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WTA 125K. Targu Mures. Doubles
WTA 125K. Targu Mures. Doubles
31.07.2026 07:00 UTC Match prediction

Samson L - Ristic M

Tennis WTA 125K. Targu Mures. Doubles
WTA 125K. Targu Mures. Doubles clay 31.07.2026 07:00 UTC Finished
31.07.2026 07:00 UTC Finished
Samson L
Samson L
L W L L W
R
Ristic M
W W L W L
2:1 7:6 4:6 6:2
1 2 3 GP
Samson L 7 4 6 2
Ristic M 6 6 2 1
1 2 3
Odds
P1 1.77 53.4% BetBoom
P2 2.03 46.6% BetBoom
Coverage: clay
Preview Statistics Broadcast Comments

About the athletes

- Country -
- Rating -
- Age -
- Height (cm) -
- Weight (kg) -
- Hand -
- Seed -
clay Coverage clay
0 H2H 0
🎯 PropickAI prediction

Our model prediction (Glicko-2)

1 Samson L — 52%

Pure model vs market (1 · Samson L): model 44% · market 54% Δ −10 pp model estimates below the market

1 · Samson L52.1%
2 · Ristic M47.9%

Model estimate: win Samson L 52.1%, win Ristic M 47.9%. Model favourite — Samson L.

Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.

AI agent prediction

Independent AI-agent assessment from our data (model, market line, form, H2H)

2Ristic M (odds1.84) Score 1:2 confidence 51% ✗ outcome missed
  • • Samson L
  • • 🇨🇿 — Ristich M
  • • 🇷🇸 (tennis)
  • • Samson L
  • • 🇨🇿: forma VPPVP (2-3)
  • • Ristich M
  • • 🇷🇸: forma VVVVV (5-0)
  • • Model backs Ristich M
  • • 🇷🇸: probability 51% vs 54% on the line (odds 1.84)
  • • no edge over the line (-3 pp) — informational only.

Analytical AI-agent assessment, not a betting recommendation.

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Samson L - Ristic M July 31, 2026

Tennis math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Samson L.

Line favourite Fonbet: Samson L. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • Win odds (Fonbet): 1 1.73 / 2 2.05
  • Glicko: Samson L 52.1% / Ristic M 47.9%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
Winner bookmaker margin 6.6%
1 54.2%
2 45.8%

Odds source: Fonbet. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

For reference

Line movement

How the odds changed from opening to the current line — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
Winner 1 1.88 ↓ 1.75
Winner 2 1.87 ↑ 2.03

↓ odds shortened (money on this outcome), ↑ drifted (line weakened). For reference, not a betting recommendation.

Head-to-head and form stats

Head-to-head and form

Team form

Samson L
5-5LWWLLLWWWL
scored 1.2conceded 1.1
Ristic M
4-6LWLWLLWLLW
scored 1.1conceded 1.2

Head-to-head and recent form per sports statistics — for reference.

Match center
Start 31.07.2026 07:00 UTC
Market 1 54.2% @ 1.73 / 2 45.8% @ 2.05
Coverage clay
Form 6 matches
Match center

Samson L - Ristic M

V baze uchteny nedavnie matchi oboikh uchastnikov.

Form 5/5 recent games
H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 2 model / bookmakers
Flashscore match data source checked
Odds match data source checked
Bookiesapi match data source checked
Line depth match data source checked
Present in data
Market Form Match Participants Line Movement Overview
More needed
H2H Championat, Flashscore
Tournament Championat, Flashscore
Post-match / PropickAI database
Score 2:1
Events 0
Statistics 0
Set Samson L Ristic M Result
Set 1 7 6 7:6
Set 2 4 6 4:6
Set 3 6 2 6:2
PropickAI check: math model and Glicko-2

We mark in green only strong signals where the model passed our publication filter. The other rows are for audit and training.

Option Signal Prediction / actual Rating
Glicko-2: base favourite Audit tennis is audit-only for now: surface, serve/return and market are needed Data: line, form, coverage home - 52.1% fact: home hit / ROI 77.0% / Brier 0.459 / LogLoss 0.652
Glicko-2: calibrated favourite Audit tennis is audit-only for now: surface, serve/return and market are needed Data: line, form, coverage home - 50.3% fact: home hit / ROI 77.0% / Brier 0.495 / LogLoss 0.688
Market and Glicko

Tennis math model. Tennis without draws: the base signal comes from player rating, surface, form, serve/return and tournament fatigue. For live logic the set state and who is serving matter more than the overall points score.

