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Challenger Women - Singles: Targu Mures (Romania), clay
Challenger Women - Singles: Targu Mures (Romania), clay
28.07.2026 09:00 UTC Match prediction

Ibragimova A. (World) - Burcescu M I

Tennis Challenger Women - Singles: Targu Mures (Romania), clay
Challenger Women - Singles: Targu Mures (Romania), clay clay 28.07.2026 09:00 UTC Finished
28.07.2026 09:00 UTC Finished
Ibragimova A. (World)
Ibragimova A. (World)
B
Burcescu M I
2:1
Odds
P1 1.16 79.1% BetBoom
P2 4.40 20.9% BetBoom
Coverage: clay
Preview Statistics Broadcast Comments

About the athletes

- Country -
- Rating -
- Age -
- Height (cm) -
- Weight (kg) -
- Hand -
- Seed -
clay Coverage clay
0 H2H 0
🎯 PropickAI prediction
High confidence

Our model prediction (Glicko-2)

PropickAI model · comparison with the market line (no margin)

1 Ibragimova A. (World) — 62%

1 · Ibragimova A. (World) ✓ Pick61.8%
market88%
2 · Burcescu M I38.2%
market12%

Model estimate: win Ibragimova A. (World) 61.8%, win Burcescu M I 38.2%. Model favourite — Ibragimova A. (World).

Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Ibragimova A. (World) - Burcescu M I July 28, 2026

Tennis math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Ibragimova A. (World).

Line favourite Fonbet: Ibragimova A. (World). We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • Win odds (Fonbet): 1 1.05 / 2 7.90
  • Glicko: Ibragimova A. (World) 61.8% / Burcescu M I 38.2%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
Winner bookmaker margin 7.9%
1 ✓ Pick 88.3%
2 11.7%

Odds source: Fonbet. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

Head-to-head and form stats

Head-to-head and form

Team form

Ibragimova A. (World)

no data

Burcescu M I
5-5WLLWLWLWWL
scored 1.1conceded 1.1

Head-to-head and recent form per sports statistics — for reference.

Match center
Start 28.07.2026 09:00 UTC
Coverage clay
Form 6 matches
Match center

Ibragimova A. (World) - Burcescu M I

V baze uchteny nedavnie matchi oboikh uchastnikov.

Form 5/4 recent games
H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 2 model / bookmakers
Flashscore match data source checked
Odds match data source checked
Line depth match data source checked
Present in data
Market Form Match Participants Line Overview
More needed
H2H Championat, Flashscore
Tournament Championat, Flashscore
Movement Line history
Post-match / PropickAI database
Score 2:1
Events 0
Statistics 0
PropickAI check: math model and Glicko-2

We mark in green only strong signals where the model passed our publication filter. The other rows are for audit and training.

Option Signal Prediction / actual Rating
Glicko-2: base favourite Audit tennis is audit-only for now: surface, serve/return and market are needed Data: line, form, coverage home - 61.8% fact: home hit / ROI 16.0% / Brier 0.292 / LogLoss 0.481
Glicko-2: calibrated favourite Audit tennis is audit-only for now: surface, serve/return and market are needed Data: line, form, coverage home - 51.4% fact: home hit / ROI 16.0% / Brier 0.472 / LogLoss 0.665
Market and Glicko

Tennis math model. Tennis without draws: the base signal comes from player rating, surface, form, serve/return and tournament fatigue. For live logic the set state and who is serving matter more than the overall points score.

Outcome Line Glicko Signal
Ibragimova A. (World) 79.1% 61.8% market and model agree
Burcescu M I 20.9% 38.2%
1X2: 1 Bookies

Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.

Tennis math model
P1 / P2 61.8% / 38.2% probabilities
Rating 1,850 / 1,546 Ibragimova A. (World) / Burcescu M I
RD 171 / 198 rating uncertainty
r +/- 2RD 1,509-2,192 / 1,150-1,941 strength interval
HFA: 0 HFA mu: 0.000 MoV: on N: N=1 P: two_way_glicko2_expected_score

Best value: no value found

Tennis without draws: the base signal comes from player rating, surface, form, serve/return and tournament fatigue. For live logic the set state and who is serving matter more than the overall points score.

