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WTA 125K. Vancouver
WTA 125K. Vancouver
29.07.2026 18:00 UTC Match prediction

Hontama M - Lu Jia-Jing

Tennis WTA 125K. Vancouver
WTA 125K. Vancouver hard 29.07.2026 18:00 UTC Finished
29.07.2026 18:00 UTC Finished
Hontama M
Hontama M
W
L
Lu Jia-Jing
W
2:0
Odds
P1 1.25 77.1% BetBoom
P2 4.20 22.9% BetBoom
Coverage: hard
Preview Statistics Broadcast Comments

About the athletes

- Country -
- Rating -
- Age -
- Height (cm) -
- Weight (kg) -
- Hand -
- Seed -
hard Coverage hard
0 H2H 0
🎯 PropickAI prediction
High confidence

Our model prediction (Glicko-2)

PropickAI model · comparison with the market line (no margin)

1 Hontama M — 74%

Pure model vs market (1 · Hontama M): model 54% · market 77% Δ −23 pp model estimates below the market

1 · Hontama M ✓ Pick73.5%
market77%
2 · Lu Jia-Jing26.5%
market23%

Model estimate: win Hontama M 73.5%, win Lu Jia-Jing 26.5%. Model favourite — Hontama M.

Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.

AI agent prediction

Independent AI-agent assessment from our data (model, market line, form, H2H)

1Hontama M (odds1.23) Score 2:1 confidence 54% ✓ outcome correct
  • • Khontama M
  • • 🇯🇵 — Lu Tszya-Tszin 🇨🇳 (tennis)
  • • Khontama M
  • • 🇯🇵: forma VPVVV (4-1)
  • • Lu Tszya-Tszin 🇨🇳: forma VPVVV (4-1)
  • • Model backs Khontama M
  • • 🇯🇵: probability 54% vs 81% on the line (odds 1.23)
  • • no edge over the line (-28 pp) — informational only.

Analytical AI-agent assessment, not a betting recommendation.

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Hontama M - Lu Jia-Jing July 29, 2026

Tennis math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Hontama M.

Line favourite market consensus: Hontama M. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • Win odds (market consensus): 1 1.25 / 2 4.20
  • Glicko: Hontama M 73.5% / Lu Jia-Jing 26.5%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
Winner bookmaker margin 3.8%
1 ✓ Pick 77.1%
2 22.9%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

Match center
Start 29.07.2026 18:00 UTC
Coverage hard
Form 6 matches
Match center

Hontama M - Lu Jia-Jing

V baze uchteny nedavnie matchi oboikh uchastnikov.

Form 1/1 recent games
H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 2 model / bookmakers
Flashscore match data source checked
Odds match data source checked
Line depth match data source checked
Present in data
Market Form Match Participants Line Overview
More needed
H2H Championat, Flashscore
Tournament Championat, Flashscore
Movement Line history
Post-match / PropickAI database
Score 2:0
Events 0
Statistics 0
PropickAI check: math model and Glicko-2

We mark in green only strong signals where the model passed our publication filter. The other rows are for audit and training.

Option Signal Prediction / actual Rating
Glicko-2: base favourite Audit tennis is audit-only for now: surface, serve/return and market are needed Data: line, form, coverage home - 73.5% fact: home hit / ROI 25.0% / Brier 0.140 / LogLoss 0.307
Glicko-2: calibrated favourite Audit tennis is audit-only for now: surface, serve/return and market are needed Data: line, form, coverage home - 52.8% fact: home hit / ROI 25.0% / Brier 0.445 / LogLoss 0.638
Market and Glicko

Tennis math model. Tennis without draws: the base signal comes from player rating, surface, form, serve/return and tournament fatigue. For live logic the set state and who is serving matter more than the overall points score.

Outcome Line Glicko Signal
Hontama M 75.7% 73.5% market and model agree
Lu Jia-Jing 24.3% 26.5%
1X2: 2 Bookies

Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.

Tennis math model
P1 / P2 73.5% / 26.5% probabilities
Rating 1,731 / 1,697 Hontama M / Lu Jia-Jing
RD 161 / 170 rating uncertainty
r +/- 2RD 1,409-2,053 / 1,356-2,037 strength interval
HFA: 0 HFA mu: 0.000 MoV: on N: N=1 P: two_way_glicko2_expected_score

Best value: no value found

Tennis without draws: the base signal comes from player rating, surface, form, serve/return and tournament fatigue. For live logic the set state and who is serving matter more than the overall points score.

Betting snapshot
1X2
2 3.83 market consensus · no value · model 26.5%
1 1.22 market consensus · no value · model 73.5%
Total
Over 19.5 1.78 market consensus · line only
Over 20 1.86 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Handicap

Outcome Betcity Leon
1.72 58.1% 1.75 57.1%
— 1.83 54.6%
2.00 50.0% 1.93 51.8%
— 1.84 54.4%

Total

Outcome Betcity Leon
Over 19.5 — 1.78 56.2%
Over 20 — 1.86 53.8%
Over 20.5 1.95 51.3% —
Under 19.5 — 1.90 52.6%
Under 20 — 1.81 55.3%
Under 20.5 1.76 56.8% —

Outcome (1X2)

Outcome Betcity Leon
1.18 84.8% 1.25 80.0%
4.20 23.8% 3.45 29.0%
Match center
Hontama M
W
28.07 17:00 UTC Challenger Women - Singles: Vancouver (Canada), hard
Hontama M 2:1 Dey K. 🇺🇸
1 Wins
0 Losses
2.0 Sets won
1.0 Sets lost
100% Win percentage
Lu Jia-Jing
W
28.07 17:00 UTC Challenger Women - Singles: Vancouver (Canada), hard
Lu Jia-Jing 2:0 Dolkhayd K. 🇺🇸
1 Wins
0 Losses
2.0 Sets won
0.0 Sets lost
100% Win percentage
Match center

Full head-to-head historyHontama M - Lu Jia-Jing

Hontama M
0 matches total
Lu Jia-Jing
Biggest win — largest score margin
Highest-scoring match — most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw — draw with the most goals

Match history