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Challenger Women - Singles: Targu Mures (Romania), clay
Challenger Women - Singles: Targu Mures (Romania), clay
28.07.2026 08:00 UTC Match prediction

Ruvrua M. 🇫🇷 - Radivojevic L

Tennis Challenger Women - Singles: Targu Mures (Romania), clay
Challenger Women - Singles: Targu Mures (Romania), clay clay 28.07.2026 08:00 UTC Finished
28.07.2026 08:00 UTC Finished
R
Ruvrua M. 🇫🇷
R
Radivojevic L
2:1
Odds
P1 4.20 21.8% BetBoom
P2 1.17 78.2% BetBoom
Coverage: clay
Preview Statistics Broadcast Comments

About the athletes

- Country -
- Rating -
- Age -
- Height (cm) -
- Weight (kg) -
- Hand -
- Seed -
clay Coverage clay
0 H2H 0
🎯 PropickAI prediction
Medium confidence

Our model prediction (Glicko-2)

1 Ruvrua M. 🇫🇷 — 55%

1 · Ruvrua M. 🇫🇷 ✓ Pick55.4%
2 · Radivojevic L44.6%

Model estimate: win Ruvrua M. 🇫🇷 55.4%, win Radivojevic L 44.6%. Model favourite — Ruvrua M. 🇫🇷.

Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Ruvrua M. 🇫🇷 - Radivojevic L July 28, 2026

Tennis math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Ruvrua M. 🇫🇷.

Line favourite Fonbet: Ruvrua M. 🇫🇷. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • Win odds (Fonbet): 1 1.11 / 2 5.60
  • Glicko: Ruvrua M. 🇫🇷 55.4% / Radivojevic L 44.6%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
Winner bookmaker margin 7.9%
1 ✓ Pick 83.5%
2 16.5%

Odds source: Fonbet. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

Match center
Start 28.07.2026 08:00 UTC
Coverage clay
Form 6 matches
Match center

Ruvrua M. 🇫🇷 - Radivojevic L

V baze uchteny nedavnie matchi oboikh uchastnikov.

Form 5/5 recent games
H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 2 model / bookmakers
Flashscore match data source checked
Odds match data source checked
Line depth match data source checked
Present in data
Market Form Match Participants Line Overview
More needed
H2H Championat, Flashscore
Tournament Championat, Flashscore
Movement Line history
Post-match / PropickAI database
Score 2:1
Events 0
Statistics 0
PropickAI check: math model and Glicko-2

We mark in green only strong signals where the model passed our publication filter. The other rows are for audit and training.

Option Signal Prediction / actual Rating
Glicko-2: base favourite Audit tennis is audit-only for now: surface, serve/return and market are needed Data: line, form, coverage home - 55.4% fact: home hit / ROI 320.0% / Brier 0.397 / LogLoss 0.590
Glicko-2: calibrated favourite Audit tennis is audit-only for now: surface, serve/return and market are needed Data: line, form, coverage home - 50.7% fact: home hit / ROI 320.0% / Brier 0.487 / LogLoss 0.680
Market and Glicko

Tennis math model. Tennis without draws: the base signal comes from player rating, surface, form, serve/return and tournament fatigue. For live logic the set state and who is serving matter more than the overall points score.

Outcome Line Glicko Signal
Ruvrua M. 🇫🇷 21.8% 55.4% Glicko contrarian
Radivojevic L 78.2% 44.6% market favourite
1X2: 1 Bookies

Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.

Tennis math model
P1 / P2 55.4% / 44.6% probabilities
Rating 1,561 / 1,481 Ruvrua M. 🇫🇷 / Radivojevic L
RD 178 / 149 rating uncertainty
r +/- 2RD 1,205-1,916 / 1,183-1,780 strength interval
HFA: 0 HFA mu: 0.000 MoV: on N: N=1 P: two_way_glicko2_expected_score

Best value: no value found

Tennis without draws: the base signal comes from player rating, surface, form, serve/return and tournament fatigue. For live logic the set state and who is serving matter more than the overall points score.

