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Challenger Women - Singles: Rome (Italy), clay
Challenger Women - Singles: Rome (Italy), clay
14.07.2026 06:30 UTC Match prediction

Riera J - Semenistaya D. 🇱🇻

Tennis Challenger Women - Singles: Rome (Italy), clay
Challenger Women - Singles: Rome (Italy), clay clay 14.07.2026 06:30 UTC Finished
14.07.2026 06:30 UTC Finished
Riera J
Riera J
S
Semenistaya D. 🇱🇻
2:1
Odds
P1 2.33 84.3% BetBoom
P2 12.50 15.7% BetBoom
Coverage: clay
Preview Statistics Broadcast Comments

About the athletes

- Country -
- Rating -
- Age -
- Height (cm) -
- Weight (kg) -
- Hand -
- Seed -
clay Coverage clay
0 H2H 0
🎯 PropickAI prediction
Low confidence

Our model prediction (Glicko-2)

PropickAI model · comparison with the market line (no margin)

2 Semenistaya D. 🇱🇻 — 59%

1 · Riera J41.4%
market93%
2 · Semenistaya D. 🇱🇻58.6%
market7%

Model estimate: win Riera J 41.4%, win Semenistaya D. 🇱🇻 58.6%. Model favourite — Semenistaya D. 🇱🇻.

Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Riera J - Semenistaya D. 🇱🇻 14 июля 2026

Tennis math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Riera J.

Line favourite Fonbet: Riera J. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • Win odds (Fonbet): 1 1.01 / 2 12.50
  • Glicko: Riera J 41.4% / Semenistaya D. 🇱🇻 58.6%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
Winner bookmaker margin 7.0%
1 92.5%
2 7.5%

Odds source: Fonbet. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

For reference

Line movement

How the odds changed from opening to the current line — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
Победитель П1 2.10 ↓ 1.01
Победитель П2 1.65 ↑ 12.50

↓ odds shortened (money on this outcome), ↑ drifted (line weakened). For reference, not a betting recommendation.

Head-to-head and form stats

Head-to-head and form

Team form

Riera J

no data

Semenistaya D. 🇱🇻
6-4LWLWWWWLWL
scored 1.3conceded 1.1

Head-to-head and recent form per sports statistics — for reference.

Match center
Start 14.07.2026 06:30 UTC
Coverage clay
Form 5 matches
Match center

Riera J - Semenistaya D. 🇱🇻

В базе учтены недавние матчи обоих участников.

Form 5/2 recent games
H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 2 model / bookmakers
Flashscore match data source checked
Odds match data source checked
Bookiesapi match data source checked
Line depth match data source checked
Present in data
Market Form Match Participants Line Movement Overview
More needed
H2H Championat, Flashscore
Tournament Championat, Flashscore
Post-match / PropickAI database
Score 2:1
Events 0
Statistics 0
Market and Glicko

Tennis math model. Tennis without draws: the base signal comes from player rating, surface, form, serve/return and tournament fatigue. For live logic the set state and who is serving matter more than the overall points score.

Outcome Line Glicko Signal
Riera J 40.4% 41.4%
Semenistaya D. 🇱🇻 59.6% 58.6% market and model agree
1X2: 4 Bookies

Glicko-2 - рейтинговая модель силы: сравнивает линию, историю и стабильность, но не дает гарантий.

Tennis math model
P1 / P2 41.4% / 58.6% probabilities
Rating 1,636 / 1,631 Riera J / Semenistaya D. 🇱🇻
RD 152 / 236 rating uncertainty
r +/- 2RD 1,333-1,940 / 1,159-2,104 strength interval
HFA: 0 HFA mu: 0.000 MoV: on N: N=1 P: two_way_glicko2_expected_score

Best value: value не найден

Tennis without draws: the base signal comes from player rating, surface, form, serve/return and tournament fatigue. For live logic the set state and who is serving matter more than the overall points score.

