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Challenger Women - Singles: Warsaw (Poland), hard
Challenger Women - Singles: Warsaw (Poland), hard
05.08.2026 10:30 UTC Match prediction

Kubka M - Barthel M

✓ Prematch ready Prematch data ✓Line ✓Form –H2H ✓Prediction
Tennis Challenger Women - Singles: Warsaw (Poland), hard
Challenger Women - Singles: Warsaw (Poland), hard hard 05.08.2026 10:30 UTC Finished
05.08.2026 10:30 UTC Finished
K
Kubka M
W L W W L
Barthel M
Barthel M
W L W W L
0:2 5:7 4:6
1 2 GP
Kubka M 5 4 0
Barthel M 7 6 2
1 2
Odds
P1 1.54 60.9% BetBoom
P2 2.40 39.1% BetBoom
Coverage: hard
Preview Statistics Broadcast Comments

About the athletes

- Country -
- Rating -
- Age -
- Height (cm) -
- Weight (kg) -
- Hand -
- Seed -
hard Coverage hard
0 H2H 0

Kubka M face Barthel M on August 5, 2026 in the Challenger Women - Singles: Warsaw (Poland), hard.

Recent form (W-D-L): Kubka M 3-0-2, Barthel M 3-0-2. PrognozAI's Glicko-2 model gives the home side 61% to win. Below: team form, head-to-head history, bookmaker odds and the full PrognozAI AI breakdown.

🎯 PropickAI prediction
High confidence

Our model prediction (Glicko-2)

PropickAI model · comparison with the market line (no margin)

1 Kubka M — 61%

Pure model vs market (1 · Kubka M): model 62% · market 61% Δ +1 pp model estimate matches the market

1 · Kubka M ✓ Pick60.8%
market61%
2 · Barthel M39.2%
market39%

Model estimate: win Kubka M 60.8%, win Barthel M 39.2%. Model favourite — Kubka M.

Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.

AI agent prediction

Independent AI-agent assessment from our data (model, market line, form, H2H)

1Kubka M (odds1.39) Score 2:1 confidence 62% ✗ outcome missed
  • • Kubka M
  • • 🇵🇱 — Bartel M
  • • 🇩🇪 (tennis)
  • • Kubka M
  • • 🇵🇱: forma VVVVV (5-0)
  • • Bartel M
  • • 🇩🇪: forma VVPVV (4-1)
  • • Model backs Kubka M
  • • 🇵🇱: probability 62% vs 72% on the line (odds 1.39)
  • • no edge over the line (-10 pp) — informational only.

Analytical AI-agent assessment, not a betting recommendation.

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Kubka M - Barthel M August 5, 2026

Tennis math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Kubka M.

Line favourite Fonbet: Kubka M. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • Win odds (Fonbet): 1 1.52 / 2 2.35
  • Glicko: Kubka M 60.8% / Barthel M 39.2%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
Winner bookmaker margin 7.7% 4 books
1 ✓ Pick 60.7%
2 39.3%

Odds source: consensus of 4 books (Baltbet, Betcity, Fonbet, Leon). This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

For reference

Line movement

How the odds changed from opening to the current line — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
Winner 1 1.52 → 1.52
Winner 2 2.35 → 2.35

↓ odds shortened (money on this outcome), ↑ drifted (line weakened). For reference, not a betting recommendation.

Match center
Start 05.08.2026 10:30 UTC
Market 1 60.7% @ 1.52 / 2 39.3% @ 2.35
Coverage hard
Form 6 matches
Match center

Kubka M - Barthel M

V baze uchteny nedavnie matchi oboikh uchastnikov.

Form 5/5 recent games
H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 2 model / bookmakers
Flashscore match data source checked
Odds match data source checked
Bookiesapi match data source checked
Line depth match data source checked
Present in data
Market Form Match Participants Line Movement Overview
More needed
H2H Championat, Flashscore
Tournament Championat, Flashscore
Post-match / PropickAI database
Score 0:2
Events 0
Statistics 20
Set Kubka M Barthel M Result
Set 1 5 7 5:7
Set 2 4 6 4:6
Metric Kubka M Barthel M SStats
Breyk-poynty realizovany 0/0 0/0 final
Points na prieme 0% (0/0) 0% (0/1) final
Eysy 0 0 final
Breyk-poynty otygrany 0/0 0/0 final
Dvoynye oshibki 0 0 final
Pervaya podacha, % 100% 0% final
Points na pervoy podache 100% (1/1) 0% (0/0) final
Points na vtoroy podache 0% (0/0) 0% (0/0) final
PropickAI check: math model and Glicko-2

We mark in green only strong signals where the model passed our publication filter. The other rows are for audit and training.

