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Challenger Women - Singles: Targu Mures (Romania), clay

28.07.2026 08:00 UTC Match prediction

Chirich Bagarich L. 🇭🇷 - Gaylis R. 🇺🇸

Tennis Challenger Women - Singles: Targu Mures (Romania), clay

Challenger Women - Singles: Targu Mures (Romania), clay clay 28.07.2026 08:00 UTC Finished

28.07.2026 08:00 UTC Finished

Chirich Bagarich L. 🇭🇷

Gaylis R. 🇺🇸

2:0

Odds

P1 1.25 75.3% BetBoom

P2 3.80 24.8% BetBoom

Coverage: clay

Preview Statistics Broadcast Comments

About the athletes

- Country -

- Rating -

- Age -

- Height (cm) -

- Weight (kg) -

- Hand -

- Seed -

clay Coverage clay

0 H2H 0

🎯 PropickAI prediction

Medium confidence

Our model prediction (Glicko-2)

PropickAI model · comparison with the market line (no margin)

1 Chirich Bagarich L. 🇭🇷 — 72%

Pure model vs market (1 · Chirich Bagarich L. 🇭🇷): model 51% · market 93% Δ −42 pp model estimates below the market

1 · Chirich Bagarich L. 🇭🇷 ✓ Pick72.1%

market93%

2 · Gaylis R. 🇺🇸27.9%

market7%

Model estimate: win Chirich Bagarich L. 🇭🇷 72.1%, win Gaylis R. 🇺🇸 27.9%. Model favourite — Chirich Bagarich L. 🇭🇷.

Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.

AI agent prediction

Independent AI-agent assessment from our data (model, market line, form, H2H)

1Chirich Bagarich L. 🇭🇷 (odds1.26) Score 2:0 confidence 74% ✓ outcome correct · exact score

• Chirich Bagarich L
• 🇭🇷 — Gaylis R
• 🇺🇸 (tennis)
• Chirich Bagarich L
• 🇭🇷: forma VVPP (2)
• Gaylis R
• 🇺🇸: forma VV (2-0)
• Model backs Chirich Bagarich L
• 🇭🇷: probability 74% vs 79% on the line (odds 1.26)
• no edge over the line (-5 pp) — informational only.

Analytical AI-agent assessment, not a betting recommendation.

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Chirich Bagarich L. 🇭🇷 - Gaylis R. 🇺🇸 July 28, 2026

Tennis math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Chirich Bagarich L. 🇭🇷.

Line favourite Fonbet: Chirich Bagarich L. 🇭🇷. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.

Win odds (Fonbet): 1 1.01 / 2 14.00
Glicko: Chirich Bagarich L. 🇭🇷 72.1% / Gaylis R. 🇺🇸 27.9%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.

Winner bookmaker margin 6.2%

1 ✓ Pick 93.3%

2 6.7%

Odds source: Fonbet. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

For reference

Line movement

How the odds changed from opening to the current line — for reference, not a betting recommendation.

Winner 1 1.25 → 1.25

Winner 2 3.65 → 3.65

↓ odds shortened (money on this outcome), ↑ drifted (line weakened). For reference, not a betting recommendation.

Match center

Start 28.07.2026 08:00 UTC

Coverage clay

Form 5 matches

Match center

Chirich Bagarich L. 🇭🇷 - Gaylis R. 🇺🇸

V baze uchteny nedavnie matchi oboikh uchastnikov.

Form 4/2 recent games

H2H 0 head-to-head matches

Market 2 model / bookmakers

Flashscore match data source checked

Odds match data source checked

Bookiesapi match data source checked

Line depth match data source checked

Present in data

Market Form Match Participants Line Movement Overview

More needed

H2H Championat, Flashscore

Tournament Championat, Flashscore

Post-match / PropickAI database

Score 2:0

Events 0

Statistics 0

PropickAI check: math model and Glicko-2

We mark in green only strong signals where the model passed our publication filter. The other rows are for audit and training.

Option Signal Prediction / actual Rating

Glicko-2: base favourite Audit tennis is audit-only for now: surface, serve/return and market are needed Data: line, form, coverage home - 72.1% fact: home hit / ROI 25.0% / Brier 0.156 / LogLoss 0.328

Glicko-2: calibrated favourite Audit tennis is audit-only for now: surface, serve/return and market are needed Data: line, form, coverage home - 52.6% fact: home hit / ROI 25.0% / Brier 0.448 / LogLoss 0.642

Market and Glicko

Tennis math model. Tennis without draws: the base signal comes from player rating, surface, form, serve/return and tournament fatigue. For live logic the set state and who is serving matter more than the overall points score.

Outcome Line Glicko Signal

Chirich Bagarich L. 🇭🇷 74.4% 72.1% market and model agree

Gaylis R. 🇺🇸 25.6% 27.9%

1X2: 4 Bookies

Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.