Outcome Line Glicko Signal
Samson L 53.0% 52.1% market and model agree
Ristic M 47.0% 47.9%
1X2: 4 Bookies

Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.

Tennis math model
P1 / P2 52.1% / 47.9% probabilities
Rating 1,631 / 1,863 Samson L / Ristic M
RD 194 / 142 rating uncertainty
r +/- 2RD 1,243-2,018 / 1,580-2,146 strength interval
HFA: 0 HFA mu: 0.000 MoV: on N: N=1 P: two_way_glicko2_expected_score

Best value: no value found

Tennis without draws: the base signal comes from player rating, surface, form, serve/return and tournament fatigue. For live logic the set state and who is serving matter more than the overall points score.

Betting snapshot
1X2
2 2.05 Fonbet · no value · model 47.9%
1 1.73 Fonbet · no value · model 52.1%
Handicap
2 -0.5 1.95 Fonbet · line only
2 +0.5 2.08 Fonbet · line only
2 +1 1.83 market consensus · line only
2 0 1.84 market consensus · line only
Total
Over 19.5 1.50 Fonbet · line only
Over 20.5 1.70 Fonbet · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

Open on Fonbet →
bookmaker line and markets

Handicap

Outcome Baltbet Betcity Fonbet
1.83 54.6% — —
— 1.73 57.8% —
1.86 53.8% — 1.75 57.1%
1.86 53.8% 1.96 51.0% 1.85 54.1%
— — 2.00 50.0%
1.86 53.8% — 2.08 48.1%
1.86 53.8% 1.75 57.1% 2.10 47.6%
1.89 52.9% — 1.95 51.3%
— 2.00 50.0% 1.85 54.1%
— — 1.72 58.1%

Total

Outcome Baltbet Betcity Fonbet
Over 19.5 — — 1.50 66.7%
Over 20.5 1.81 55.3% 1.80 55.6% 1.70 58.8%
Over 21.5 1.86 53.8% 1.85 54.1% 1.87 53.5%
Over 22.5 — — 2.10 47.6%
Over 23.5 — — 2.35 42.6%
Under 19.5 — — 2.40 41.7%
Under 20.5 1.91 52.4% 1.90 52.6% 2.02 49.5%
Under 21.5 1.86 53.8% 1.85 54.1% 1.83 54.6%
Under 22.5 — — 1.65 60.6%
Under 23.5 — — 1.53 65.4%

Outcome (1X2)

Outcome Baltbet Betcity Fonbet Leon
1.73 57.8% 1.77 56.5% 1.73 57.8% 1.76 56.8%
2.00 50.0% 1.94 51.6% 2.05 48.8% 1.92 52.1%
Match center
Samson L
D W L L W
2026-07-30 2026 Targu Mures, Romania
Samson L Samson L 0:0 Sobolieva A
2026-07-28 2026 Targu Mures, Romania
Samson L Samson L 2:0 Breaz A
2026-07-21 2026 Prague, Czech Republic
Samson L Samson L 1:2 Joint M
2026-07-16 2026 Kitzbuhel, Austria
Samson L Feistel G 2:0 Samson L
2026-07-14 2026 Kitzbuhel, Austria
Samson L Pigossi L 1:2 Samson L
2 Wins
2 Losses
1.0 Sets won
1.0 Sets lost
40% Win percentage
Ristic M
W W L W L
2026-07-30 2026 Targu Mures, Romania
Kotliar Y 1:2 Ristic M Ristic M
2026-07-28 2026 Targu Mures, Romania
Ristic M 2:0 Semenistaja D Ristic M
2026-07-15 2026 Kitzbuhel, Austria
Andreeva E 2:1 Ristic M Ristic M
2026-07-13 2026 Kitzbuhel, Austria
Ristic M 2:0 Pohankova M Ristic M
2026-06-17 2026 Brescia, Italy
Rakotomanga Rajaonah T S 2:1 Ristic M Ristic M
3 Wins
2 Losses
1.6 Sets won
1.0 Sets lost
60% Win percentage
Match center

Full head-to-head historySamson L - Ristic M

Samson L
0 matches total
Ristic M
Biggest win — largest score margin
Highest-scoring match — most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw — draw with the most goals

Match history