PropickAI PropickAI
Sign in Sign up
Free access Sign in to unlock the full prediction Create a free account to see the full AI breakdown, probabilities, risks and history.
Challenger Women - Singles: Targu Mures (Romania), clay
Challenger Women - Singles: Targu Mures (Romania), clay
29.07.2026 06:00 UTC

Jones F - Ciric Bagaric L

🎯 PropickAI prediction
High confidence

Our model prediction (Glicko-2)

PropickAI model · comparison with the market line (no margin)

1 Jones F — 84%

Pure model vs market (1 · Jones F): model 54% · market 87% Δ −33 pp model estimates below the market

1 · Jones F ✓ Pick83.7%
market87%
2 · Ciric Bagaric L16.3%
market13%

Model estimate: win Jones F 83.7%, win Ciric Bagaric L 16.3%. Model favourite — Jones F.

Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Jones F - Ciric Bagaric L July 29, 2026

Tennis math model

The summary is built from our prematch context: line, form, lineups and Glicko.

Line favourite Fonbet: Jones F. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • Win odds (Fonbet): 1 1.05 / 2 7.10

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
Winner bookmaker margin 9.3%
1 ✓ Pick 87.1%
2 12.9%

Odds source: Fonbet. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

For reference

Line movement

How the odds changed from opening to the current line — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
Pobeditel P1 1.05 → 1.05
Pobeditel P2 7.20 ↑ 7.40

↓ odds shortened (money on this outcome), ↑ drifted (line weakened). For reference, not a betting recommendation.

Head-to-head and form stats

Head-to-head and form

Team form

Jones F
3-7WWLLWLLLLL
scored 0.8conceded 1.6
Ciric Bagaric L

no data

Head-to-head and recent form per sports statistics — for reference.

Tennis Challenger Women - Singles: Targu Mures (Romania), clay
Challenger Women - Singles: Targu Mures (Romania), clay clay 29.07.2026 06:00 UTC Not started
29.07.2026 06:00 UTC Not started
Jones F
Jones F
W
C
Ciric Bagaric L
W
-:-
Odds
P1 1.06 87.5% BetBoom
P2 7.40 12.5% BetBoom
Coverage: clay
Preview Statistics Broadcast Comments

About the athletes

- Country -
- Rating -
- Age -
- Height (cm) -
- Weight (kg) -
- Hand -
- Seed -
clay Coverage clay
0 H2H 0
Match center
Start 29.07.2026 06:00 UTC
Coverage clay
Form 6 matches
Match center

Jones F - Ciric Bagaric L

V baze uchteny nedavnie matchi oboikh uchastnikov.

Form 1/1 recent games
H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 2 model / bookmakers
Flashscore match data source checked
Odds match data source checked
Bookiesapi match data source checked
Line depth match data source checked
Present in data
Market Form Match Participants Line Movement Overview
More needed
H2H Championat, Flashscore
Tournament Championat, Flashscore
Market and Glicko

Tennis math model. Tennis without draws: the base signal comes from player rating, surface, form, serve/return and tournament fatigue. For live logic the set state and who is serving matter more than the overall points score.

Outcome Line Glicko Signal
Jones F 87.0% 83.7% market and model agree
Ciric Bagaric L 13.0% 16.3%

Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.

Tennis math model
P1 / P2 83.7% / 16.3% probabilities
Rating 1,779 / 1,741 Jones F / Ciric Bagaric L
RD 137 / 194 rating uncertainty
r +/- 2RD 1,505-2,053 / 1,354-2,128 strength interval
HFA: 0 HFA mu: 0.000 MoV: on N: N=1 P: two_way_glicko2_expected_score

Best value: no value found

Tennis without draws: the base signal comes from player rating, surface, form, serve/return and tournament fatigue. For live logic the set state and who is serving matter more than the overall points score.

Betting snapshot
1X2
2 7.10 Fonbet · no value · model 16.3%
1 1.05 Fonbet · no value · model 83.7%
Total
Over 16.5 1.50 Fonbet · line only
Over 17.5 1.80 Fonbet · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

Open on Fonbet →
bookmaker line and markets

Handicap

Outcome Betcity Fonbet Leon
— 1.40 71.4% —
1.70 58.8% 1.70 58.8% —
— — 1.91 52.4%
— 2.30 43.5% —
2.02 49.5% — —
— — 1.76 56.8%
— 2.70 37.0% —
— 2.02 49.5% —
— 1.55 64.5% —

Total

Outcome Betcity Fonbet Leon
Over 16.5 — 1.50 66.7% —
Over 17.5 1.80 55.6% 1.80 55.6% 1.85 54.1%
Over 18.5 — 2.15 46.5% —
Under 16.5 — 2.45 40.8% —
Under 17.5 1.90 52.6% 1.90 52.6% 1.82 55.0%
Under 18.5 — 1.63 61.4% —

Outcome (1X2)

Outcome Betcity Fonbet Leon
1.01 99.0% 1.05 95.2% 1.06 94.3%
11.00 9.1% 7.10 14.1% 6.80 14.7%
Match center
Jones F
W
28.07 09:30 UTC Challenger Women - Singles: Targu Mures (Romania), clay
Jones F 2:1 Pake Kh. 🇫🇷Pake Kh. 🇫🇷
1 Wins
0 Losses
2.0 Sets won
1.0 Sets lost
100% Win percentage
Ciric Bagaric L
W
28.07 08:00 UTC Challenger Women - Singles: Targu Mures (Romania), clay
Ciric Bagaric L 2:0 Gaylis R. 🇺🇸
1 Wins
0 Losses
2.0 Sets won
0.0 Sets lost
100% Win percentage
Match center

Full head-to-head historyJones F - Ciric Bagaric L

Jones F
0 matches total
Ciric Bagaric L
Biggest win — largest score margin
Highest-scoring match — most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw — draw with the most goals

Match history