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Challenger Women - Singles: Targu Mures (Romania), clay
Challenger Women - Singles: Targu Mures (Romania), clay
29.07.2026 06:00 UTC

Kotliar Y. 🇺🇦 - Ristich M. 🇷🇸

🎯 PropickAI prediction

Our model prediction (Glicko-2)

2 Ristich M. 🇷🇸 — 54%

1 · Kotliar Y. 🇺🇦46.2%
2 · Ristich M. 🇷🇸53.8%

Model estimate: win Kotliar Y. 🇺🇦 46.2%, win Ristich M. 🇷🇸 53.8%. Model favourite — Ristich M. 🇷🇸.

Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.

AI agent prediction

Independent AI-agent assessment from our data (model, market line, form, H2H)

2Ristich M. 🇷🇸 (odds1.34) Score 1:2 confidence 54%
  • • Kotliar Y
  • • 🇺🇦 — Ristich M
  • • 🇷🇸 (tennis)
  • • Kotliar Y
  • • 🇺🇦: forma VVVPV (4-1)
  • • Ristich M
  • • 🇷🇸: forma VVVVP (4-1)
  • • Model backs Ristich M
  • • 🇷🇸: probability 54% vs 75% on the line (odds 1.34)
  • • no edge over the line (-21 pp) — informational only.

Analytical AI-agent assessment, not a betting recommendation.

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Kotliar Y. 🇺🇦 - Ristich M. 🇷🇸 July 29, 2026

Tennis math model

The summary is built from our prematch context: line, form, lineups and Glicko.

Line favourite Fonbet: Ristich M. 🇷🇸. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • Win odds (Fonbet): 1 4.05 / 2 1.20

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
Winner bookmaker margin 8.0%
1 22.9%
2 77.1%

Odds source: Fonbet. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

For reference

Line movement

How the odds changed from opening to the current line — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
Pobeditel P1 3.00 → 3.00
Pobeditel P2 1.35 → 1.35

↓ odds shortened (money on this outcome), ↑ drifted (line weakened). For reference, not a betting recommendation.

Head-to-head and form stats

Head-to-head and form

Team form

Kotliar Y. 🇺🇦
3-7LLLWLLWLLW
scored 1.0conceded 1.6
Ristich M. 🇷🇸
4-6LWLWLLWLLW
scored 1.1conceded 1.2

Head-to-head and recent form per sports statistics — for reference.

Tennis Challenger Women - Singles: Targu Mures (Romania), clay
Challenger Women - Singles: Targu Mures (Romania), clay clay 29.07.2026 06:00 UTC Not started
29.07.2026 06:00 UTC Not started
K
Kotliar Y. 🇺🇦
W
R
Ristich M. 🇷🇸
W
-:-
Odds
P1 3.00 31.0% BetBoom
P2 1.35 69.0% BetBoom
Coverage: clay
Preview Statistics Broadcast Comments

About the athletes

- Country -
- Rating -
- Age -
- Height (cm) -
- Weight (kg) -
- Hand -
- Seed -
clay Coverage clay
0 H2H 0
Match center
Start 29.07.2026 06:00 UTC
Coverage clay
Form 6 matches
Match center

Kotliar Y. 🇺🇦 - Ristich M. 🇷🇸

V baze uchteny nedavnie matchi oboikh uchastnikov.

Form 1/1 recent games
H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 2 model / bookmakers
Flashscore match data source checked
Odds match data source checked
Bookiesapi match data source checked
Line depth match data source checked
Present in data
Market Form Match Participants Line Movement Overview
More needed
H2H Championat, Flashscore
Tournament Championat, Flashscore
Market and Glicko

Tennis math model. Tennis without draws: the base signal comes from player rating, surface, form, serve/return and tournament fatigue. For live logic the set state and who is serving matter more than the overall points score.

Outcome Line Glicko Signal
Kotliar Y. 🇺🇦 31.0% 46.2%
Ristich M. 🇷🇸 69.0% 53.8% market and model agree

Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.

Tennis math model
P1 / P2 46.2% / 53.8% probabilities
Rating 1,674 / 1,844 Kotliar Y. 🇺🇦 / Ristich M. 🇷🇸
RD 155 / 150 rating uncertainty
r +/- 2RD 1,364-1,985 / 1,543-2,144 strength interval
HFA: 0 HFA mu: 0.000 MoV: on N: N=1 P: two_way_glicko2_expected_score

Best value: no value found

Tennis without draws: the base signal comes from player rating, surface, form, serve/return and tournament fatigue. For live logic the set state and who is serving matter more than the overall points score.

Betting snapshot
1X2
2 1.20 Fonbet · no value · model 53.8%
1 4.05 Fonbet · weak value +87.1% · model 46.2%
Total
Over 18.5 1.63 Fonbet · line only
Over 19 1.81 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

Open on Fonbet →
bookmaker line and markets

Handicap

Outcome Baltbet Betcity Fonbet Leon
— — 2.40 41.7% —
2.00 50.0% — 2.30 43.5% —
1.84 54.4% 1.80 55.6% 1.83 54.6% 1.82 55.0%
— — 1.48 67.6% —
— — 1.50 66.7% —
— — 1.55 64.5% —
— — 1.87 53.5% —
— — 2.45 40.8% —
1.73 57.8% — — —
1.88 53.2% 1.90 52.6% — 1.85 54.1%

Total

Outcome Baltbet Betcity Fonbet Leon
Over 18.5 — — 1.63 61.4% —
Over 19 — — — 1.81 55.3%
Over 19.5 1.88 53.2% 1.94 51.6% 1.87 53.5% —
Over 20.5 — — 2.13 47.0% —
Under 18.5 — — 2.13 47.0% —
Under 19 — — — 1.86 53.8%
Under 19.5 1.84 54.4% 1.76 56.8% 1.83 54.6% —
Under 20.5 — — 1.63 61.4% —

Outcome (1X2)

Outcome Baltbet Betcity Fonbet Leon
4.00 25.0% 4.20 23.8% 4.05 24.7% 3.95 25.3%
1.21 82.6% 1.19 84.0% 1.20 83.3% 1.20 83.3%
Match center
Kotliar Y. 🇺🇦
W
28.07 06:00 UTC Challenger Women - Singles: Targu Mures (Romania), clay
Kotliar Y. 🇺🇦 2:1 Spiteri D. 🇮🇹Spiteri D. 🇮🇹
1 Wins
0 Losses
2.0 Sets won
1.0 Sets lost
100% Win percentage
Ristich M. 🇷🇸
W
28.07 06:00 UTC Challenger Women - Singles: Targu Mures (Romania), clay
Ristich M. 🇷🇸 2:0 Semenistaya D. 🇱🇻Semenistaya D. 🇱🇻
1 Wins
0 Losses
2.0 Sets won
0.0 Sets lost
100% Win percentage