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ATP Challenger. Bonn. Doubles
ATP Challenger. Bonn. Doubles
30.07.2026 11:30 UTC Match prediction

Merino A / Ricca G - Karu I./Gomes F.

Tennis ATP Challenger. Bonn. Doubles
ATP Challenger. Bonn. Doubles clay 30.07.2026 11:30 UTC Finished
30.07.2026 11:30 UTC Finished
M
Merino A / Ricca G
W
K
Karu I./Gomes F.
W
0:2
Odds
P1 2.10 44.2% BetBoom
P2 1.66 55.9% BetBoom
Coverage: clay
Preview Statistics Broadcast Comments

About the athletes

- Country -
- Rating -
- Age -
- Height (cm) -
- Weight (kg) -
- Hand -
- Seed -
clay Coverage clay
0 H2H 0
🎯 PropickAI prediction
Low confidence

Our model prediction (Glicko-2)

2 Karu I./Gomes F. — 55%

Pure model vs market (2 · Karu I./Gomes F.): model 47% · market 56% Δ −9 pp model estimates below the market

1 · Merino A / Ricca G44.9%
2 · Karu I./Gomes F.55.1%

Model estimate: win Merino A / Ricca G 44.9%, win Karu I./Gomes F. 55.1%. Model favourite — Karu I./Gomes F..

Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.

AI agent prediction

Independent AI-agent assessment from our data (model, market line, form, H2H)

1Merino A / Ricca G (odds2.10) Score 2:1 confidence 53% ✗ outcome missed
  • • Merino A./Rikka Dzh
  • • — Karu I./Gomes F
  • • (tennis)
  • • Merino A./Rikka Dzh.: forma VP (1)
  • • Karu I./Gomes F.: forma VP (1)
  • • Model backs Merino A./Rikka Dzh.: probability 53% vs 48% on the line (odds 2.10)
  • • edge over the line +5 pp — value pick.

Analytical AI-agent assessment, not a betting recommendation.

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Merino A / Ricca G - Karu I./Gomes F. July 30, 2026

Tennis math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Karu I./Gomes F..

Line favourite Fonbet: Karu I./Gomes F.. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • Win odds (Fonbet): 1 2.10 / 2 1.65
  • Glicko: Merino A / Ricca G 44.9% / Karu I./Gomes F. 55.1%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
Winner bookmaker margin 8.2%
1 44.0%
2 56.0%

Odds source: Fonbet. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

For reference

Line movement

How the odds changed from opening to the current line — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
Winner 1 2.10 → 2.10
Winner 2 1.65 → 1.65

↓ odds shortened (money on this outcome), ↑ drifted (line weakened). For reference, not a betting recommendation.

Match center
Start 30.07.2026 11:30 UTC
Coverage clay
Form 4 matches
Match center

Merino A / Ricca G - Karu I./Gomes F.

V baze uchteny nedavnie matchi oboikh uchastnikov.

Form 1/1 recent games
H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 2 model / bookmakers
Flashscore match data source checked
Odds match data source checked
Bookiesapi match data source checked
Line depth match data source checked
Present in data
Market Form Match Participants Line Movement Overview
More needed
H2H Championat, Flashscore
Tournament Championat, Flashscore
Post-match / PropickAI database
Score 0:2
Events 0
Statistics 0
Market and Glicko

Tennis math model. Tennis without draws: the base signal comes from player rating, surface, form, serve/return and tournament fatigue. For live logic the set state and who is serving matter more than the overall points score.

Outcome Line Glicko Signal
Merino A / Ricca G 44.0% 44.9%
Karu I./Gomes F. 56.0% 55.1% market and model agree
1X2: 4 Bookies

Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.

Tennis math model
P1 / P2 44.9% / 55.1% probabilities
Rating 1,524 / 1,512 Merino A / Ricca G / Karu I./Gomes F.
RD 257 / 236 rating uncertainty
r +/- 2RD 1,010-2,038 / 1,040-1,984 strength interval
HFA: 0 HFA mu: 0.000 MoV: on N: N=1 P: two_way_glicko2_expected_score

Best value: no value found

Tennis without draws: the base signal comes from player rating, surface, form, serve/return and tournament fatigue. For live logic the set state and who is serving matter more than the overall points score.

Betting snapshot
1X2
2 1.65 Fonbet · no value · model 55.1%
1 2.10 Fonbet · no value · model 44.9%

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

Open on Fonbet →
bookmaker line and markets

Outcome (1X2)

Outcome Baltbet Betcity Fonbet Leon
2.10 47.6% 2.10 47.6% 2.10 47.6% 2.09 47.9%
1.65 60.6% 1.65 60.6% 1.65 60.6% 1.66 60.2%
Match center
Merino A / Ricca G
W
29.07 09:00 UTC Challenger Men - Doubles: Bonn (Germany), clay
Merino A / Ricca G 2:0 Hermans M./Lalami Laarussi Yu.
1 Wins
0 Losses
2.0 Sets won
0.0 Sets lost
100% Win percentage
Karu I./Gomes F.
W
29.07 08:30 UTC Challenger Men - Doubles: Bonn (Germany), clay
Karu I./Gomes F. 2:1 Ruehl T./Veldkheer M.
1 Wins
0 Losses
2.0 Sets won
1.0 Sets lost
100% Win percentage