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ATP Challenger. Vancouver. Qualification
ATP Challenger. Vancouver. Qualification
27.07.2026 20:00 UTC Match prediction

Matsuoka H - Dalmasso G

Tennis ATP Challenger. Vancouver. Qualification
ATP Challenger. Vancouver. Qualification hard 27.07.2026 20:00 UTC Finished
27.07.2026 20:00 UTC Finished
M
Matsuoka H
Dalmasso G
Dalmasso G
2:0
Odds
P1 1.27 88.2% BetBoom
P2 9.50 11.8% BetBoom
Coverage: hard
Preview Statistics Broadcast Comments

About the athletes

- Country -
- Rating -
- Age -
- Height (cm) -
- Weight (kg) -
- Hand -
- Seed -
hard Coverage hard
0 H2H 0
🎯 PropickAI prediction
Medium confidence

Our model prediction (Glicko-2)

PropickAI model · comparison with the market line (no margin)

1 Matsuoka H — 71%

Pure model vs market (1 · Matsuoka H): model 45% · market 90% Δ −45 pp model estimates below the market

1 · Matsuoka H ✓ Pick71.3%
market90%
2 · Dalmasso G28.7%
market10%

Model estimate: win Matsuoka H 71.3%, win Dalmasso G 28.7%. Model favourite — Matsuoka H.

Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.

AI agent prediction

Independent AI-agent assessment from our data (model, market line, form, H2H)

2Dalmasso G (odds3.70) Score 1:2 confidence 55% ✗ outcome missed
  • • Matsuoka H
  • • 🇯🇵 — Dalmasso G
  • • 🇫🇷 (tennis)
  • • Matsuoka H
  • • 🇯🇵: forma PVPPP (1-4)
  • • Dalmasso G
  • • 🇫🇷: forma PVPPV (2-3)
  • • Model backs Dalmasso G
  • • 🇫🇷: probability 55% vs 27% on the line (odds 3.70)
  • • edge over the line +28 pp — value pick.

Analytical AI-agent assessment, not a betting recommendation.

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Matsuoka H - Dalmasso G July 27, 2026

Tennis math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Matsuoka H.

Line favourite Fonbet: Matsuoka H. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • Win odds (Fonbet): 1 1.01 / 2 9.50
  • Glicko: Matsuoka H 71.3% / Dalmasso G 28.7%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
Winner bookmaker margin 9.5%
1 ✓ Pick 90.4%
2 9.6%

Odds source: Fonbet. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

For reference

Line movement

How the odds changed from opening to the current line — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
Winner 1 1.23 ↓ 1.01
Winner 2 3.70 ↑ 9.50

↓ odds shortened (money on this outcome), ↑ drifted (line weakened). For reference, not a betting recommendation.

AI

Model consensus

AI outcome leader: 1

Main outcome
Agreement 1/1
Confidence 62.0%

Modeli dayut edinyy signal. Takie matchi my pomechaem kak bolee silnye.

Head-to-head and form stats

Head-to-head and form

Team form

Matsuoka H
4-6LWWLLWLWLL
scored 1.0conceded 1.4
Dalmasso G

no data

Head-to-head and recent form per sports statistics — for reference.

AI overview

AI predictions

AI analysis:5/7 ready · Still preparing:DeepSeek, ChatGPT

Google AI updated27.07.2026 19:24 UTC
1 76% ✓ favourite
2 24%
Score2:0 Total games: Under 21.5 Bet:Win Matsuoki 2:0 po setam
Per AI data Form:LWLWL / LLWWL H2H: 0:0
Claude updated27.07.2026 19:38 UTC
1 74% ✓ favourite
2 26%
Score2:0 Total games: Under 22.5 Bet:Win Matsuoki so schetom 2:0
Qwen updated27.07.2026 19:33 UTC
1 78% ✓ favourite
2 7%
Score2:0 Total games: Under 2.5 Bet:Win DAC Dunayska Streda
Per AI data H2H: 0-0
Kimi updated27.07.2026 19:44 UTC
1 74% ✓ favourite
2 26%
Score... Total games: ... Bet:...
Per AI data Form:... / ... H2H: ... Injuries:... Key:...
GLM 5.2 updated27.07.2026 19:46 UTC
1 72% ✓ favourite
2 28%
Score2:0 Total games: Over 22.5 Bet:1 (Matsuoka H. win)
Per AI data Form:3W 2L (Polmans W, Murtaza W, Milic W, Chidekh L, Zhang L) H2H: No previous meetings Injuries:No injuries reported

AI consensus:1

AI 1 2 Score Total games Bet
Google AI 76% 24% 2:0 Under 21.5 Win Matsuoki 2:0 po setam
Claude 74% 26% 2:0 Under 22.5 Win Matsuoki so schetom 2:0
Qwen 78% 7% 2:0 Under 2.5 Win DAC Dunayska Streda
Kimi 74% 26% ... ... ...
GLM 5.2 72% 28% 2:0 Over 22.5
Match center
Start 27.07.2026 20:00 UTC
Coverage hard
Form 6 matches
🥊 Humans vs Machines
🤖 7 AI models Matsuoka H 75%
📐 Math model Matsuoka H 71%
Every pick locked before kickoff · public log
Match center

Matsuoka H - Dalmasso G

V baze uchteny nedavnie matchi oboikh uchastnikov.

Form 5/5 recent games
H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 2 model / bookmakers
Flashscore match data source checked
Odds match data source checked
Bookiesapi match data source checked
Line depth match data source checked
Present in data
Market Form Match Participants Line Movement Overview
More needed
H2H Championat, Flashscore
Tournament Championat, Flashscore
Post-match / PropickAI database
Score 2:0
Events 0
Statistics 0
PropickAI check: math model and Glicko-2

We mark in green only strong signals where the model passed our publication filter. The other rows are for audit and training.