Tennis math model

P1 / P2 72.1% / 27.9% probabilities

Rating 1,653 / 1,683 Chirich Bagarich L. 🇭🇷 / Gaylis R. 🇺🇸

RD 207 / 252 rating uncertainty

r +/- 2RD 1,240-2,067 / 1,180-2,187 strength interval

HFA: 0 HFA mu: 0.000 MoV: on N: N=1 P: two_way_glicko2_expected_score

Best value: no value found

Tennis without draws: the base signal comes from player rating, surface, form, serve/return and tournament fatigue. For live logic the set state and who is serving matter more than the overall points score.

Betting snapshot

1X2

2 3.62 market consensus · no value · model 27.9%

1 1.01 Fonbet · no value · model 72.1%

Total

Over 14.5 1.70 Fonbet · line only

Over 15.5 4.10 Fonbet · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

Open on Fonbet →

bookmaker line and markets

Handicap

Baltbet	Betcity	Fonbet
—	—	1.38 72.5%
1.71 58.5%	1.71 58.5%	1.70 58.8%
2.00 50.0%	2.00 50.0%	1.75 57.1%
2.05 48.8%	2.00 50.0%	—
1.73 57.8%	1.73 57.8%	—
—	—	2.80 35.7%
—	—	2.02 49.5%
—	—	1.95 51.3%
—	—	2.10 47.6%
—	—	2.00 50.0%
—	—	4.10 24.4%
—	—	1.70 58.8%

Total

Outcome	Baltbet	Betcity	Fonbet
Over 14.5	—	—	1.70 58.8%
Over 15.5	—	—	4.10 24.4%
Over 16.5	—	—	1.95 51.3%
Over 17.5	—	—	2.02 49.5%
Over 18.5	—	—	2.15 46.5%
Over 19.5	1.83 54.6%	1.85 54.1%	1.85 54.1%
Over 20.5	—	—	2.15 46.5%
Over 21.5	—	—	2.40 41.7%
Under 14.5	—	—	2.02 49.5%
Under 15.5	—	—	1.19 84.0%
Under 16.5	—	—	1.75 57.1%
Under 17.5	—	—	1.70 58.8%
Under 18.5	—	—	1.63 61.4%
Under 19.5	1.89 52.9%	1.85 54.1%	1.85 54.1%

Outcome (1X2)

Outcome	Baltbet	Betcity	Fonbet	Leon
	1.25 80.0%	1.22 82.0%	1.01 99.0%	1.25 80.0%
	3.60 27.8%	3.80 26.3%	14.00 7.1%	3.45 29.0%

Match center

Chirich Bagarich L. 🇭🇷

W W L L

27.07 06:00 UTC+0 Challenger Women - Singles: Targu Mures (Romania) - Qualifying, clay

Chirich Bagarich L. 🇭🇷 2:0 Popa M. S. 🇷🇴

26.07 07:30 UTC+0 Challenger Women - Singles: Targu Mures (Romania) - Qualifying, clay

Chirich Bagarich L. 🇭🇷 2:0 Monno A. 🇫🇷

14.06 08:50 UTC+0 Challenger Women - Singles: Brescia (Italy) - Qualifying, clay

Chirich Bagarich L. 🇭🇷 0:2 Keza D. 🇮🇹

03.06 07:00 UTC+0 Challenger Women - Singles: Makarska (Croatia), clay

Chirich Bagarich L. 🇭🇷 0:2 Palitsova B. 🇨🇿

2 Wins

2 Losses

1.0 Sets won

1.0 Sets lost

50% Win percentage

Gaylis R. 🇺🇸

W W

15.07 16:50 UTC+0 ITF Women - Singles: W35 Dallas, TX 🇺🇸, hard

Gaylis R. 🇺🇸 2:0 Nguen A. 🇺🇸

09.06 19:30 UTC+0 ITF Women - Singles: W15 Los Angeles, CA 🇺🇸, hard

Gaylis R. 🇺🇸 2:1 Giribalan K. 🇺🇸

2 Wins

0 Losses

2.0 Sets won

0.5 Sets lost

100% Win percentage

Match center

Full head-to-head historyChirich Bagarich L. 🇭🇷 - Gaylis R. 🇺🇸

Chirich Bagarich L. 🇭🇷

0 matches total

Gaylis R. 🇺🇸

Biggest win — largest score margin

Highest-scoring match — most goals in a game

Highest-scoring draw — draw with the most goals

Chirich Bagarich L. 🇭🇷 - Gaylis R. 🇺🇸

About the athletes

AI match prediction Chirich Bagarich L. 🇭🇷 - Gaylis R. 🇺🇸 July 28, 2026

Fair probability (no margin)

Line movement

Chirich Bagarich L. 🇭🇷 - Gaylis R. 🇺🇸

Match markets

Handicap

Total

Outcome (1X2)

Match history