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ATP Challenger. San Marino. Doubles
ATP Challenger. San Marino. Doubles
29.07.2026 16:30 UTC

Duda F / Vrbensky M - Arias B / Ingildsen J

🎯 PropickAI prediction
Low confidence

Our model prediction (Glicko-2)

1 Duda F / Vrbensky M — 55%

Pure model vs market (1 · Duda F / Vrbensky M): model 50% · market 58% Δ −8 pp model estimates below the market

1 · Duda F / Vrbensky M55.3%
2 · Arias B / Ingildsen J44.7%

Model estimate: win Duda F / Vrbensky M 55.3%, win Arias B / Ingildsen J 44.7%. Model favourite — Duda F / Vrbensky M.

Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.

AI agent prediction

Independent AI-agent assessment from our data (model, market line, form, H2H)

1Duda F / Vrbensky M (odds1.68) Score 2:1 confidence 50%
  • • Duda F./Vrbenski M
  • • — Arias B./Ingildsen Y
  • • (tennis)
  • • Duda F./Vrbenski M.: forma P (0-1)
  • • Arias B./Ingildsen Y.: forma PVP (1-2)
  • • Model backs Duda F./Vrbenski M.: probability 50% vs 60% on the line (odds 1.68)
  • • no edge over the line (-10 pp) — informational only.

Analytical AI-agent assessment, not a betting recommendation.

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Duda F / Vrbensky M - Arias B / Ingildsen J July 29, 2026

Tennis math model

The summary is built from our prematch context: line, form, lineups and Glicko.

Line favourite Fonbet: Duda F / Vrbensky M. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • Win odds (Fonbet): 1 1.60 / 2 2.20

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
Winner bookmaker margin 8.0%
1 57.9%
2 42.1%

Odds source: Fonbet. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

Head-to-head and form stats

Head-to-head and form

Team form

Duda F / Vrbensky M

no data

Arias B / Ingildsen J
5-5WLWWLLLWWL
scored 1.1conceded 1.1

Head-to-head and recent form per sports statistics — for reference.

Tennis ATP Challenger. San Marino. Doubles
ATP Challenger. San Marino. Doubles clay 29.07.2026 16:30 UTC Not started
29.07.2026 16:30 UTC Not started
D
Duda F / Vrbensky M
A
Arias B / Ingildsen J
-:-
Odds
P1 1.68 55.7% BetBoom
P2 2.11 44.3% BetBoom
Coverage: clay
Preview Statistics Broadcast Comments

About the athletes

- Country -
- Rating -
- Age -
- Height (cm) -
- Weight (kg) -
- Hand -
- Seed -
clay Coverage clay
0 H2H 0
Match center
Start 29.07.2026 16:30 UTC
Coverage clay
Form 4 matches
Match center

Duda F / Vrbensky M - Arias B / Ingildsen J

V baze uchteny nedavnie matchi oboikh uchastnikov.

Form 1/3 recent games
H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 2 model / bookmakers
Flashscore match data source checked
Odds match data source checked
Line depth match data source checked
Present in data
Market Form Match Participants Line Overview
More needed
H2H Championat, Flashscore
Tournament Championat, Flashscore
Movement Line history
Market and Glicko

Tennis math model. Tennis without draws: the base signal comes from player rating, surface, form, serve/return and tournament fatigue. For live logic the set state and who is serving matter more than the overall points score.

Outcome Line Glicko Signal
Duda F / Vrbensky M 55.9% 55.3% market and model agree
Arias B / Ingildsen J 44.2% 44.7%

Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.

Tennis math model
P1 / P2 55.3% / 44.7% probabilities
Rating 1,456 / 1,519 Duda F / Vrbensky M / Arias B / Ingildsen J
RD 292 / 224 rating uncertainty
r +/- 2RD 873-2,039 / 1,070-1,967 strength interval
HFA: 0 HFA mu: 0.000 MoV: on N: N=1 P: two_way_glicko2_expected_score

Best value: no value found

Tennis without draws: the base signal comes from player rating, surface, form, serve/return and tournament fatigue. For live logic the set state and who is serving matter more than the overall points score.

Betting snapshot
1X2
2 2.20 Fonbet · no value · model 44.7%
1 1.60 Fonbet · no value · model 55.3%

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

Open on Fonbet →
bookmaker line and markets

Outcome (1X2)

Outcome Baltbet Betcity Fonbet Leon
1.62 61.7% 1.68 59.5% 1.60 62.5% 1.63 61.4%
2.15 46.5% 2.06 48.5% 2.20 45.5% 2.14 46.7%
Match center
Duda F / Vrbensky M
L
14.07 12:00 UTC+0 ATP - Doubles: Umag (Croatia), clay
Duda F / Vrbensky M 1:2 Nam D./Niklas-Salminen P.
0 Wins
1 Losses
1.0 Sets won
2.0 Sets lost
0% Win percentage
Arias B / Ingildsen J
L W L
09.07 11:30 UTC+0 Challenger Men - Doubles: Trieste (Italy), clay
Arias B / Ingildsen J 1:2 Jans J./Uaytkhauz M.
08.07 11:30 UTC+0 Challenger Men - Doubles: Trieste (Italy), clay
Arias B / Ingildsen J 2:0 Dodig M./Merino A.
02.07 09:00 UTC+0 Challenger Men - Doubles: Milan (Italy), clay
Arias B / Ingildsen J 1:2 Kravchenko G./Sanchez Quilez A.
1 Wins
2 Losses
1.3 Sets won
1.3 Sets lost
33% Win percentage