PropickAI PropickAI
Sign in Sign up
Free access Sign in to unlock the full prediction Create a free account to see the full AI breakdown, probabilities, risks and history.
Challenger Women - Singles: Targu Mures (Romania), clay
Challenger Women - Singles: Targu Mures (Romania), clay
29.07.2026 06:00 UTC

Samson L. πŸ‡¨πŸ‡Ώ - Sobolieva A

🎯 PropickAI prediction
Low confidence

Our model prediction (Glicko-2)

1 Samson L. πŸ‡¨πŸ‡Ώ β€” 55%

Pure model vs market (1 Β· Samson L. πŸ‡¨πŸ‡Ώ): model 38% Β· market 54% Ξ” βˆ’16 pp model estimates below the market

1 Β· Samson L. πŸ‡¨πŸ‡Ώ55.2%
2 Β· Sobolieva A44.8%

Model estimate: win Samson L. πŸ‡¨πŸ‡Ώ 55.2%, win Sobolieva A 44.8%. Model favourite β€” Samson L. πŸ‡¨πŸ‡Ώ.

Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.

AI agent prediction

Independent AI-agent assessment from our data (model, market line, form, H2H)

1Samson L. πŸ‡¨πŸ‡Ώ (odds1.62) Score 2:1 confidence 55%
  • • Samson L
  • • πŸ‡¨πŸ‡Ώ β€” Sobolieva A
  • • πŸ‡ΊπŸ‡¦ (tennis)
  • • Samson L
  • • πŸ‡¨πŸ‡Ώ: forma VPPVP (2-3)
  • • Sobolieva A
  • • πŸ‡ΊπŸ‡¦: forma VPVVV (4-1)
  • • Model backs Samson L
  • • πŸ‡¨πŸ‡Ώ: probability 55% vs 62% on the line (odds 1.62)
  • • no edge over the line (-6 pp) β€” informational only.

Analytical AI-agent assessment, not a betting recommendation.

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Samson L. πŸ‡¨πŸ‡Ώ - Sobolieva A July 29, 2026

Tennis math model

The summary is built from our prematch context: line, form, lineups and Glicko.

Line favourite Fonbet: Samson L. πŸ‡¨πŸ‡Ώ. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • Win odds (Fonbet): 1 1.70 / 2 2.02

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin β€” for reference, not a betting recommendation.
Winner bookmaker margin 8.3%
1 54.3%
2 45.7%

Odds source: Fonbet. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds β€” reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

Head-to-head and form stats

Head-to-head and form

Team form

Samson L. πŸ‡¨πŸ‡Ώ
5-5LWWLLLWWWL
scored 1.2conceded 1.1
Sobolieva A
2-8LWLLLWLLLL
scored 0.5conceded 1.6

Head-to-head and recent form per sports statistics β€” for reference.

Tennis Challenger Women - Singles: Targu Mures (Romania), clay
Challenger Women - Singles: Targu Mures (Romania), clay clay 29.07.2026 06:00 UTC Not started
29.07.2026 06:00 UTC Not started
Samson L. πŸ‡¨πŸ‡Ώ
Samson L. πŸ‡¨πŸ‡Ώ
W
S
Sobolieva A
W
-:-
Odds
P1 1.66 58.1% BetBoom
P2 2.30 41.9% BetBoom
Coverage: clay
Preview Statistics Broadcast Comments

About the athletes

- Country -
- Rating -
- Age -
- Height (cm) -
- Weight (kg) -
- Hand -
- Seed -
clay Coverage clay
0 H2H 0
Match center
Start 29.07.2026 06:00 UTC
Coverage clay
Form 6 matches
Match center

Samson L. πŸ‡¨πŸ‡Ώ - Sobolieva A

V baze uchteny nedavnie matchi oboikh uchastnikov.

Form 1/1 recent games
H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 2 model / bookmakers
Flashscore match data source checked
Odds match data source checked
Line depth match data source checked
Present in data
Market Form Match Participants Line Overview
More needed
H2H Championat, Flashscore
Tournament Championat, Flashscore
Movement Line history
Market and Glicko

Tennis math model. Tennis without draws: the base signal comes from player rating, surface, form, serve/return and tournament fatigue. For live logic the set state and who is serving matter more than the overall points score.

Outcome Line Glicko Signal
Samson L. πŸ‡¨πŸ‡Ώ 57.1% 55.2% market and model agree
Sobolieva A 42.9% 44.8%

Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.

Tennis math model
P1 / P2 55.2% / 44.8% probabilities
Rating 1,408 / 2,057 Samson L. πŸ‡¨πŸ‡Ώ / Sobolieva A
RD 197 / 145 rating uncertainty
r +/- 2RD 1,013-1,802 / 1,767-2,347 strength interval
HFA: 0 HFA mu: 0.000 MoV: on N: N=1 P: two_way_glicko2_expected_score

Best value: no value found

Tennis without draws: the base signal comes from player rating, surface, form, serve/return and tournament fatigue. For live logic the set state and who is serving matter more than the overall points score.

Betting snapshot
1X2
2 2.02 Fonbet Β· no value Β· model 44.8%
1 1.70 Fonbet Β· no value Β· model 55.2%
Handicap
2 -0.5 2.00 Fonbet Β· line only
2 +1 1.86 market consensus Β· line only
1 -0.5 1.73 Fonbet Β· line only
1 -1 1.81 market consensus Β· line only
Total
Over 20.5 1.70 Fonbet Β· line only
Over 21.5 1.87 Fonbet Β· line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

Open on Fonbet →
bookmaker line and markets

Handicap

Outcome Baltbet Betcity Fonbet Leon
— — 1.73 57.8% —
— — — 1.81 55.3%
1.84 54.4% 1.85 54.1% 1.83 54.6% —
— — — 1.86 53.8%
1.91 52.4% 1.85 54.1% 1.95 51.3% —
— — — 1.86 53.8%
1.88 53.2% 1.85 54.1% — —
— — — 1.81 55.3%
1.81 55.3% 1.85 54.1% — —
— — 2.00 50.0% —
— — 1.87 53.5% —
— — 1.75 57.1% —

Total

Outcome Baltbet Betcity Fonbet Leon
Over 20.5 — — 1.70 58.8% —
Over 21.5 1.88 53.2% 1.87 53.5% 1.87 53.5% 1.83 54.6%
Over 22.5 — — 2.10 47.6% —
Under 20.5 — — 2.02 49.5% —
Under 21.5 1.84 54.4% 1.83 54.6% 1.83 54.6% 1.84 54.4%
Under 22.5 — — 1.65 60.6% —

Outcome (1X2)

Outcome Baltbet Betcity Fonbet Leon
1.71 58.5% 1.67 59.9% 1.70 58.8% 1.73 57.8%
2.05 48.8% 2.07 48.3% 2.02 49.5% 1.96 51.0%
Match center
Samson L. πŸ‡¨πŸ‡Ώ
W
28.07 06:00 UTC Challenger Women - Singles: Targu Mures (Romania), clay
Samson L. πŸ‡¨πŸ‡Ώ 2:0 Breaz A. πŸ‡·πŸ‡΄
1 Wins
0 Losses
2.0 Sets won
0.0 Sets lost
100% Win percentage
Sobolieva A
W
28.07 09:30 UTC Challenger Women - Singles: Targu Mures (Romania), clay
Sobolieva A 2:0 Yanichievich S. πŸ‡«πŸ‡·Yanichievich S. πŸ‡«πŸ‡·
1 Wins
0 Losses
2.0 Sets won
0.0 Sets lost
100% Win percentage