Option Signal Prediction / actual Rating
Glicko-2: base favourite Audit tennis is audit-only for now: surface, serve/return and market are needed Data: line, form, coverage home - 60.8% fact: away missed / ROI -100.0% / Brier 0.739 / LogLoss 0.937
Glicko-2: calibrated favourite Audit tennis is audit-only for now: surface, serve/return and market are needed Data: line, form, coverage home - 51.3% fact: away missed / ROI -100.0% / Brier 0.526 / LogLoss 0.719
Market and Glicko

Tennis math model. Tennis without draws: the base signal comes from player rating, surface, form, serve/return and tournament fatigue. For live logic the set state and who is serving matter more than the overall points score.

Outcome Line Glicko Signal
Kubka M 60.7% 60.8% market and model agree
Barthel M 39.3% 39.2%
1X2: 4 Bookies

Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.

Tennis math model
P1 / P2 60.8% / 39.2% probabilities
Rating 1,859 / 1,588 Kubka M / Barthel M
RD 128 / 137 rating uncertainty
r +/- 2RD 1,604-2,114 / 1,314-1,862 strength interval
HFA: 0 HFA mu: 0.000 MoV: on N: N=1 P: two_way_glicko2_expected_score

Best value: no value found

Tennis without draws: the base signal comes from player rating, surface, form, serve/return and tournament fatigue. For live logic the set state and who is serving matter more than the overall points score.

Betting snapshot
1X2
2 2.35 Fonbet · no value · model 39.2%
1 1.52 Fonbet · no value · model 60.8%
Handicap
2 -0.5 2.30 Fonbet · line only
1 -0.5 1.55 Fonbet · line only
Total
Over 20.5 1.57 Fonbet · line only
Over 21 1.87 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

Open on Fonbet →
bookmaker line and markets

Handicap

Outcome Baltbet Betcity Fonbet Leon
— — 1.55 64.5% —
— — 1.65 60.6% —
1.82 55.0% 1.83 54.6% 1.80 55.6% —
1.79 55.9% 1.90 52.6% 2.07 48.3% —
1.92 52.1% 1.90 52.6% — —
— — — 1.80 55.6%
1.96 51.0% 1.85 54.1% — —
— — — 1.75 57.1%
— — 2.30 43.5% —
— — 2.10 47.6% —
— — 1.90 52.6% —
— — 1.67 59.9% —

Total

Outcome Baltbet Betcity Fonbet
Over 20.5 1.79 55.9% 1.82 55.0% 1.57 63.7%
Over 21.5 1.77 56.5% 1.86 53.8% 1.75 57.1%
Over 22.5 — 2.00 50.0% 2.00 50.0%
Over 23.5 — — 2.20 45.5%
Under 20.5 1.96 51.0% 1.92 52.1% 2.25 44.4%
Under 21.5 1.98 50.5% 1.88 53.2% 1.95 51.3%
Under 22.5 — 1.75 57.1% 1.73 57.8%
Under 23.5 — — 1.60 62.5%

Outcome (1X2)

Outcome Baltbet Betcity Fonbet Leon
1.54 64.9% 1.54 64.9% 1.52 65.8% 1.53 65.4%
2.40 41.7% 2.38 42.0% 2.35 42.6% 2.29 43.7%
Match center
Kubka M
W L W W L
2026-08-03 2026 Warsaw, Poland
Kubka M Kostovic T 1:2 Kubka M
2026-06-19 2026 Figueira Da Foz, Portugal
Kubka M Kubka M 1:2 Ku Yeon Woo
2026-06-18 2026 Figueira Da Foz, Portugal
Kubka M Korneeva A 1:2 Kubka M
2026-06-16 2026 Figueira Da Foz, Portugal
Kubka M Kubka M 1:0 Falei A
2025-09-06 2025 Guadalajara, Mexico, Qualifying
Kubka M Kubka M 1:2 Brace C
3 Wins
2 Losses
1.4 Sets won
1.2 Sets lost
60% Win percentage
Barthel M
W L W W L
2026-08-04 2026 Warsaw, Poland
Samson L 0:2 Barthel M Barthel M
2026-07-21 2026 Hamburg, Germany
Barthel M 0:2 Putintseva Y Barthel M
2026-07-20 2026 Hamburg, Germany, Qualifying
Vedder E 1:2 Barthel M Barthel M
2026-07-19 2026 Hamburg, Germany, Qualifying
Yashina E 1:2 Barthel M Barthel M
2026-07-15 2026 Kitzbuhel, Austria
Erjavec V 2:0 Barthel M Barthel M
3 Wins
2 Losses
1.2 Sets won
1.2 Sets lost
60% Win percentage
Match center

Full head-to-head historyKubka M - Barthel M

Kubka M
0 matches total
Barthel M
Biggest win — largest score margin
Highest-scoring match — most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw — draw with the most goals

Match history