Betting snapshot
1X2
2 7.90 Fonbet · no value · model 38.2%
1 1.05 Fonbet · no value · model 61.8%
Handicap
2 -0.5 3.75 Fonbet · line only
2 +0.5 2.60 Fonbet · line only
1 -0.5 1.23 Fonbet · line only
1 +0.5 1.45 Fonbet · line only
Total
Over 17.5 1.47 Fonbet · line only
Over 18 1.80 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

Open on Fonbet →
bookmaker line and markets

Handicap

Outcome Fonbet
1.45 69.0%
2.30 43.5%
1.23 81.3%
1.80 55.6%
2.70 37.0%
2.05 48.8%
3.70 27.0%
3.50 28.6%
2.50 40.0%
2.60 38.5%
1.55 64.5%
3.75 26.7%
1.90 52.6%
1.40 71.4%
1.68 59.5%
1.23 81.3%
1.25 80.0%
1.47 68.0%

Total

Outcome Fonbet
Over 17.5 1.47 68.0%
Over 18.5 1.45 69.0%
Over 19.5 1.80 55.6%
Over 20.5 1.57 63.7%
Over 21.5 2.15 46.5%
Over 22.5 1.75 57.1%
Over 23.5 1.82 55.0%
Over 25.5 1.85 54.1%
Over 26.5 1.38 72.5%
Over 27.5 1.45 69.0%
Over 28.5 1.45 69.0%
Over 29.5 1.80 55.6%
Over 31.5 3.75 26.7%
Under 17.5 2.50 40.0%
Under 18.5 2.50 40.0%
Under 19.5 1.90 52.6%
Under 20.5 2.25 44.4%
Under 21.5 1.62 61.7%

Outcome (1X2)

Outcome Fonbet Leon
1.05 95.2% 1.16 86.2%
7.90 12.7% 4.40 22.7%
Match center
Ibragimova A. (World)
W W W L W
24.07 07:00 UTC+0 Challenger Women - Singles: Palermo (Italy), clay
Ibragimova A. (World) 2:1 Byurel K. 🇫🇷
23.07 14:30 UTC+0 Challenger Women - Singles: Palermo (Italy), clay
Ibragimova A. (World) 2:0 Rame A. 🇫🇷
21.07 17:15 UTC+0 Challenger Women - Singles: Palermo (Italy), clay
Ibragimova A. (World) 2:1 Zidanshek T. 🇸🇮Zidanshek T. 🇸🇮
16.07 12:30 UTC+0 WTA - Singles: Iasi (Romania), clay
Ibragimova A. (World) 1:2 Badosa Kh.-P. 🇪🇸Badosa Kh.-P. 🇪🇸
14.07 08:30 UTC+0 WTA - Singles: Iasi (Romania), clay
Ibragimova A. (World) 2:0 Salkova D. 🇨🇿Salkova D. 🇨🇿
4 Wins
1 Losses
1.8 Sets won
0.8 Sets lost
80% Win percentage
Burcescu M I
L L W W
12.07 11:00 UTC+0 WTA - Singles: Iasi (Romania) - Qualifying, clay
Burcescu M I 1:2 Lepchenko V. 🇺🇸Lepchenko V. 🇺🇸
08.07 11:00 UTC+0 DEVUShKI - Singles: Uimbldon (Velikobritaniya), grass
Burcescu M I 1:2 Skliar P. 🇺🇦
06.07 08:00 UTC+0 DEVUShKI - Singles: Uimbldon (Velikobritaniya), grass
Burcescu M I 2:1 Barros V. L. 🇧🇷Barros V. L. 🇧🇷
04.07 11:00 UTC+0 DEVUShKI - Singles: Uimbldon (Velikobritaniya), grass
Burcescu M I 2:1 Tu A. 🇺🇸
2 Wins
2 Losses
1.5 Sets won
1.5 Sets lost
50% Win percentage