Option Signal Prediction / actual Rating
Glicko-2: base favourite Audit tennis is audit-only for now: surface, serve/return and market are needed Data: line, form, coverage home - 71.3% fact: home hit / ROI 27.0% / Brier 0.164 / LogLoss 0.338
Glicko-2: calibrated favourite Audit tennis is audit-only for now: surface, serve/return and market are needed Data: line, form, coverage home - 52.6% fact: home hit / ROI 27.0% / Brier 0.450 / LogLoss 0.643
Market and Glicko

Tennis math model. Tennis without draws: the base signal comes from player rating, surface, form, serve/return and tournament fatigue. For live logic the set state and who is serving matter more than the overall points score.

Outcome Line Glicko Signal
Matsuoka H 74.2% 71.3% market and model agree
Dalmasso G 25.8% 28.7%
1X2: 4 Bookies

Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.

Tennis math model
P1 / P2 71.3% / 28.7% probabilities
Rating 1,382 / 1,582 Matsuoka H / Dalmasso G
RD 184 / 146 rating uncertainty
r +/- 2RD 1,014-1,750 / 1,290-1,875 strength interval
HFA: 0 HFA mu: 0.000 MoV: on N: N=1 P: two_way_glicko2_expected_score

Best value: no value found

Tennis without draws: the base signal comes from player rating, surface, form, serve/return and tournament fatigue. For live logic the set state and who is serving matter more than the overall points score.

Betting snapshot
1X2
2 9.50 Fonbet · no value · model 28.7%
1 1.01 Fonbet · no value · model 71.3%
Total
Over 18.5 1.55 Fonbet · line only
Over 19.5 1.50 Fonbet · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

Open on Fonbet →
bookmaker line and markets

Handicap

Outcome Baltbet Betcity Fonbet Leon
— — 1.01 99.0% —
— — 1.02 98.0% —
1.90 52.6% 2.00 50.0% 3.05 32.8% 1.92 52.1%
— — 2.30 43.5% —
1.80 55.6% 1.75 57.1% — 1.82 55.0%
— — 11.00 9.1% —
— — 8.50 11.8% —
— — 1.30 76.9% —
— — 1.55 64.5% —

Total

Outcome Baltbet Betcity Fonbet
Over 18.5 — — 1.55 64.5%
Over 19.5 — — 1.50 66.7%
Over 20.5 1.78 56.2% 1.80 55.6% 6.60 15.2%
Over 21.5 1.90 52.6% — 2.02 49.5%
Over 22.5 — — 7.90 12.7%
Over 23.5 — — 2.40 41.7%
Over 24.5 — — 1.80 55.6%
Over 25.5 — — 2.30 43.5%
Over 26.5 — — 2.40 41.7%
Under 18.5 — — 2.30 43.5%
Under 19.5 — — 2.45 40.8%
Under 20.5 1.93 51.8% 1.94 51.6% 1.06 94.3%
Under 21.5 1.80 55.6% — —

Outcome (1X2)

Outcome Baltbet Betcity Fonbet Leon
1.23 81.3% 1.27 78.7% 1.01 99.0% 1.25 80.0%
3.70 27.0% 3.50 28.6% 9.50 10.5% 3.60 27.8%
Match center
Matsuoka H
L W L L L
23.07 21:00 UTC+0 Challenger Men - Singles: Winnipeg (Canada), hard
Matsuoka H 0:2 Chidekh C. 🇫🇷
21.07 18:30 UTC+0 Challenger Men - Singles: Winnipeg (Canada), hard
Matsuoka H 2:0 Milavski D. 🇺🇸Milavski D. 🇺🇸
16.07 17:50 UTC+0 Challenger Men - Singles: Lincoln 🇺🇸, hard
Matsuoka H 0:2 Smit K. 🇺🇸Smit K. 🇺🇸
08.07 17:55 UTC+0 Challenger Men - Singles: Newport 🇺🇸, grass
Matsuoka H 0:2 Mikelsen A. 🇺🇸Mikelsen A. 🇺🇸
07.07 18:40 UTC+0 Challenger Men - Singles: Newport 🇺🇸 - Qualifying, grass
Matsuoka H 0:2 Maloney P. 🇺🇸
1 Wins
4 Losses
0.4 Sets won
1.6 Sets lost
20% Win percentage
Dalmasso G
L W L L W
19.07 19:15 UTC+0 Challenger Men - Singles: Winnipeg (Canada) - Qualifying, hard
Dalmasso G 0:2 Trotter J. K. 🇯🇵
13.07 12:00 UTC+0 Challenger Men - Singles: Granbi (Canada) - Qualifying, hard
Dalmasso G 2:1 Arseneault M. 🇨🇦Arseneault M. 🇨🇦
05.07 11:00 UTC+0 Challenger Men - Singles: Nottingham 4 (Velikobritaniya), grass
Dalmasso G 0:2 Barroso Kampos A. 🇪🇸Barroso Kampos A. 🇪🇸
02.07 06:00 UTC+0 ITF Men - Singles: M25 Ajaccio +H (France), hard
Dalmasso G 1:2 Fomba L. 🇫🇷
01.07 08:00 UTC+0 ITF Men - Singles: M25 Ajaccio +H (France), hard
Dalmasso G 2:0 Lapalu V. 🇫🇷
2 Wins
3 Losses
1.0 Sets won
1.4 Sets lost
40% Win percentage
Match center

Full head-to-head historyMatsuoka H - Dalmasso G

Matsuoka H
0 matches total
Dalmasso G
Biggest win — largest score margin
Highest-scoring match — most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw — draw with the most goals

Match history