Betting snapshot
1X2
2 5.60 Fonbet · no value · model 44.6%
1 1.11 Fonbet · no value · model 55.4%
Total
Over 13.5 1.42 Fonbet · line only
Over 14.5 1.52 Fonbet · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

Open on Fonbet →
bookmaker line and markets

Handicap

Outcome Fonbet
9.50 10.5%
1.42 70.4%
1.10 90.9%
2.75 36.4%
1.35 74.1%
2.50 40.0%
1.37 73.0%
1.55 64.5%
1.02 98.0%
2.65 37.7%
5.40 18.5%
1.40 71.4%
2.90 34.5%
1.45 69.0%
2.85 35.1%
2.30 43.5%
4.10 24.4%
3.95 25.3%

Total

Outcome Fonbet
Over 13.5 1.42 70.4%
Over 14.5 1.52 65.8%
Over 15.5 1.65 60.6%
Over 16.5 1.60 62.5%
Over 17.5 2.35 42.6%
Over 18.5 2.00 50.0%
Over 19.5 1.95 51.3%
Over 20.5 1.80 55.6%
Over 21.5 1.65 60.6%
Over 22.5 1.55 64.5%
Over 23.5 1.25 80.0%
Over 24.5 2.50 40.0%
Over 25.5 1.25 80.0%
Over 27.5 1.02 98.0%
Under 13.5 2.65 37.7%
Under 14.5 2.35 42.6%
Under 15.5 2.10 47.6%
Under 16.5 2.20 45.5%

Outcome (1X2)

Outcome Fonbet Leon
1.11 90.1% 4.20 23.8%
5.60 17.9% 1.17 85.5%
Match center
Ruvrua M. 🇫🇷
W W L W L
27.07 06:00 UTC+0 Challenger Women - Singles: Targu Mures (Romania) - Qualifying, clay
Ruvrua M. 🇫🇷 2:1 Kazionova E. (World)
26.07 09:00 UTC+0 Challenger Women - Singles: Targu Mures (Romania) - Qualifying, clay
Ruvrua M. 🇫🇷 2:0 Ilie D. M. 🇺🇸
23.07 09:30 UTC+0 ITF Women - Singles: W50 Horb (Germany), clay
Ruvrua M. 🇫🇷 1:2 Nilsson L. 🇸🇪
22.07 13:00 UTC+0 ITF Women - Singles: W50 Horb (Germany), clay
Ruvrua M. 🇫🇷 2:0 Pak S.-Kh. 🇰🇷
12.07 11:00 UTC+0 Challenger Women - Singles: Kitzbuhel (Austria) - Qualifying, clay
Ruvrua M. 🇫🇷 0:2 Yakupovich D. 🇸🇮Yakupovich D. 🇸🇮
3 Wins
2 Losses
1.4 Sets won
1.0 Sets lost
60% Win percentage
Radivojevic L
L W L W L
22.07 07:00 UTC+0 Challenger Women - Singles: Palermo (Italy), clay
Radivojevic L 1:2 Ruggeri J. 🇮🇹
20.07 13:00 UTC+0 Challenger Women - Singles: Palermo (Italy), clay
Radivojevic L 2:1 Lansere S. (World)Lansere S. (World)
15.07 06:30 UTC+0 Challenger Women - Singles: Rome (Italy), clay
Radivojevic L 0:2 Keza D. 🇮🇹
13.07 06:30 UTC+0 Challenger Women - Singles: Rome (Italy), clay
Radivojevic L 2:0 Ren Y. 🇨🇳Ren Y. 🇨🇳
08.07 06:00 UTC+0 Challenger Women - Singles: Bastad (Sweden), clay
Radivojevic L 0:2 Putintseva Yu. 🇰🇿Putintseva Yu. 🇰🇿
2 Wins
3 Losses
1.0 Sets won
1.4 Sets lost
40% Win percentage