Betting snapshot
1X2
2 1.56 market consensus · no value · model 58.6%
1 1.01 Fonbet · no value · model 41.4%
Handicap
2 -0.5 2.05 Fonbet · line only
2 +0.5 2.00 Fonbet · line only
2 0 1.83 market consensus · line only
1 -0.5 1.68 Fonbet · line only
Total
Over 16.5 1.62 Fonbet · line only
Over 17.5 1.80 Fonbet · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

Открыть на Fonbet →
bookmaker line and markets

Handicap

Outcome Baltbet Betcity Fonbet
П1 +0.5 1.84 54.4% — —
П1 +1.5 1.91 52.4% 1.82 55.0% —
П1 +2.5 1.91 52.4% 1.92 52.1% —
П1 -1.5 1.88 53.2% 2.02 49.5% —
П2 +1.5 1.84 54.4% 1.70 58.8% —
П2 -0.5 1.88 53.2% — 2.05 48.8%
П2 -1.5 1.81 55.3% 1.88 53.2% 1.85 54.1%
П2 -2.5 1.81 55.3% 1.79 55.9% 1.92 52.1%
П2 -3.5 — — 2.20 45.5%

Total

Outcome Baltbet Betcity Fonbet
ТБ 16.5 — — 1.62 61.7%
ТБ 17.5 — — 1.80 55.6%
ТБ 19.5 — — 2.00 50.0%
ТБ 20.5 — — 2.00 50.0%
ТБ 21.5 1.86 53.8% 1.82 55.0% 1.80 55.6%
ТБ 22.5 — 1.93 51.8% 1.95 51.3%
ТБ 23.5 — — 1.20 83.3%
ТБ 24.5 — — 4.60 21.7%
ТБ 25.5 — — 7.20 13.9%
ТБ 26.5 — — 2.60 38.5%
ТМ 16.5 — — 2.15 46.5%
ТМ 17.5 — — 1.90 52.6%
ТМ 21.5 1.86 53.8% 1.88 53.2% —
ТМ 22.5 — 1.77 56.5% —

Outcome (1X2)

Outcome Baltbet Betcity Fonbet Leon
П1 2.30 43.5% 2.33 42.9% 1.01 99.0% 2.19 45.7%
П2 1.56 64.1% 1.53 65.4% 12.50 8.0% 1.58 63.3%
Match center
Riera J
L W L W W
10.07 06:00 UTC+0 ITF ЖЕНЩИНЫ - ОДИНОЧНЫЙ РАЗРЯД: W100 Aschaffenburg (Германия), грунт
Riera J 0:2 Горгодзе Е. (Гру)
09.07 08:30 UTC+0 ITF ЖЕНЩИНЫ - ОДИНОЧНЫЙ РАЗРЯД: W100 Aschaffenburg (Германия), грунт
Riera J 2:0 Тревизан М. (Ита)
04.07 10:00 UTC+0 ITF ЖЕНЩИНЫ - ОДИНОЧНЫЙ РАЗРЯД: W50 Stuttgart-Vaihingen (Германия), грунт
Riera J 0:2 Sobolieva A. (Укр)
03.07 06:00 UTC+0 ITF ЖЕНЩИНЫ - ОДИНОЧНЫЙ РАЗРЯД: W50 Stuttgart-Vaihingen (Германия), грунт
Riera J 2:1 Горгодзе Е. (Гру)
02.07 06:00 UTC+0 ITF ЖЕНЩИНЫ - ОДИНОЧНЫЙ РАЗРЯД: W50 Stuttgart-Vaihingen (Германия), грунт
Riera J 2:0 Парризас-Диас Н. (Исп)
3 Wins
2 Losses
1.2 Sets won
1.0 Sets lost
60% Win percentage
Semenistaya D. 🇱🇻
L W
06.07 06:00 UTC+0 ЧЕЛЛЕНДЖЕР ЖЕНЩИНЫ - ОДИНОЧНЫЙ РАЗРЯД: Бастад (Швеция), грунт
Semenistaya D. 🇱🇻 1:2 Ромеро-Гормаз Л. (Исп)
04.06 18:35 UTC+0 ЧЕЛЛЕНДЖЕР ЖЕНЩИНЫ - ОДИНОЧНЫЙ РАЗРЯД: Makarska (Хорватия), грунт
Semenistaya D. 🇱🇻 2:0 Urhobo A. (Сша)
1 Wins
1 Losses
1.5 Sets won
1.0 Sets lost
50% Win percentage