48 67.6%
— — 1.30 76.9%
— — 1.35 74.1%
1.94 51.6% 1.94 51.6% —
— — 2.20 45.5%
— — 1.90 52.6%
— — 2.25 44.4%
— — 2.45 40.8%
— — 3.05 32.8%
— — 2.85 35.1%
— — 10.00 10.0%
— — 8.50 11.8%

Total

Outcome Baltbet Betcity Fonbet
Over 14.5 — — 8.50 11.8%
Over 15.5 — — 10.00 10.0%
Over 16.5 — — 2.85 35.1%
Over 17.5 — — 3.00 33.3%
Over 18.5 — — 2.65 37.7%
Over 19.5 — — 2.20 45.5%
Over 20.5 1.80 55.6% 1.86 53.8% 2.20 45.5%
Over 21.5 — — 2.10 47.6%
Over 22.5 — — 2.02 49.5%
Under 14.5 — — 1.02 98.0%
Under 15.5 — — 1.02 98.0%
Under 16.5 — — 1.37 73.0%
Under 17.5 — — 1.32 75.8%
Under 18.5 — — 1.42 70.4%
Under 20.5 1.90 52.6% 1.88 53.2% —

Outcome (1X2)

Outcome Baltbet Betcity Fonbet Leon
1.19 84.0% 1.23 81.3% 1.03 97.1% 1.23 81.3%
4.20 23.8% 4.00 25.0% 9.00 11.1% 3.70 27.0%
Match center
Hara Friend J D
L L W L W
20.07 18:30 UTC+0 Challenger Men - Singles: Winnipeg (Canada), hard
Hara Friend J D 0:2 Hsu Y. H. 🇹🇼
13.07 17:00 UTC+0 Challenger Men - Singles: Granbi (Canada), hard
Hara Friend J D 1:2 Shimizu Yu. 🇯🇵Shimizu Yu. 🇯🇵
10.07 17:00 UTC+0 ITF Men - Singles: M25 Laval (Canada), hard
Hara Friend J D 2:1 Kirkhgaymer S. 🇺🇸
03.07 13:00 UTC+0 Challenger Men - Singles: Keri 🇺🇸, hard
Hara Friend J D 0:2 Shick B. 🇺🇸Shick B. 🇺🇸
02.07 12:00 UTC+0 Challenger Men - Singles: Keri 🇺🇸, hard
Hara Friend J D 2:0 Martines A. 🇪🇸Martines A. 🇪🇸
2 Wins
3 Losses
1.0 Sets won
1.4 Sets lost
40% Win percentage
Moriya H
L L
13.07 13:00 UTC+0 Challenger Men - Singles: Lincoln 🇺🇸 - Qualifying, hard
Moriya H 1:2 Fenkatt T.-D. 🇦🇺
07.07 17:10 UTC+0 Challenger Men - Singles: Newport 🇺🇸 - Qualifying, grass
Moriya H 0:2 Dzhang Dzh. 🇹🇼
0 Wins
2 Losses
0.5 Sets won
2.0 Sets lost
0% Win percentage
Match center

Full head-to-head historyHara Friend J D - Moriya H

Hara Friend J D
0 matches total
Moriya H
Biggest win — largest score margin
Highest-scoring match — most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw — draw with the most goals

Match history